Topic: Win 10 BTC: Guess the price on February 1st (no entry fee) - page 12. (Read 15505 times)
23.95
32.95
(one can hope, right?)
(one can hope, right?)
18.55
$14
$33.10
19.22
$15.75
$ 25.24
19.21
$17.69
$18.7833
$18.25 
giszmo, cool.
Here's the link to the data in an easily digestible format for stats making: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AndZWiwa1OJddGY4ckZHTFhIM1gxUWRLYS02NmQwWWc
Here's the link to the data in an easily digestible format for stats making: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AndZWiwa1OJddGY4ckZHTFhIM1gxUWRLYS02NmQwWWc
my guess = USD 22.22
$20.80
lets see if post count correlates with bullish or bearish predictions:
hmm ... I see no clear trend towards bullishism or bearishism but to realism maybe:
I removed one (noob) vote of $124 so the chart gets readable. Interesting that the 2 3k-posters and the 2 6k-posters each agree to different prices.
If you are interested in the raw data (up to4 5 posts ago):
163/21.29;3309/19.6;818/21.17;525/18.82;66/19.05;410/15.72;87/19.80;353/18.26;20/19.83;381/22.60;6073/16.438559;166/24.00;813/20;1064/18.11;257/19;830/16.8;35/16.05;137/25.00;38/10.00;120/12.5;20/20.43;76/127;1623/18.8666;4/23.22;760/23.15;22/23.18;7/18.76;17/18.50;31/19.87;365/16.45;98/23.23;99/15.71;207/30.12;74/19.911;877/18.16;30/27;55/17.3;1193/18.24;112/17.95;127/19.387453;32/22.42;149/18.40;101/15.5;419/19.73;135/22.09;658/20.05;18/19.59;30/18.37;490/17.46;8/26.81;700/18.97;159/16.71;1346/18.53;40/18.01;109/14.4;1086/23.74;56/15.52;28/27.33;17/15.85;6076/16.42;28/17.97;271/18.14;204/17.31;16/13.5892;355/18.20;7/19.45;68/15.34;175/17.75;6/22.38;3383/19.2765;4/29.9;43/18.36;42/21.12;116/22.32;3/19.82;45/21.2;105/19.50;60/18.95;115/20.131;6/21.22;107/22.45;20/19.00;421/20.09;305/19.45;11/26.89;343/19.09;8/23.62351;16/14.07;252/18.05;43/19.86;249/20.543;12/18.85
The median poster had 109 posts and the median estimate was $19.09.
My conclusion: The longer your track record here on the forum the less you want to look stupid by saying "$8" or "$34" even if you think it's likely.
More interesting than the post count would maybe be the account age. Guess the above picture would be clearer with that.
hmm ... I see no clear trend towards bullishism or bearishism but to realism maybe:
I removed one (noob) vote of $124 so the chart gets readable. Interesting that the 2 3k-posters and the 2 6k-posters each agree to different prices.
If you are interested in the raw data (up to
163/21.29;3309/19.6;818/21.17;525/18.82;66/19.05;410/15.72;87/19.80;353/18.26;20/19.83;381/22.60;6073/16.438559;166/24.00;813/20;1064/18.11;257/19;830/16.8;35/16.05;137/25.00;38/10.00;120/12.5;20/20.43;76/127;1623/18.8666;4/23.22;760/23.15;22/23.18;7/18.76;17/18.50;31/19.87;365/16.45;98/23.23;99/15.71;207/30.12;74/19.911;877/18.16;30/27;55/17.3;1193/18.24;112/17.95;127/19.387453;32/22.42;149/18.40;101/15.5;419/19.73;135/22.09;658/20.05;18/19.59;30/18.37;490/17.46;8/26.81;700/18.97;159/16.71;1346/18.53;40/18.01;109/14.4;1086/23.74;56/15.52;28/27.33;17/15.85;6076/16.42;28/17.97;271/18.14;204/17.31;16/13.5892;355/18.20;7/19.45;68/15.34;175/17.75;6/22.38;3383/19.2765;4/29.9;43/18.36;42/21.12;116/22.32;3/19.82;45/21.2;105/19.50;60/18.95;115/20.131;6/21.22;107/22.45;20/19.00;421/20.09;305/19.45;11/26.89;343/19.09;8/23.62351;16/14.07;252/18.05;43/19.86;249/20.543;12/18.85
The median poster had 109 posts and the median estimate was $19.09.
My conclusion: The longer your track record here on the forum the less you want to look stupid by saying "$8" or "$34" even if you think it's likely.
More interesting than the post count would maybe be the account age. Guess the above picture would be clearer with that.
19.67
$20.14
$20.21
$ 18.85
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