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Topic: Why it all went wrong in 2014 - but why 2015 can be better. (Read 3564 times)

legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1030
Twitter @realmicroguy


Every time bitcoin adds a new big merchant like Microsoft or Time, it gets another gremlin-auto-dumper selling bitcoins on the market.

The only way to counter-balance this effect will be to integrate BTC on the payroll side. This will balance the scales by allowing merchants to funnel the BTC from POS to payroll rather than auto-selling at market price via Bitpay and others.

Overstock would be a great candidate for this type of integration. It could even possibly put them in the role of Bitcoin buyer if the payroll volume exceeded sales volume. Additionally, any business without a retail side (such as a manufacturer) would become a BTC buyer to meet payroll needs.
legendary
Activity: 1988
Merit: 1012
Beyond Imagination
2014 is similar to 2011 late crash, nothing new, when mining cost getting close to market price, the difficulty will be stabilized

Another aspect is the appreciation of USD. Since there was an anticipation of FED stopping QE, many countries' currency have dropped sharply against USD, so the liquidity of USD definitely affect the bitcoin capital inflow. Acutally the exchange rate of BTC/RUB or BTC/JPN are not affected that much, which means bitcoin acts more like a foreign currency
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1001
mining is so 2012-2013
The pump and dump era is now over – and I hope it never reappears.

Over?   Ohh young grashopper.  Its not over.  Just look at Paycoin.

Pump and dumps haven't gone anywhere.   They've just had to adapt.  Its all about who can lie better and better.  Who can deceive more convincingly.

First it was the Government of Iceland on board with Auroracoin.  That had lots of people believing.

Now its Amazon, Walmart, and whoever - supposedly on board with Paycoin.

-B-

So true.  Scam coins have run out of funny names, countries, animals, algorithms, anon features, drugs, and fertilizers to pump themselves around.  Now they are trying to be great payment methods, messengers, or some other digital commercial service.  The scam coins have upped the game, up the development costs, but they are still scamming and leaving bag holders. 

It is a shame because occasionally one service does come along and they are really trying to do something awesome and innovative but they are drowned out and copied by scammers to the extent that they don't get the support that they deserve. 

--------------

2014 was all around a good year for Bitcoin.  Yes, it saw lots of scandals, top of which was Mt. Gox, and numerous of which were in alt coins and/or people using Bitcoins illegally, but lots of development was made in the Bitcoin world with legitimate companies, start-ups, apps, services, hardware, infrastructure, users and merchants. 
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1001
Here is one theory as to why BTC had a price decline in 2014.

http://cointelegraph.com/news/113221/has-china-abandoned-bitcoin

legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004
First of all, the only thing disastrous about 2014 was the price drop.  Good things happened in every other facet of Bitcoin.
Er, Mt. Gox? Forgotten about that disaster already?
oops...for some reason thought it was last year.
Other recent shutdowns:
WhoWhenWhy
____________________________________________________________________________
Falcon Global Capital Bitcoin FundDec. 9, 2014Lack of interest
LocalBitcoins (Germany) Dec. 9, 2014In trouble with regulators
CoinJellyDec. 11, 2014Reason unknown, users refunded.

That's just December. Many Bitcoin businesses shut down in 2014. None of those stole customer assets in a big way, so they didn't get as much press as Mt. Gox.


It must suck to go through life finding nothing but negativity in everything. But what should I expect from the proprietor of downside.com?

Anyways, here are some aggregate figures across 4 distinct sectors of the overall bitcoin ecosystem (instead of, say, three discrete cherry-picked singular examples):

2014 merchant count: Up 500%
2014 web-wallet count: Up 333%
2014 venture capital investment: Up 322%
2014 network hashrate: Up 3250%

Pantera's BitIndex boils down metrics like these into a single index: https://panteracapital.com/bitindex/ [see how the line goes up and to the right?]
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
The pump and dump era is now over – and I hope it never reappears.

Over?   Ohh young grashopper.  Its not over.  Just look at Paycoin.

Pump and dumps haven't gone anywhere.   They've just had to adapt.  Its all about who can lie better and better.  Who can deceive more convincingly.

First it was the Government of Iceland on board with Auroracoin.  That had lots of people believing.

Now its Amazon, Walmart, and whoever - supposedly on board with Paycoin.

-B-
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
AltoCenter.com
Sky rocketing price is the right thing?

Why does people always think it like that?

Why can't they just say bitcoin is stabilizing?
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
First of all, the only thing disastrous about 2014 was the price drop.  Good things happened in every other facet of Bitcoin.
Er, Mt. Gox? Forgotten about that disaster already?
oops...for some reason thought it was last year.
Other recent shutdowns:
WhoWhenWhy
____________________________________________________________________________
Falcon Global Capital Bitcoin FundDec. 9, 2014Lack of interest
LocalBitcoins (Germany) Dec. 9, 2014In trouble with regulators
CoinJellyDec. 11, 2014Reason unknown, users refunded.

That's just December. Many Bitcoin businesses shut down in 2014. None of those stole customer assets in a big way, so they didn't get as much press as Mt. Gox.
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 251
The worst news is MT.gox

sr. member
Activity: 271
Merit: 250
[CURRENT_YEAR + 1] will be the year of Bitcoin!
newbie
Activity: 9
Merit: 0
The future is unknown but slowly many people have started to realized all the benefits that Bitcoin brings to the table. For those who are here for the short term try to understand that drastic change takes time.
full member
Activity: 206
Merit: 100
We need more support for projects that put money into the bitcoin economy now, (Getting paid in bitcoin) more than we need projects that take money out (Buying products with bitcoin).

If you buy my product with Bitcoin, then I will assure you that the Bitcoin you spend will stay in the economy. (I.e. I promise I won't trade it for fiat on an exchange.)
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 503
yeah!

I think that the next year is going to be a really good year for bitcoin  Grin
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
bitcoin community is giving a high confidence to 2015 for bitcoin I hope we don't get dissapointed
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1011
Reverse engineer from time to time
2014 was simply the worst in my life, so not just Bitcoin. But yeah, I agree the year was pretty bad.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
I don't think it will improve. There needs to be more security in bitcoin and the block reward needs to be halved twice. Too many miners are withdrawing into FIAT>
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
First of all, the only thing disastrous about 2014 was the price drop.  Good things happened in every other facet of Bitcoin.
Er, Mt. Gox? Forgotten about that disaster already?

oops...for some reason thought it was last year.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
First of all, the only thing disastrous about 2014 was the price drop.  Good things happened in every other facet of Bitcoin.
Er, Mt. Gox? Forgotten about that disaster already?
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
I think another reason where altcoins brought a drop in bitcoin was due to Ethereum. I think a massive amount of ICO funds were dumped after the presale, which was actually the reason for the drop from 600 to 500. It might actually have been somewhat a trigger.
hero member
Activity: 1372
Merit: 783
better everyday ♥
Depends on how you look at things.  2014 was worst than 2013 price wise, but adoption, infrastructure, and investment wise we're really moving in the right direction.

If you look at 2014 compared to the rest of Bitcoin's 5 year history, we're on a good trajectory overall.

But yes, to get the mainstream and wall street interested, we'll indeed need to price stabilize going upward if possible, as perception around the common man's circles are is "Bitcoin's dying a slow death".

Enter Winklevii COIN ETF ?
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