regarding bitcoin as technology will be dethroned:
Glad to see some senior bitcoin holders kindle interesting and substantive discussions on altcoins. Especially thanks to rpietila and Peter R for their insights.
Regarding the The Alt-coin Narrative Cycle, which by the way was a very interesting read, I was wondering, since you disagree bitcoin is a technology which can be de-throned by better technology, on what do you base you belief and what do you think bitcoin is?
Because I don't believe bitcoin
is a technology. Bitcoin
contains technology but the $7.3 billion market cap is not a measure of that. Bitcoin is money, and money is memory. Money represents a shared agreement between the individuals who voluntarily use it. Our shared agreement is that spots on The Blockchain represent value and one transfers his value by signing a message with his private key (e.g., in exchange for goods or services).
Forget about bitcoin the protocol, and even bitcoin the payment network (nodes + miners), and focus on bitcoin as a shared agreement that the distribution of wealth encoded by the blockchain is efficient and legitimate. If it wasn't efficient, large holders would sell, and small holders would buy. If it wasn't legitimate, people wouldn't be willing to trade their time in exchange for bitcoins, and bitcoin would have collapsed.
So the value of money (e.g., bitcoin) primarily comes from the legitimacy of its ledger. The legitimacy of this ledger increases as more people adopt this form of money, and as time proves that it's not a passing fad.
Viewed through this lens, it becomes clear that even a superior technology (although I question if one exists) would unlikely de-throne bitcoin
the ledger, for the new technology would simple be adopted by the ledger as the new payment system.
In my mind, the only thing that could dethrone bitcoin would be a more legitimate ledger. But I don't see how it is possible to create one.
I think it is very hard to argue against this from a logical perspective; anyway even this guy sees monero as the most legitimate system besides bitcoin.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.7014866the first ~20 pages are really worth reading