A few introductory remarks:
1. I’m starting this thread to demonstrate how analytical results correspond to what actually happens in the future.
2. I don’t know when Bitcoin will reach the $100 000 mark. The exact timing is impossible to predict here. Nobody knows.
3. What really matters is the resulting price/profit ratio, which is 20 to 1 at the current price of $5000 – even if BTC falls to 0 at some point along the way.
4. There are lots of reasons for why the BTC price will reach $100 000, ranging from being accepted as a means of payment to the features of the technology itself. I will cite only the main reason here.
The total amount of funds currently stored in offshore accounts is circa $20 trillion. This number will grow to $30 trillion to 10 years if nothing changes – meaning that people won’t suddenly stop embezzling money and evading taxes. At the same time, there is a tendency for a stricter control of offshore accounts, so it’s quite possible that the amount of funds there won’t reach $30 trillion.
What do people do with all that money? Trillions of dollars are just sitting there as dead weight. Their owners aren’t interesting in earning any profit – for the most part, their only objective is to keep that money. Why would they need any additional profit, anyway? Those people have enough saved for a hundred lifetimes, there’s no way they could spend it all.
So things were going great for them – until a certain point. More and more limitations are placed on offshore accounts, and more and more information about them keeps emerging. This is the worst fear of all embezzlers, tycoons, etc.
Crypto is the best answer, since it’s a way to store money in such a way that nobody will ever know about it or link it back to its owner (thanks to mixers etc.).
At the price of $5500 for 1 BTC, its market cap is about 100 billion dollars. If BTC goes up to $100 000, its market cap will reach $1.8 trillion – which is still 10 times less than the total amount stored in offshores now and 15 times less than what will be stored there in 10 years.
Ok! So the synopsis of what you are saying is that the Ultra High Networth people will eventually become interested in using cryptos to hide some of their wealth to evade limitations placed on their accounts and to safeguard their wealth!
I must say that this thought is absolutely flawed because that is not going to happen! This class of people will never invest in cryptos unless the government makes it totally legal because they know that their funds are always under the radar of the tax authority. So any high value transactions coming in or going out of their account, needs to be justifiable (even though a mixer service is used)! I simply don't see this happening!
However, there are other reason due to which bitcoin's price can skyrocket which are purely based on economy related theories! I won't go into details, but let me give you a list,
1. Bitcoin is limited to 21 million.
2. Increased adoption rate
3. Legalization attempts by the big economies
4. International stock markets like NASDAQ is testing a platform to trade bitcoin and other exchanges will follow the same path soon
I believe, these 4 reasons will play a big role in bitcoin's price increase for the years to come instead of just waiting for the ultra high net worth population to invest in bitcoin!