we have plenty of opportunity to move within (currently) a wide window of $15k-$90k
so don t expect crashes to $10k or speculations up to $200k
prices will(for now be limited to 15k-90k.. but from looking at the flat line resistances of 1-8 week periods. the whales want to control the price marginally in smaller movements
Are you talking about this year or until ATH max of $90k? If this year I agree that's more or less the range (except I think $20k to 50k is more likely in this next 12 months).
If it is including next year I do expect a crash to $10k if it happens below 30k (50% wipeout).
neither!
im talking about numbers unrelated to market price predicting within the window. i was giving the scope of min:max or what the price(whereever it ends up, being within, not where it would sit at any given time
its more so saying the obvious..like: " in 2023 humans will be.. on earth"
this is about the value:premium window frame limits of the last few months.. as a 6 month window.. it has nothing to do with predicting the price by X time within that window, nor what specific location in the window the price will be.
its more so saying the limits of where you wont find the price(no humans in the deep abyss of the ocean or on mars any time soon)
as for your $10k predictions. thats a number below $15k. thus your sugesting man will swim into the abyss
so again to explain
if the many methods to acquire bitcoin. where mining is one of them has lots of sentiments of different prices independantly depends on who and how they can get bitcoin
however if you find the edge cases. the extreme ends you then know where the price wont go
the cheapest method on planet is mining in the best electric location with the most efficient hardware, where this base number cost of bitcoin is $15k
at the other end with relatively new hardware but less efficient with electric prices being highest on planet sits at $90k
if everyone can mine from home for less than $90k no one is really wanting to pay a supreme premium of $90k to get bitcoin if they can all get it cheaper via other methods(thus imagine for instance $200k as a no-go zone of silly expectation)
if no one can mine from most efficient asic farm for less than $15k no one is really wanting to sell for a loss of $15k
so thats its boundary lines(thus imagine for instance $7.5k as a no-go zone of silly expectation)
hashrate has to drop by a lot and stay consistently low for about 6 months to really affect the bottom boundary
2021 seen a window of ~$10k-$75k. and as we can now see the price healthily sat within that boundary window
2022seen a window of ~$15k-$90k. and as we can now see the price healthily sat within that boundary window
in short
the underlying non-zero boundary does increase per 4 year halving cycle and will continue to do so to support the market price then speculating above the boundary, where by within that 4 years cycle the bottom boundary moves up slowly and not as volatile as the speculating market price above the boundary
oh and electric costs have gone up since 2021-2022 so costs of the bottom boundary are in a moving up direction not down