If you think the election could push bitcoin to 80 or 85k, don't rule out the possibility that it could cause a bitcoin dump. The “sell the news” scenario could also happen even if Trump wins the election. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that if Trump is elected, he will keep his promises. Therefore, we should always prepare ourselves with a backup plan instead of being too subjective and entrusting the development of bitcoin into the hands of a politician.
Personally, I am more interested in the upcoming actions of the Fed because I believe that is the main factor determining the market movement. If they continue to cut rates in November and December, I believe we will hit new all-time highs before the year is out.
Hmm, but what can you say about the recent uptick now? are you still not gonna accept that the election might be the catalyst for the bull run? Have you seen the price lately, it has been pushing very hard and there are reports that this is due to the election itself. You are correct that there is no guarantee that Trump will win, but what if he does? My point is that why we should be very negative and adamant that we are in the bull run? For the Fed cut rate hike, last month we had it, and yeah we have some major push but then again, after the news has died down, and so is the price going back to $60k-$62k if my memory serves me right and as we nearing the end of the month and the election itself, people FOMO pushing the price to now $72k-$73k.
While election is DEFINITELY a catalyst for the price action, we can't really assume any of them being the reason for it. Trump or Kamala doesn't matter, this could have been Trump vs Biden, or could be Me vs You, doesn't matter who we are talking about as candidates. Election is the thing people care about, they buy before the election starts, and just rally it up after election as well.
So we need to be careful about what we are seeing and not really consider this as a reason for bitcoin to be related to any of the politicians. If you relate bitcoin to any specific politician, you are putting it on a side. People who say Trump is good for Bitcoin, and Kamala is bad, making Kamala fans not be in favour of bitcoin and we do not need that, keep politics out of bitcoin, we need people who dislike both and want to have their own currency, that is how you grow and that is how bitcoin grew so far as well. Nobody said anything about Obama and crypto, so we shouldn't say it for others too.