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Topic: Your speculative thoughts on the 80USD sell wall. (Read 2508 times)

legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
And the 8000 BTC buy wall is already gone!  Sad  Oh well . . .
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
There is now an 8000 BTC buy wall at $76.  Smiley We will see how long that is up but it should push prices up for a while.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000

Doesnt make sense.

What is it doing to determine depth? Predict future offers? Trying to merge MtGoxEUR etc... wouldnt offer too much more depth..

So what is it?
legendary
Activity: 4032
Merit: 4536
You're never too old to think young.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
Oooh... the big bad $80 sell wall.

At the moment it will take about twice as many coins to drive the price all the way down to $70 as it will to break $80.

The numbers to get to $60 and $90 are in a similar ratio, over 140,000BTC to get to $60 and less than 80,000BTC to reach $90.

Sentiment has obviously turned since a week or so ago when the ratio was reversed.

Don't let trollbear fudspammers get you down. They're only trying to find people foolish enough to take them seriously. This is a great opportunity to add to your holdings while the price is artificially low. Just understand that the whole concept of hoarding is anathema to speculators, whose whole existence revolves around frantically buying and selling. Simply ignore them.



You are crazy to think there would be anything other than a ratio hugely in favor of the bid side. Are you too stupid to realize almost all sells are market orders not previously in the orderbook? Bids are the opposite.
Also, you must be looking at some combined orderbook, because 90 is 28k and 60 is 32k.

90 is 2.4mill. 60 is 2.16mill

What a horrible uneven orderbook!


legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1008
What do you guys think about the dead cat?
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
The price seems to be beginning to show more resilience to large sell-offs, despite the large wall harshing the bull-buzz. I'm seeing lots of people selling as soon as the price recovers close to $80, but there (so far) hasn't been significant downward pressure.

If we haven't reached the bottom, we are not far from it.

Its just 100-110 all over again. Then it dropped to 64 Smiley

It sure is. There's a lot of 'denial' going on here. The April high was only three months ago and the deflation period could easily last for another three months or more.

This looks like one of the occasional blips that we'll see on the way down to the eventual bottom, exactly like the rise from $100-$115 between June 18th to June 28th. It will be interesting to see how long this one lasts for.

Sentiment will be very different when we hit the true bottom.

When we hit the bottom it should stay there or thereabouts for some period of time, not just days.

My thoughts on this are if we stop going down and the price starts to rally in any significant way (5-10% or more) within a short period of time after the new low then we're not really at the bottom. That's just wishful thinking.


Yup its very funny how people say we approach fear, still a long way to go  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
The price seems to be beginning to show more resilience to large sell-offs, despite the large wall harshing the bull-buzz. I'm seeing lots of people selling as soon as the price recovers close to $80, but there (so far) hasn't been significant downward pressure.

If we haven't reached the bottom, we are not far from it.

Its just 100-110 all over again. Then it dropped to 64 Smiley

It sure is. There's a lot of 'denial' going on here. The April high was only three months ago and the deflation period could easily last for another three months or more.

This looks like one of the occasional blips that we'll see on the way down to the eventual bottom, exactly like the rise from $100-$115 between June 18th to June 28th. It will be interesting to see how long this one lasts for.

Sentiment will be very different when we hit the true bottom.

When we hit the bottom it should stay there or thereabouts for some period of time, not just days.

My thoughts on this are if we stop going down and the price starts to rally in any significant way (5-10% or more) within a short period of time after the new low then we're not really at the bottom. That's just wishful thinking.
legendary
Activity: 4032
Merit: 4536
You're never too old to think young.
Oooh... the big bad $80 sell wall.

At the moment it will take about twice as many coins to drive the price all the way down to $70 as it will to break $80.

The numbers to get to $60 and $90 are in a similar ratio, over 140,000BTC to get to $60 and less than 80,000BTC to reach $90.

Sentiment has obviously turned since a week or so ago when the ratio was reversed.

Don't let trollbear fudspammers get you down. They're only trying to find people foolish enough to take them seriously. This is a great opportunity to add to your holdings while the price is artificially low. Just understand that the whole concept of hoarding is anathema to speculators, whose whole existence revolves around frantically buying and selling. Simply ignore them.

full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
RMBTB.com: The secure BTC:CNY exchange. 0% fee!
The price seems to be beginning to show more resilience to large sell-offs, despite the large wall harshing the bull-buzz. I'm seeing lots of people selling as soon as the price recovers close to $80, but there (so far) hasn't been significant downward pressure.

If we haven't reached the bottom, we are not far from it.

Its just 100-110 all over again. Then it dropped to 64 Smiley

Nice story man.

Irrelevant story though.

sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
The price seems to be beginning to show more resilience to large sell-offs, despite the large wall harshing the bull-buzz. I'm seeing lots of people selling as soon as the price recovers close to $80, but there (so far) hasn't been significant downward pressure.

If we haven't reached the bottom, we are not far from it.

Its just 100-110 all over again. Then it dropped to 64 Smiley
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
RMBTB.com: The secure BTC:CNY exchange. 0% fee!
The price seems to be beginning to show more resilience to large sell-offs, despite the large wall harshing the bull-buzz. I'm seeing lots of people selling as soon as the price recovers close to $80, but there (so far) hasn't been significant downward pressure.

If we haven't reached the bottom, we are not far from it.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
This wall will continue to hold.  We've already hit this wall and even took a decent sized bite out of it and it didn't budge.  My guess is this downturn is far from over.  5k ask wall is nothing if people want to buy back in.  The fact is, people don't want to buy back in...they are anticipating more selloffs soon.  And fundamentally, nothing has changed to say they are wrong.

A whole lot has changed to say they're wrong.

Here's some headlines from the bitcoin reddit RIGHT NOW:

  • "Kipochi brings Bitcoin to Africa through M-Pesa"
  • "First German Bank Get In Bitcoin. On Wednesday!"
  • "Jon Matonis named new director of Bitcoin Foundation"
  • "I can't wait" (leetcoin.com)" -You may have to be a gamer to understand the vast implications of this in the massive casual and competitive gaming circuit
  • "HMRC: UK bitcoin exchanges don’t have to register under money laundering regulations"


Again, this is only RIGHT NOW on reddit. The first on that list has the potential to be the greatest advancement in Bitcoin since it began.

Nothing on this list will affect Bitcoin in time to stop this downtrend and the only thing even noteworthy IMO, is the first one and that could be months at the earliest.  Thus, fundamentally nothing has changed and as of this posting, the markets seem to agree as we're heading down again, having just touched 73.  Frozenlock, potentially, has called the H&S spot on.  We'll see if it fully manifests.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 1000
How do you get to these walls on gox?
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
The wall is selling itself in the bids.

hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 1000
This wall will continue to hold.  We've already hit this wall and even took a decent sized bite out of it and it didn't budge.  My guess is this downturn is far from over.  5k ask wall is nothing if people want to buy back in.  The fact is, people don't want to buy back in...they are anticipating more selloffs soon.  And fundamentally, nothing has changed to say they are wrong.

A whole lot has changed to say they're wrong.

Here's some headlines from the bitcoin reddit RIGHT NOW:

  • "Kipochi brings Bitcoin to Africa through M-Pesa"
  • "First German Bank Get In Bitcoin. On Wednesday!"
  • "Jon Matonis named new director of Bitcoin Foundation"
  • "I can't wait" (leetcoin.com)" -You may have to be a gamer to understand the vast implications of this in the massive casual and competitive gaming circuit
  • "HMRC: UK bitcoin exchanges don’t have to register under money laundering regulations"


Again, this is only RIGHT NOW on reddit. The first on that list has the potential to be the greatest advancement in Bitcoin since it began.

Thanks for those articles. i hadn't seen any of them. Smiley
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
This wall will continue to hold.  We've already hit this wall and even took a decent sized bite out of it and it didn't budge.  My guess is this downturn is far from over.  5k ask wall is nothing if people want to buy back in.  The fact is, people don't want to buy back in...they are anticipating more selloffs soon.  And fundamentally, nothing has changed to say they are wrong.

A whole lot has changed to say they're wrong.

Here's some headlines from the bitcoin reddit RIGHT NOW:

  • "Kipochi brings Bitcoin to Africa through M-Pesa"
  • "First German Bank Get In Bitcoin. On Wednesday!"
  • "Jon Matonis named new director of Bitcoin Foundation"
  • "I can't wait" (leetcoin.com)" -You may have to be a gamer to understand the vast implications of this in the massive casual and competitive gaming circuit
  • "HMRC: UK bitcoin exchanges don’t have to register under money laundering regulations"


Again, this is only RIGHT NOW on reddit. The first on that list has the potential to be the greatest advancement in Bitcoin since it began.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
This wall will continue to hold.  We've already hit this wall and even took a decent sized bite out of it and it didn't budge.  My guess is this downturn is far from over.  5k ask wall is nothing if people want to buy back in.  The fact is, people don't want to buy back in...they are anticipating more selloffs soon.  And fundamentally, nothing has changed to say they are wrong.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
I'm just intrigued about peoples thoughts on the 80 sell wall on gox. Right now it would cost 800,000 to buy it out. It's an obvious lid on the price of BTC at the moment.

Do you think it's one or two big players?

Is it manipulating the market?

Or is it just a lot of people wanting to get out at a "fair" price?

Will it just suddenly disappear causing an increase in value?

May it get eaten?

It could be any or all of the above!

It will be interesting to see if it holds very long or if the sellers decide to remove their sell bids if the price inches closer to it.

I have seen walls this big eaten though so it is not insurmountable.

This wall was already touched yesterday, and it held firm.

I am really surprised it hasnt been eaten TBH.
Me too, slightly, as there's definitely people waiting on the sideline with the means to do so. The only real explanation is that they aren't confident enough that the downtrend is over. The buy side is becoming more and more inverted and I suspect once that becomes large enough we will see that 80 gone in a single buy order.

It wish I was the one who could afford to buy the 5000 BTC at 80 right now! Wink  I don't have any extra cash to invest during this downturn.  Hubby has big vacation plans this Summer though so no extra money for us.  The worst part is thinking about the fact that if BTC takes off, that is one VERY expensive vacation we are taking.  If we only invested in more BTC who knows what kind of trip we could take next year!  Sigh.  He is not as convinced as me.  I guess I am the risk taker in the family.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
I'm just intrigued about peoples thoughts on the 80 sell wall on gox. Right now it would cost 800,000 to buy it out. It's an obvious lid on the price of BTC at the moment.

Do you think it's one or two big players?

Is it manipulating the market?

Or is it just a lot of people wanting to get out at a "fair" price?

Will it just suddenly disappear causing an increase in value?

May it get eaten?

It could be any or all of the above!

It will be interesting to see if it holds very long or if the sellers decide to remove their sell bids if the price inches closer to it.

I have seen walls this big eaten though so it is not insurmountable.

This wall was already touched yesterday, and it held firm.

I am really surprised it hasnt been eaten TBH.
Me too, slightly, as there's definitely people waiting on the sideline with the means to do so. The only real explanation is that they aren't confident enough that the downtrend is over. The buy side is becoming more and more inverted and I suspect once that becomes large enough we will see that 80 gone in a single buy order.
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