Hii all..
It is true that 4 of you said above?? Thats poker have a trick and the trick was counting like math?? Pliss share it more, i want to know all you got..
Because what i know playing poker only need luck to get good/best pair of cards and must have great mentality to bid more from others (have poker face), even if your cards were only High card without any single pair. But Pliss correct me if im wrong to give and share what i have in my mind.. i like to gambling but only on sportsbook and sometimes dice game, but never try poker or any other cards
let me make it easy for u guys , I think all of you know what are the good cards
but when we are talking about math , it's not that easy but also not that complicated
I will try to give you a small example : let's say we have A2 of spades and the Board is : Qs3s7hKd
The pot is $100 and our opponent moves all-in for $50. So we have to call $50 for a chance of winning a total of $150. Assuming that the only way for us to win the hand is by hitting our flush on the last card ( we put our opponents on at least two pairs ), what is the expected value of calling? In other words, is it profitable for us to call?
and he we go with the math : The probability of hitting a flush on the river is 4.1 to 1, which is roughly 20% chance or 0.2. Therefore, the odds of not hitting a flush will be 1 - 0.2 = 0.8
Also, notice how we are looking to win $150 and only lose $50 in each outcome. We are only going to lose $50 because that is how much we are paying to try and hit our flush in this single decision. We are not factoring in money that we have put in to the pot in previous betting rounds. We just take the facts from this decision alone
so now our EV one hitting the flush is : 150$ x 0.2 = +30$
now if we calculate our EV if we don't hit the flush this would be : -50$ x 0.8 = -40$
total EV = -10$ , that means the average of us when we call in this situation is losing 10$ every hand
so this is a situation we have to avoid calling on it ( calling the bet here is worst than playing dice or roulette )
now let's say that our opponent only raise 10$ , so that would make us risk 10$ to win 60$
let's do the math again in this situation
if we hit EV woud be : 60$ x 0.2 = +12$
if we don't hit EV would be : -10$ x 0.8 = -8$
EV = +4$ , which means in everytime we call this hand we are expecting to make 4$ and he we are doing the right decision and these decisions which makes some players winners and others are losers
I really hope that u understand a little about how math plays its part in poker
