Let us say the present resistance is at $25000, this is because bitcoin increased to $25000 two time recently, first on the 14th of August, while also in the follow day which was 15th of August. Bitcoin could not reach more than $25200 and the daily down trend began again, but just two days now.
This is just a short time speculation, the resistance could be strong around $25000, but it was noticed that the support was also strong around $20000, people are not really selling more around that price, people are holding.
I do not know about short time speculation, but if you can just hold your bitcoin for a long time, $25000 will have no option for bitcoin than to be a support level, leading to a time bitcoin will never fall below $25000 again, just like $2500 of the past, when bitcoin was around that low price if compared to today's price.
You made a very nice analysis here and that is how the market is playing out. People are no longer selling more as compared to the panic that was last month. Bitcoin is roaming about and within 20 and I think it will remain there till it will make a major break through.
What I don't understand is people analysing that bitcoin will go to 17 and likely to 13 again before moving. I am finding it difficult to believe. Not that it is not possible that it will happen, but I haven't seen a strong indication to base the speculation.
My advise is that, anyone that is not a day trader should try and buy bitcoin for long term and forget about this price dramas and have peace of mind.