My guess is also within the $80,000 range. It might be around $85,000. By the end of the year, it's already around 8 months after the halving. So I believe that's already a point when the effect of the reduced block reward is felt. The effect of the halving is gradual. That's why the ATH that usually follows after the halving will take at least a year. Since it is already 8 months after, the price must have already absorbed the halving. This will probably approach $100,000 in the first quarter of 2025, although it could also happen early, meaning within 2024 itself.
With such speculated price, people should think on how to invest in this market or how to accumulate more as the price is going to 65k level. That's a very good profit if in case, it will go up to 85k range. However, do make sure that you know your financial limits when it comes to holding as you'll never know what's gonna happen next on this very volatile market.
At the end of the day it’s just a guess. No matter how much study and research you do to make the guess, it’s impossible to predict accurately. I have been following bitcoins from many years. I have seen Bitcoins follow a 4 year cycle to reach ATH price. Now as the ATH price is achieved, hence some correction in the price is expected. Hence, I am assuming Bitcoins will lie in 65k usd range at the end of this beautiful year.
Just like what you said, in the end it will just be a guess, no matter what kind of analysis it will not prove its accuracy, because we will not know what the future will be like, the $65k figure you said is also just an assumption that you rounded up the calculation, right? and even that is not necessarily accurate because of the volatile nature of the price of bitcoin.
So there is no need to criticize other people's opinions if you do the same thing as what he did, everyone has the right to say whatever is on his mind and express it, right?
This is the good thing on this market. Everyone can speculate and act on what they think is of advantage to him. Even long-time holders or self-proclaimed experts are just predicting on what may possibly happen next. So if you think you have the upper hand, then decide on what to do with your portfolio. Because no one will do it for you.