Bitcoin's supply is still 21 million bitcoins, it doesn't decrease with each halving, to be precise, mining is becoming more and more difficult. You guys always emphasize the supply but forget to mention the demand of bitcoin. Supply is limited but demand does not increase, then the price will never increase, supply is not the only factor for bitcoin to increase in price if there is no demand. We should judge the value of bitcoin by looking at supply and demand, we shouldn't focus too much on the halving, what if the bitcoin price doesn't increase after the halving?
OK, so tell my why there shouldn't be a demand for bitcoin. It works pretty much like digital gold and is currently the best store of value out there, because it's the first and the only decentralized way to hold money. Every other thing is limited, requires a third party, or like gold is hard to carry around and sell. Bitcoin is simply the best and if you give people time, more and more will get to understand this.
Even if we ignore the above, bitcoin was trading at above $40k for almost a whole year in 2021. Why shouldn't it be like that in the future? You're looking at 30k right now but in reality going from 30 to 35 requires very low amount of money when compared to how much people put in stocks. A single billionaire investing in bitcoin could get us above 30k today and there's a lot of billionaires in the world.
What does it mean after the halving? Do you mean a month? A year? It's mathematically impossible for bitcoin to stay flat below 30k despite the halving. It either goes up to 40k or it dies and goes to 1k and eventually below, but for that the blockchain would have to fail somehow. As long as bitcoin works it's going up.
That's correct; I also don't see any valid reason for Bitcoin not to surpass $30,000. I understand that the OP is possibly concerned about the current crash in the market, with Bitcoin's worth at $27,900 as we speak, as we were used to it being stable during, the past few months. It is said to be the period with the lowest volatility since 2016. However, as you've also mentioned, Bitcoin was being traded at over $40,000 for over a year, while not long ago, probably less than a month ago, it had reached the price of $31,000. To sum up, it's statistically impossible not to see a recovery somewhere within 2024.