I am personally a believer in the blockchain technology however will the currency aspect of the tech hold value and become the new way of transacting into the future or will it eventually bust like the .com bubble did? Any educated opinions welcomed.
It's gonna end worse.
You had real companies creating huge traffic networks.
The bubble was due to fraud by Turner and AOL claiming they were selling ads for $40cpm
They had almost no sales absolute FRAUD
The sales were almost all even exchanges between AOL and Turner
I'll. Sell you 100 million banners for $40cpm if you buy my 100 million for $40cpm
It's why AOL is now worth nothing
But eventually Google came along and found a market for 5 cent clicks.
Enter the age of Google
Most of the new social media Giants can't justify their market caps
Google the big asset, the rest over valued.
If you actually try to use the bullshit ads of FB and Twitter and IG and Lin
You quickly find out the only network that brings results is Google.
So the whole net comes down to Google, the rest is bullshit.
Now business sites produce income but the value of most pure internet companies is bullshit.
The problem with crypto all the good ideas that did ICOs tied to exchanges that value everything in BTC is BTC has nothing justify it's value with so as BTC eventually implodes that will impact every coin.
Yet crypto is real.
Think of Bitcoin like infoseek in 1996
Now Ethereum is Yahoo
Ripple is Alta Vista
The Google of crypto is about to debut
It will scale to do billions of small transactions a day, it will be instant in speed and it will cost nothing for merchants to use.
Merchant acceptance will drive it and consumers join it to get merchant deals only available for the coin.
I've seen a couple of projects proposing it, it's being done with VC dough.
Interesting point of view.
However, MSFT still dominates with Windows and Office, Ebay dominates its niche and Amazon dominates ecommerce (at least in NA and EU with Alibaba a strong showing in Asia). MSFT is even pre-web, Ebay/AMZN-early internet. FB and Google-successful late comers.
This just illustrates the point that sometimes network effects are so strong that they withstand decades of tech evolution and/or tech iterations.
the conclusion is it is too early to tell whether bitcooin will have long term staying power (it might, but not guaranteed).
However the good news is that at least 2-4 more strong players will likely to exist and prosper, which makes it interesting.