It's almost guaranteed at this point. We will be over 200 Billion in diff BEFORE the block halving.
maybe maybe not.
you need realize bitmaintech has enough gear to move diff 10 to 20% by turning power on and off.
they are truly moving the diff rate where they want it to be.
they can influence price but that costs them more to do.
they can move diff around a lot much more cheaply.
They are so big it is not about putting all you have in a farm and mining.
It is about putting the right amount on line to get the best bang for the buck.
Like a queen sacrifice in a chess game seems dumb short term but long term it wins the game.
below are various moves.
1)Bitmaintech would like to see price at 900 and then sell s-9's slowly all summer and fall.
all the while mining with only s-9's and making big bucks $$
2) Bitmaintech would like to see price going up up up up to 1500 or more and sell s-9's like mad. While mining with only s-9's and making bigger bucks $$$
3) bitmiantech know they have .10 watt gear and will sell slow to keep diff lower. then tweak their design to mine in house with .08 watt gear. in this case price could be under 500 they still do well.
4) I can give 10 more ways they can play it.
5) until other companies clearly show they are mining with .1 watt gear bitmaintech is king.