Due to release delays, I wouldn't be surprised if the only people who are going to ever see a positive ROI on their BFL ASIC orders are those who are wisely trying to sell them before they ship to folks who haven't sat down and done the math.
Their pre-order pool is going to be so big that it will be self-destructive to the very miners who thought they were going to have an edge.
Their pre-order pool is going to be so big that it will be self-destructive to the very miners who thought they were going to have an edge.
1) Considering I bought these back in June when the price was lower, I spent almost the same # of BTC as what I'm selling them for. And yet my estimated ROI is anywhere from 2-6 months, depending on how those first 2 months go.
2) Have you actually sat down and done the math of how many BTC you can get with 10GH/s? Taking into account shipping times, difficulty recalculation timing, and estimated difficulty? As I said, its anywhere from 40-80BTC.
3) I don't think that's true. Compare the current Single to the SC Single: It's ~48x as fast, at 2.16x the price. That's a 22x performance boost for every Bitcoin (or dollar) spent. But then we have to take into account the reward half. So, as long as the difficulty doesn't go over ~11x what it is now (which would be a ~250THs network), a SC Single will mine the same BTC/day as a current Single in today's market. This is what BFL said would happen, abeit eventually. Who knows how long it will take to get to that point (6 months? 1 year?), so in the mean time, they are insanely more profitable.
3.b) If you think the market will reach numbers larger than 250TH/s in the next 6-12 months, then you have to hope that the USD/BTC price will rise to keep mining on the same level of profitability.
