This is just a thought that occurred to me while reading some posts around here, feel free to discuss it or even criticize it. So if we want Bitcoin to rise in the future, we need it to crash first and many wannabe traders to sell off their coins at a loss when the price is low. If people don't close their positions in panic now and just wait out bad times, they simply won't let prices grow later because they will get out whenever the price rises just enough for them. But if they fix their losses, they will no longer have bitcoins to record minor profits and thus drag the price down in the future. As a consequence, the price can surge higher without a lot of selling pressure at bigger figures when the hype and buying frenzy begins anew.
The bottom line is that it is kinda required for Bitcoin to crash occasionally for the prices to rise higher eventually.
I think what you're trying to say is that crashes are needed to redistribute bitcoin to the strong hands from the weak hands. In order for the price to increase we will need people with a lower willingness to sell but that doesn't mean that we need a crash for such a thing to happen.
I thought about that but if we proceed from the assumption that the weak hands are small fish mostly, the redistribution you mean will lead to even higher centralization of wealth in fewer hands. Big fish are unlikely to sell their bitcoins for a lower price, in the worst case they would write them off completely rather than record losses. Further, strong hands can allow the price to rise higher because they won't be quite content with tiny profits unlike weak hands ready to run. So strong hands are definitely better "equipped" for the price growth but without a major crash, there won't be wealth accumulation.
I believe the most benefited by crashes in price are the big investors and not the little ones. The strong hands become stronger, the weak hands become weaker and in some cases, the weak hands lose all their coins... Surely some new enthusiasts benefit themselves from crashes too, as it's a good opportunity to buy cheap and hold, but for each $1 profit a new enthusiast/little fish makes, a whale is making $100 or even more...
Yep, crashes mostly affect those who can't afford to lose their money, and these are weak hands. But it is not just about strong hands becoming stronger at each turn of the wheel. The irony is that with each crash weak hands get removed and less stronger hands turn into new weak hands. And they will get slaughtered at the next dip. But since they are still stronger hands than those kicked out at the end of the previous pump and dump cycle, it will probably require stronger crashes too to get them thrown out of the market. And while crashes will likely lead to higher prices in the future, we should also expect deeper crashes along them as well.
So you basically want people to sell at a loss and lose money, so that things could be better for you. I rather them sell at that little profit that you mentioned and then get out, and for the price to steadily rise.
This crypto world is like every man for themselves.
What I mean is that OP you're looking at it on how it will best benefit you, and in a way dismissing those who sell at a loss. They certainly do not want to sell at a loss.
I fully understand what you both mean and I agree with your points wholeheartedly but we should keep in mind two things. First off, no one forces anyone to join this game, and second, this is a zero-sum game anyway where someone's profit is necessarily someone else's loss. So you are right, of course, every man is for themselves here. But you know the rules and if you don't accept them, you should stay away from the game. You have that choice.