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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 958. (Read 3314350 times)

legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
October 29, 2016, 05:28:25 PM
Any news on the GUI release date???

The GUI is currently being tested and debugged. How long this will take is very hard to predict because of the nature of software development. A good place to follow progress on the GUI is https://github.com/monero-project/monero-core.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1119
October 29, 2016, 05:26:26 PM
...

ZEC will not even have full rewards for 30+ days. I think trying to price it currently is impossible. Give it a few weeks and I bet it has a pretty large market cap (not that I really judge coins by that).

In a few months maybe. My initial thought was 6 - 9 months. What I did not take into account was the horrid combination of a very sophisticated marketing campaign with the ultra slow initial emission. What this has done is hurt Zcash; however it has not changed the reality that ZCash is not a real competitor to Monero until it can muster a valid market capitalization based upon a realistic valuation of the individual tokens. In the meantime a lot can happen with Monero.

All that matters is the hype and marketing. No one really uses alt coins for anything other than speculation. It will be interesting to watch either way!
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
October 29, 2016, 05:24:28 PM
...

ZEC will not even have full rewards for 30+ days. I think trying to price it currently is impossible. Give it a few weeks and I bet it has a pretty large market cap (not that I really judge coins by that).

In a few months maybe. My initial thought was 6 - 9 months. What I did not take into account was the horrid combination of a very sophisticated marketing campaign with the ultra slow initial emission. What this has done is hurt Zcash; however it has not changed the reality that ZCash is not a real competitor to Monero until it can muster a valid market capitalization based upon a realistic valuation of the individual tokens. In the meantime a lot can happen with Monero.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1119
October 29, 2016, 05:13:04 PM
I can not imagine that anyone is surprised with the nosedive in prices. Zcash is obviously going to dominate the anon coins even though it has a lot of issues. This goes to show you that marketing > technology for alt coins. I will be waiting for what I feel is the bottom and probably buying up some XMR for long term. This coin has a good dev team and solid technology behind it...just lacks the obvious GUI and marketing.

My guess is .005 is the bottom.

Maybe in a few months. The reality today is its current market cap is 1.37 million USD and falling and it is ranked number 67 in market cap. Now how many "anon" coins have a higher marketcap?

Edit: All "marketing" has done for ZCash is create a mega bear market. Those who listened to the marketers, never a good idea in any case, were fed to some very hungry bears.  

ZEC will not even have full rewards for 30+ days. I think trying to price it currently is impossible. Give it a few weeks and I bet it has a pretty large market cap (not that I really judge coins by that).
newbie
Activity: 20
Merit: 0
October 29, 2016, 05:02:42 PM
Any news on the GUI release date???
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
October 29, 2016, 04:58:58 PM
Monero will be down until February, 2017. One of the biggest crypto market has Monero closed until January 2017, so I guess every investor will take 'a break' from this currency until then. Starting from February, we'll start seeing higher rates. Now it's going down.

Does you mean Monero Market which was open for only a few weeks and did not have a sale because it was so new?
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
October 29, 2016, 04:29:21 PM
I can not imagine that anyone is surprised with the nosedive in prices. Zcash is obviously going to dominate the anon coins even though it has a lot of issues. This goes to show you that marketing > technology for alt coins. I will be waiting for what I feel is the bottom and probably buying up some XMR for long term. This coin has a good dev team and solid technology behind it...just lacks the obvious GUI and marketing.

My guess is .005 is the bottom.

Maybe in a few months. The reality today is its current market cap is 1.37 million USD and falling and it is ranked number 67 in market cap. Now how many "anon" coins have a higher marketcap?

Edit: All "marketing" has done for ZCash is create a mega bear market. Those who listened to the marketers, never a good idea in any case, were fed to some very hungry bears.  
hero member
Activity: 608
Merit: 509
October 29, 2016, 03:54:11 PM

I respectfully believe you are in fantasyland... Why would people in keep their value in bitcoin and not in monero?


Okay so add item 4.5 to my list in the middle there between 4 and 5 :

4.5 Pirate Party in Iceland adopts MONERO (in addition to, or maybe even instead of?) Bitcoin...

...so that the Speculative Attack scenario even includes XMR taking on BTC and still leading to HyperMoneroIzation scenario!

Maybe THAT is more likeable to the forum thread here?  

After all this is the Monero Speculation board not bitcoin spec board... heh heh... sorry about that Smiley
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
October 29, 2016, 03:53:06 PM
Monero will be down until February, 2017. One of the biggest crypto market has Monero closed until January 2017, so I guess every investor will take 'a break' from this currency until then. Starting from February, we'll start seeing higher rates. Now it's going down.
member
Activity: 261
Merit: 10
https://assetsplit.org/
October 29, 2016, 03:45:53 PM
Well guys... hmm, some weekend so far, eh?  Never a dull moment 'round here in crypto-land LOL

As a little distraction from this Great Halloween ALT Massacre Of 2016™ just thought I'd throw this out there for something to think about...

1. Bitcoin back on the rise as the Belle Of The Ball, again, and alt-coin money flowing back to the Mothership? 

2. Thus maybe new ATH coming soon for Honey Badger on the strength of Chinese Yuan devaluation yet again and/or maybe finally finally finally SOME break of the block-size stalemate, chinese miners actually maybe gonna make the move to BU???

3. Number #1 and #2 maybe leading to Winki ETF approval (soon™?) and thus mega-epic flow of Wall Street Money into bitcoin, market cap quickly going from 10 Billion to conservatively maybe 50 Billion?

4. Pirate Party in Iceland possibly on the verge of winning political power this weekend, on partial strength of their policy to make Bitcoin an "official" currency of a real, honest to God, actual country's legal government?

5. Number #3 50 Billion Market Cap and #4 about Bitcoin in Iceland leading to implementation of Speculative Attack (http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/speculative-attack/) and HyperBitcoinization (http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/hyperbitcoinization/) scenario...?

Anyone seeing this play out this way or am I just in fantasyland yet again? LOL


I respectfully believe you are in fantasyland.  When the article about hyperbitcoinization was written, that was the time when we didn't realize yet that bitcoin was not as anonymous as it could be, and the prevalent idea was that 'there could be only one'.
Nowadays we can shapeshift a bitcoin in any other shape we want, and therefore i think that eventually people will loose interest in bitcoin itself and move on to other forms of money that better suit the purpose of the person holding it. Why would people in iceland keep their value in bitcoin and not in monero?
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1119
October 29, 2016, 03:30:42 PM
I can not imagine that anyone is surprised with the nosedive in prices. Zcash is obviously going to dominate the anon coins even though it has a lot of issues. This goes to show you that marketing > technology for alt coins. I will be waiting for what I feel is the bottom and probably buying up some XMR for long term. This coin has a good dev team and solid technology behind it...just lacks the obvious GUI and marketing.

My guess is .005 is the bottom.
newbie
Activity: 46
Merit: 0
October 29, 2016, 03:15:34 PM
Well, all I can say is adaptation and good patience is needed amidst this turmoil. Good luck to everyone Smiley
hero member
Activity: 608
Merit: 509
October 29, 2016, 02:25:17 PM
Well guys... hmm, some weekend so far, eh?  Never a dull moment 'round here in crypto-land LOL

As a little distraction from this Great Halloween ALT Massacre Of 2016™ just thought I'd throw this out there for something to think about...

1. Bitcoin back on the rise as the Belle Of The Ball, again, and alt-coin money flowing back to the Mothership? 

2. Thus maybe new ATH coming soon for Honey Badger on the strength of Chinese Yuan devaluation yet again and/or maybe finally finally finally SOME break of the block-size stalemate, chinese miners actually maybe gonna make the move to BU???

3. Number #1 and #2 maybe leading to Winki ETF approval (soon™?) and thus mega-epic flow of Wall Street Money into bitcoin, market cap quickly going from 10 Billion to conservatively maybe 50 Billion?

4. Pirate Party in Iceland possibly on the verge of winning political power this weekend, on partial strength of their policy to make Bitcoin an "official" currency of a real, honest to God, actual country's legal government?

5. Number #3 50 Billion Market Cap and #4 about Bitcoin in Iceland leading to implementation of Speculative Attack (http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/speculative-attack/) and HyperBitcoinization (http://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/hyperbitcoinization/) scenario...?

Anyone seeing this play out this way or am I just in fantasyland yet again? LOL
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
October 29, 2016, 10:32:01 AM
So are we having fun yet?

Nope, I made a Boo Boo and went long. Gonna lose everything I just built up. Lol Cheesy

Well it's my first big error so far so I can live with it, have been going against the odds for too long. Wink


Shit got margin called. Smiley

Nice that polo emailed me and warned me ahead of time, too bad I was at casino and didn't notice. Such is life got sucked out on for a few grand as well, on a real roll here! Cheesy
full member
Activity: 532
Merit: 101
October 29, 2016, 10:27:45 AM
I think this is just a momentary bounce, 0.006 will be tested again today.
You were right, i keep thinking "i missed the bottom" and it keeps going down even more. Removed a buy-order at 0.063 seconds before it was too late Grin
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
October 29, 2016, 10:21:37 AM
So are we having fun yet?
member
Activity: 69
Merit: 10
October 29, 2016, 09:50:42 AM
After the 2013 bubble bitcoin did not start to recover until the weekly 200 MA was tested for nine months.

Context : BTC was > 6 years old at that time. How did it look for previous BTC bubbles with the weekly 200MA, when BTC was same age as XMR ?
Please explain why you would look at the weekly 200MA for an asset the age of XMR. Either I don't understand (very possible) or it is a pretty irrelevant comparison unless.
I think I am going to need some charts to understand your point please.

Go to bitcoinwisdom, put up a 200 MA on a weekly MtGox BTC/USD chart and you will see the weekly 200 MA worked for earlier bitcoin bubbles. XMR just tested the daily 200 MA.



Thanks, that's clear now  Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 473
Merit: 250
October 29, 2016, 09:43:45 AM
I think this is just a momentary bounce, 0.006 will be tested again today.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1164
October 29, 2016, 09:35:05 AM
I'm buying some now after I sold a bunch at $7.30. Seems to be good long term investment.

I hope you put a 10% stop loss on your long, I doubt that Monero has bottomed yet with Bitcoin on the rise. Next support level if .0058 does not hold is .0043.
full member
Activity: 532
Merit: 101
October 29, 2016, 09:30:27 AM
Well FANBOYS!!! Admit it!! Adolf was right! N-rG was right! PID was right! BitcoinMagazin was right!
You ignored them, you insulted them and me! That's what you got haha! You got scammed!!!

Actually i was not right, i did not expect it to crash this badly, both i and N-rG overstimated xmr. I only profited about 0.2BTC from xmr in general, but at least i did not lose money unlike most idiots here.

Looks like i may have missed a buying opportunity(0.006), will remove the buy-order, could go down again a lot more.
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