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Topic: Why did BTC drop by $75 in the past week - page 3. (Read 5365 times)

sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
Because of the FUD news, weak hands panicked.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1005
You don't follow 'press' board?
Two days ago, there was (again) a rumor that China is to 'ban' bitcoin (again). People panicked.

China 'bans' bitcoin every other day, what's the big deal?

It may also by the way be partly due to the American policy to tax it as property now I think of it.

Too bad I don't really have any fiat money right now, or I'd have bought more bitcoin....
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1000
Panicky traders who don't like a flat price, I was in that place at Christmas and made some stupid mistakes Tongue you get extremely impatient and start selling off and then everybody else takes advantage.
legendary
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1018
we broke below a very important price support recently ($530). if you look at the price history in the past 5 months, the only times we fell under this level were during brief flash panics that were immediately bought back up into the $600s range (immediate post-bubble recovery, and then mtgox panic sell). price action below this support for the length of time that we've seen has gotten everybody spooked about a real bear market ahead. also, most weak hands that have already sold are looking to buy lower. HODLers are simply HODLing, and bought the bitcoins they wanted at these "cheap" prices already during the consolidation. therefore there is little buying pressure left, so we're floating downward on low volume.

--arepo

Nice analyse but the good fundamentals are still here so we can plan on spiking up again at some point, there are probably A LOT of cash sitting in the exchanges and some cash coming to the exchanges that will buy back when they think we are going up again
It may take a while before we are resuming the bull market tough
newbie
Activity: 5
Merit: 0
Bitcoin going down?  Sad
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
this statement is false
we broke below a very important price support recently ($530). if you look at the price history in the past 5 months, the only times we fell under this level were during brief flash panics that were immediately bought back up into the $600s range (immediate post-bubble recovery, and then mtgox panic sell). price action below this support for the length of time that we've seen has gotten everybody spooked about a real bear market ahead. also, most weak hands that have already sold are looking to buy lower. HODLers are simply HODLing, and bought the bitcoins they wanted at these "cheap" prices already during the consolidation. therefore there is little buying pressure left, so we're floating downward on low volume.

--arepo
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
China rumors + panic selling
legendary
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1018
fud from china, usa and maybe excess mtgox loot being turned into fiat

That and the price going down pushing the price further down bc traders play the trend and people panic sell or sell in hope to buy cheaper
newbie
Activity: 10
Merit: 0
Too many sellers not enough buyers.
Next question?   Cheesy

Good one!  Cheesy But the question is: Why are there more sellers than buyers at the moment?
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
fud from china, usa and maybe excess mtgox loot being turned into fiat
legendary
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1018
member
Activity: 109
Merit: 10
Here's a better question. Why did it rise 100$'s in the past few months? The answer to that, most people claim, is 'because China'.

Now there are 'rumours' that PBOC is going to try and close Mainland-based crypto exchanges by getting rid of their bank accounts. Rumours have circulated about this kind of action before, but officials later denied them. However, this time - no denial. It is also widely expected to be true, and is certainly believable.

'So what? Bitcoin is decentralised, that's the whole point! China can't just ban it!'
This might be true in places like Europe. But China is different, and there are a number of differences. Some are easier to quantify than others. I live in Hongkong, and work with a lot of Chinese (that is, mainland Chinese) people.
Some differences that are easy to talk about are in the exchanges and businesses based in China. The Chinese RMB is not fully convertible, you'll struggle to hedge against it and if you wanted to expose yourself to even a relatively small amount (in finance terms) you may find you simply cannot. Take a look at the usual derivatives, and see if you can expose yourself to more than a few million RMB. So having a local bank account, and being a true local company, is important in China financially, which is why the news that the powers-that-be in China closing/forbidding exchanges having bank accounts is much bigger news than it would be elsewhere. Linked to this is the long list of rules and regulations (many unwritten) associated with doing business in China. It's just not the same as it is elsewhere, you can't just get round rules so easily there. It is a hard place to do business, if the officials don't want you do business then it becomes very very hard.

Also, many of the differences are in the way people make decisions. China is much more immature than the west when it comes to trust (generally, but especially online transactions). Online shopping is rare for expensive items besides one or two large retailers. Unlike in Europe, there is much less recourse for a transaction going bad if you buy from a little known seller online. If there are no local exchanges, that will have a significant impact on how Chinese people view the currency and how willing they are to be involved with it. The internet maybe global but the Chinese internet is quite self-contained.

On the other hand, what kind of people in China want to keep assets in bitcoin? Speculators? Or people who want to hide assets? This goes back to the first line of my reply, why did it rise so much and if people are correct in claiming 'China' then who in China and why. Answer that and you will have a better understanding of why it has fallen as much as it has, why it hasn't fallen more and how much further it has to fall.
newbie
Activity: 53
Merit: 0
March 29, 2014, 06:35:20 PM
#9
BTC not will rise soon! Drop drop drop. BTC to the center of earth.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1001
This is the land of wolves now & you're not a wolf
March 29, 2014, 06:13:16 PM
#8
Also the IRS ruling in regards to bitcoins isnt that favorable.
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1040
A Great Time to Start Something!
March 29, 2014, 05:55:36 PM
#7
Too many sellers not enough buyers.
Next question?   Cheesy
member
Activity: 81
Merit: 10
March 29, 2014, 05:36:14 PM
#6
Heavy hands are at work right now.  The price is being manipulated by big pockets, but is also being influenced by the press.  
This two-fold process has resulted in decreased BTC value, in my opinion.
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 1032
RIP Mommy
March 29, 2014, 05:27:24 PM
#5
Because morons.
full member
Activity: 127
Merit: 100
March 29, 2014, 05:23:29 PM
#4
I'm a bit confused with whats going on.

It must be fairly early adopters who are selling which is driving the price down, why else wold people bail out and take a large loss if they got into bitcoin more recently.

Im keeping my fingers crossed and have been buying all the way down simply because I believe bitcoin has a future.
newbie
Activity: 21
Merit: 0
March 29, 2014, 05:20:40 PM
#3
Fear!

Perfect time to buy Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
March 29, 2014, 03:04:04 PM
#2
You don't follow 'press' board?
Two days ago, there was (again) a rumor that China is to 'ban' bitcoin (again). People panicked.
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