Topic: Your rate in betting base on odds alone? - page 4. (Read 600 times)

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but if you meant that you're hoping to make more BTC by betting, you're probably mistaken. While I don't disagree that you may earn through betting, the truth is that gambling isn't a way to make money. You will probably lose more than win in gambling. That includes sports betting.

More bets means more chances of winning? Possibly. But it also means more chances of losing. So, if you want to acquire as much Bitcoin as possible before the bull run takes full speed, I think you better try to make as much money as possible and buy Bitcoin. Stack Sats before they get so expensive. Gambling isn't stacking Sats; it is losing them.

But keep in mind that the more bets you make, the more you will lose. In football betting [sports betting] I never bet more than 2 or 3 games a day. Even if I will win or lose, I will still quit. If it forces me to bet on other matches, then it's just assumptions and lust, no more analysis and I always lose if I use that method.

If I prefer to play at odds of 1.7 and above. Sometime in 2.2 or 2.5. But it takes analysis and faith. If I'm unlucky that day, I sometimes bet at odds of 1.2/1.3 with big bets to get my losses back. Yesterday I almost won at odds 8.3 but I hesitated and put nothing there, usually I put it at big odds for little money. And several times it worked

I don't usually rely on odds when I try to bet. I take them into account, but only at the last second. I usually base it on the teams that are playing, simple statistics that I can infer from their past matches, players, coaches, stuff like that. I won't deny that I've taken some bets with the odds only, especially in cases where I absolutely have no idea who were the teams that were playing the matches, then I refer to the odds. It's still close to a 50/50 afaik though, might be lower, I don't really keep track of which ones I just wing anyway.

That odds is too risky though, maybe lower might be good enough, but who knows, sometimes upsets happen in soccer that often so it's hard to bet on the favorites and it might be better to go for the underdog from time to time.

Anyone, not sure how effective your strategy is for putting your BTC in gambling in hope that you can accumulate more.

Might be better if you will just hold on it and not take the risk? just saying.

Betting on odds right? Well in some cases it does work but not all the time. It is betying on the underdog team and to the majority, there's a reason why the other team is an underdog although it is not certain. This is somehow going against majority's opinion about a match and ofcourse if you would win in bigger odds, then returns would be higher. High risk;high reward concept.

But if you're in need to accummulate big winnings and if you are ready to put money into it, I'd advise arbitrage betting more. It is a kind of scheme that a player would bet on every possible outcome of the game to assure winning on different sites. Just be sure to have the right position in order to avoid bigger risk of losing more.

I certainly share the opinion of others members here when they say that the best way to prepare for the bull run is to play less, save your Bitcoin and not spend more with the hope of getting a good prize.

Surely you've heard a lot about it, but still don't believe that: Gambling is a game where you should bet just for fun, not for money, putting in it only what you're willing to LOSE.

You are right to place sports bets as they are the easiest way to increase your winning odds rather than other games based on luck alone, but still you should not see games as a way to multiply money for a future plan.

Good luck!

I don't often win bets in soccer games, especially if I don't do an analysis. Analyzing before placing a bet is very important to know how big the chance is for the team we want to choose to win. If you lose every day, you need to take a break because it will only make you place more bets. If you can analyze, you can place multiple bets at once. But if you don't analyze, you will lose no matter how much money you use. It's better for you to bet on a team that you know and can collect more complete data so you can win. Just skip matches you don't know about so you don't experience a losing streak because you placed many bets.

The result will always be unpredictable because unexpected things usually happen but if you're continuously losing, then you might lack strategy. You must learn how to analyze the game or even search for the players' previous game histories so you would have an idea of where to bet. Despite the unexpected result, you could still have an advantage through research.
If you're planning to accumulate and invest more in Bitcoin, I don't think it will be wise to wait for your luck in gambling. I guess it will be best if you'll have a separate allocation for investing and gambling so that in case you fail in gambling, you'll still have enough preparation when the bullish season approaches. Waiting for your luck just so you'll have funds for investing in Bitcoin will not give you any assurance of good profit in the future.

The first thing you should know, in every betting, winning and losing is commonplace. in fact, no prediction is really 100% accurate. well, let's discuss.

Actually, you don't have to stick with just one betting option, I mean with a 1×2 bet. In football betting, you have many options that you can choose according to the final results of the analysis you are doing. In betting, there are various options available. but generally, we bet at 1×2. You can bet on goals, handicaps, under/overs, corners, and so on.
To be honest, I don't like the odds below @1.50, but for @1.70, it's at least ideal. for example, if the team that I predict has a high probability of winning the match, but the available odds are not ideal for example @1.50. I will look for other alternatives that are ideal in my opinion. can bet on Under/Over. or, the Asian Handicap option. You can also, bet on both teams to score.

The point, before referring to the betting options. I always make it a habit to do some research and find all new information regarding the two teams that will compete. to be sure, there is a lot that becomes my consideration before making a betting choice. well, this is where we need experience, insight, and knowledge, if you want to be involved in sports or football betting.
Also make sure, you are very familiar with the league you are betting on. if possible, you have to learn about football itself, for example, formations, patterns, systems, players, and so on. for me, this is very important because it will always be involved when we do research.

Btw, I hope what I'm saying can provide the bit of information you need.

Yes anything can happen even during the live games and it all depends on the luck factor on the side of the gambler because there is nothing like sure predictions and at that, all our analyses still depend on luck to win,  I have lost a couple of live games but if the ratio between my loses and winning put together I think I have won more than I lose in a live game.

But on the ability for the odd to get manipulated on and at that the gambler is at the advantage of easy prediction and actual payout since the odds will remain the same all through the games.

You wager on them games regardless of which division they are?? How do you make your analysis?.. cus I'm quite certain that anyone that's got an entitlement in real life shouldn't be focused on watching every league's game...so, I ask again, how do you run your predictions?
Apparently, it's clear that a win isn't guaranteed when you wager on smaller odds..; it only FEELS safer sometimes as most games with smaller odds are super teams with the capability to win: AGAIN', ITS NEVER GUARANTEED SO I WON'T EVEN CONSIDER THEM ODDS WHEN PLAYING.

Sandra 🧑‍🦰

I like to think the latter when it comes to live games because the game is already in session and although its hard for them to manipulate the odds then but there is still the fact that anything can happen in that game that can alter your predictions and make you lose that bet and moreover life bet makes you spend more money since you will have to stake the game huge cash to actually guaranteed any good returns and don't even start by telling me you bet for fun because you will definitely like to win and not the opposite.

Odds can deceive anyone and sport book sites are always fun of using the odds mechanism to trick gamblers into choosing the wrong odds by being manipulative in their odd allocation,  because sometimes they give bigger odds to the stronger team and also small odds to the weaker clubs so if a gambler is not knowledge enough you end up choosing the small odds taking it as a sure odds.

But then what I like most is to bet on live games that way I can easily predict the outcome of the match and my chances of winning will be higher than expected.

Hard to say. Mostly I do multibets and often the odds are far from reasonable (let's say not 3-4 but 6-10 and higher), but it seems to me that I am more often lucky than unlucky. At one time, I made calculations where I took into account how successfully I implement free bets regarding a strategy where I would always bet on odds of 2 and get 50% on average and it turned out that I surpassed such a strategy.

The odds are being dictated by the bettor, so there's a big chance of wining if the odds is fair and great.
Though, you can just have a simple analysis before you bet since this is Soccer, you can easily search about the strength of your team and have a confidence of having a good bet. This is gambling after all, and your goal to have more Bitcoin by the next bull run might not be easy, I wish you nothing but luck.

If you are here in the forum, you can already find threads on every sports you want to bet with.
There are so many discussions and you can already get good insights about what may possibly happen to the match.
Low odds is not a guarantee that you can win, it still depends on the actual performance of the team.
But you can always follow some users here in the forum where they will give their picks and are willing to discuss about it.

To keep making consistent profits from soccer games, you need not to focast game yourself but you need people around to share there knowledge about a certain match so that there opinion can make you filter your games so that can increase your changes it winning. Sometimes you can ask friends around for there predictions about some matches, you will need to scrupulously select those games you think could win and bet some bets on them. That is one of the best way to predict games will high probability of your winning since the results is always uncertain.

Well to the best of my knowledge, I've  always known gambling as a game of luck and most times wbatbhad kept me going in gambling  is the fact that I don't either expect to win or loss and I also try as much as possible to gamble only with the amount of money I'm willing to loss.
I've got a friend who bets mostly on odds and I think the wins are much more than the losses for him, maybe because I don't witness his losses I guess  but you shouldn't be expecting to get all.the money you need for the next bull run from gambling as that might be putting some unnecessary  pressure on yourself and might lead to blowing of your account.
Just take things easy and enjoy every moment.

personally, I believe that this approach is wrong because you are choosing the results based on the odds and not so much based on their real probability of "winning".
change your strategy...don't play odds "because it's a value you like" but instead play events that you think are likely to happens, this definitely change your approach to gambling and your winning chance.

In general, after analyzing my bets, I noticed that I lost on average 1 every 10/12 events (obviously it depends on the odds, but in general I always avoid playing "too unreal" results).

when you are going to place a bet do not think about placing bets with very low odds like odds of @1.50, always look at the two teams, their last 5 games and which players will play, ignore the odds and do your own analysis to see if those odds really make sense, for example there are many games in which one of the teams has an odd of @1.25 but when I do my analyzes I realize that clearly that odd of @1.25 simply doesn't make any sense, because both teams are at the same level, so I don't place bets, but when there are live games in which two teams have a very big difference in terms of performance

but at that moment the very weak team is winning by 2 - 0 and in the statistics they have a more dangerous attack and have an odd of @1.25 so in this scenario it makes a lot of sense to bet on that team, but only see if you place a multibet bet to be able to have much higher odds, it makes no sense to bet on games with low odds, they are not profitable in the long run, ideal are odds above @1.80 in my opinion, in the past I was betting on those games that have low odds and all my bankroll ran out, no matter how many wins I had, it would be enough to have a few losses for me to have losses