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Topic: Yet another analyst :) - page 96. (Read 269580 times)

legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
March 17, 2013, 05:26:57 PM
Tomorrow should be a promising day in stocks. Hello Cyprus... This could and should trigger nice bitcoin correction since bitcoin copying stocks sentiments.

Looks like it is the best time to cancel my orders at $36 and reposition at $2
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
March 17, 2013, 05:23:10 PM
Tomorrow should be a promising day in stocks. Hello Cyprus... This could and should trigger nice bitcoin correction since bitcoin copying stocks sentiments.
donator
Activity: 853
Merit: 1000
March 17, 2013, 01:38:41 PM
Paid bullish analytics were continously >50% wrong during price travel 32 ->2 -> 5.

It is not big surprise that bearish analysis is continously wrong during bullish trend.


It's hard to compete with the trend. If you just watch the ROC you'll be right more often than not.

But then again, all this Quantitative Finance stuff is BS in my opinion, you need a qualitative system if you want to avoid burnout.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
March 17, 2013, 11:32:43 AM



Warning: How many of you Bears have ever been a victim of a Short Squeeze?
[/quote]


very good question, i think many bears here dont even know what you are speaking about ...
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
March 17, 2013, 11:20:54 AM
Paid bullish analytics were continously >50% wrong during price travel 32 ->2 -> 5.

It is not big surprise that bearish analysis is continously wrong during bullish trend.


my newsletter didn't start until April 2012 when we were @ 5  Cheesy

during the downtrend, bulls could still be right by "pausing", ie, not buying during the meat of the downturn. 

but buying @ the bottom...

Warning: How many of you Bears have ever been a victim of a Short Squeeze?
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
March 17, 2013, 11:13:56 AM
Paid bullish analytics were continously >50% wrong during price travel 32 ->2 -> 5.

It is not big surprise that bearish analysis is continously wrong during bullish trend.

Some short term bad news (not yet confirmed with daily close)


Adding to that, if you take into account the 6hour MACD, and the 12Hour MACD then it may more understandable why the Daily MACD is also going the same way as the others...

6hour Chart:




12hour Chart:

sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
March 17, 2013, 08:21:25 AM
Paid bullish analytics were continously >50% wrong during price travel 32 ->2 -> 5.

It is not big surprise that bearish analysis is continously wrong during bullish trend.

Some short term bad news (not yet confirmed with daily close)

legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1004
March 17, 2013, 05:32:01 AM
being wrong >50% of the time is just as hard as being right >50% of the time.

even a broken clock is right twice a day...
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
March 16, 2013, 12:24:24 PM

@bowjob

yeahh. lucif is so wrong in many ways. he will never get it. pity.

being wrong >50% of the time is just as hard as being right >50% of the time.
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
March 16, 2013, 12:23:42 PM
In principle I agree, but BTC has proven to be a different market. Sideways, its a buy. Down, its a real buy, and it does not get down that often.

up is also usually a buy. especially when it has been trading sideways and breaks out of that range.

donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
March 16, 2013, 12:22:37 PM
I just said "warning"

a warning cannot be wrong Wink
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
March 16, 2013, 12:11:40 PM
Warning!
Need to be warned if this candle will stay similar till the end of week (hanging man)

http://i.imgur.com/mxUIchk.png

lucif only said warning ... that is not a hanging man take Nison book at look at page 68 figure 3.5  3.6

also the patten is so clear that even the automatic detection software included on sierra chart dont detect this weekly candles like hanging man




The S&P just broke an important trendline; it will be interesting to see if the correlation continues. If so, I think there's a good chance that Lucif is about to be proven right.

on daily is doing this
donator
Activity: 853
Merit: 1000
March 16, 2013, 11:20:44 AM
The S&P just broke an important trendline; it will be interesting to see if the correlation continues. If so, I think there's a good chance that Lucif is about to be proven right.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
March 16, 2013, 11:10:47 AM
Lucif, I like your strict TA. I can mix it with my own viewpoint. I don't need to blame you for looking at it so purely.
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1004
March 16, 2013, 06:34:06 AM

@bowjob

yeahh. lucif is so wrong in many ways. he will never get it. pity.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
March 16, 2013, 06:12:49 AM
Lets look at the fundamentals. CoinLab deal, Bernanke printing 85 billion, general all around mass adoption. It goes against you TA.
legendary
Activity: 3108
Merit: 1531
yes
March 16, 2013, 06:04:17 AM
In principle I agree, but BTC has proven to be a different market. Sideways, its a buy. Down, its a real buy, and it does not get down that often.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 251
March 16, 2013, 04:48:51 AM
Looking back at spring of 2011. A time where more and more people where discovering bitcoin. Retrospectively the beginning of a big bubble.

Look similar ? See how this hanging man ended.



(http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#igWeeklyzczsg2011-04-11zeg2011-05-02ztgSzbgBza1gSMAzm1g15za2gSMAzm2g30zi1gVolzi2gMACDzi3gRSIzi4gAccDistzcv)
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Clown prophet
March 16, 2013, 04:27:36 AM
I just said "warning"
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
March 16, 2013, 04:26:41 AM
Warning!
Need to be warned if this candle will stay similar till the end of week (hanging man)



You know, you've been consistently wrong in the past, but you might not be talking shit this time.

Quote
This formation does not mean that the bulls have definitively lost control, but it may be an early sign that the momentum is decreasing and the direction of the asset may be getting ready to change. The reliability of this signal is drastically improved when the price of the asset decreases the day after the signal. Hanging man formations can be more easily identified in intraday charts than daily charts and are a very popular formation used by day traders.

Read more: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hangingman.asp#ixzz2Nh2z4hwv
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