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Topic: z - page 2. (Read 6671 times)

newbie
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
July 01, 2011, 04:53:03 PM
#28
obviously it would take a lot of effort/money that probably only a government could pull off.

Right now you dont need a government, only a couple of tens of millions of dollars.

To put that in perspective, only in the USA right now, there are 1 million people that have a net worth of more than 10 million dollars. If a handfull of those wanted to harm bitcoin, they could.

Also the supercomputer argument is a known fallacy. Its a catchy phrase but does not make bitcoin less vulnerable to brute hashing attacks for the moment. The supercomputer argument is debunked in the thread above.


right, i should have said either a government or a person/corporation with substantial funds could do it
jr. member
Activity: 42
Merit: 2
July 01, 2011, 04:43:05 PM
#27
obviously it would take a lot of effort/money that probably only a government could pull off.

Right now you dont need a government, only a couple of tens of millions of dollars.

To put that in perspective, only in the USA right now, there are 1 million people that have a net worth of more than 10 million dollars. If a handfull of those wanted to harm bitcoin, they could.

Also the supercomputer argument is a known fallacy. Its a catchy phrase but does not make bitcoin less vulnerable to brute hashing attacks for the moment. The supercomputer argument is debunked in the thread above.
newbie
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
July 01, 2011, 04:42:15 PM
#26
Already discussed here:

Bitcoin's kryptonite: The 51% attack
http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=12435.0

And 50% is not a magical number, hashing is a probability issue. For an effective sustained attack, you would need a high percentage of hashing power though.


thanks, i'll start reading it
jr. member
Activity: 42
Merit: 2
July 01, 2011, 04:39:12 PM
#25
Already discussed here:

Bitcoin's kryptonite: The 51% attack
http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=12435.0

And 50% is not a magical number, hashing is a probability issue. For an effective sustained attack, you would need a high percentage of hashing power though.
newbie
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
July 01, 2011, 04:38:55 PM
#24
As far as we know there is no super-computer exists today that can play this game anymore.
I don't want to give false sense of security though. The risk exists. For any private entity who can beat network's hashing capacity it would be more profitable to mine instead of trying to corrupt the blockchain. Any pool close to or over 50% poses risk of being hacked for instance and screwing the system. Don't know what to say about authorities - would they want to screw with it in such a way instead of simply trying to outlaw it if they deem to do so.


outlawing it would have no effect. they would have to destroy it to stop it.


for an example of what i mean, look how effective outlawing drugs has been.
newbie
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
July 01, 2011, 04:33:25 PM
#23
you don't need a super computer

the power to do this can be purchased and set up. probably costing several million dollars but this amount is a joke to a government.
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1000
July 01, 2011, 04:16:41 PM
#22
As far as we know there is no super-computer exists today that can play this game anymore.
I don't want to give false sense of security though. The risk exists. For any private entity who can beat network's hashing capacity it would be more profitable to mine instead of trying to corrupt the blockchain. Any pool close to or over 50% poses risk of being hacked for instance and screwing the system. Don't know what to say about authorities - would they want to screw with it in such a way instead of simply trying to outlaw it if they deem to do so.
newbie
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
July 01, 2011, 04:09:11 PM
#21
i have read that if someone has more than 50% of all the hashing power on the network they could essentially start screwing with the system and destroy it. if this is true i don't understand why smart people who know a lot about security such as steve gibson don't acknowledge or talk about this?


obviously it would take a lot of effort/money that probably only a government could pull off. but isn't it possible and if it is possible why don't people talk about it more as it seem to be the only real threat to bitcoin.




legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1001
bitcoin - the aerogel of money
July 01, 2011, 02:37:55 PM
#20
None of the above.

Two of my expected bitcoin failure modes are listed, but not the one I think is most likely: we will learn how insecure the average computer really is. Until now, they was no direct way to steal money from somebody's equipment.


People are already working on a client that splits the private key between a secure server and your computer.
Other people are working on secure liveCDs.

This won't be an issue long term. Hardly anyone is going to store a wallet.dat file on their windows machine 1 year from now.
member
Activity: 62
Merit: 10
July 01, 2011, 02:17:24 PM
#19
Wrong paradigm. Instead of assuming the death of bitcoin (in one or another form) one should ask of how fast and furious shall bitcoin’s success be. Look at those charts: total number of nodes, total number of google searches, total network hashing rate.
Now extrapolate them to the future. It is encouraging, isn’t?
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
July 01, 2011, 01:36:16 PM
#18
Disinformation. Because we let the current media outlets do the talking for us when we have the power of the internet.
legendary
Activity: 1862
Merit: 1114
WalletScrutiny.com
July 01, 2011, 01:25:12 PM
#17
network take over ...

yeah sorry I know most people here think that is impossible but I'm pretty sure that with 2M$ at hands, I could do that.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
July 01, 2011, 01:00:02 PM
#16
Journalists that keep wanting to buy in, using their pull to disrupt the prices by making things up so the price goes down. They see it as wallstreet 2.0 and the only sure way they know how to fuck with it is through disturbing things.

It's like we have to just stop everything for a few days just to let them numbskulls in.
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
July 01, 2011, 12:47:30 PM
#15
Why don't you have the most obvious one: lack of merchant support. If people can't use it to buy and sell stuff they care about from vendors they want to deal with then it's not going to get where it needs to go.

Hmm, not a lot of merchant support for gold, silver, or stock certificates...
That's right - no one runs around buying/selling stuff with those either today.

Though I wouldn't call gold, silver, or stock a "failure"
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1003
July 01, 2011, 12:45:49 PM
#14
People are apparently most worried about bitcoin a) being perceived as useless b) being overtaken by a competitor.

Interesting that exploits are less of a concern. Given the user composition of this forum vis-a-vis
the likely composition of people who may adopt bitcoin soon, I would expect the exploits categories to be over-represented
and the useless/competition categories to be underrepresented.

Perhaps uselessness and competition are the big issues.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1009
firstbits:1MinerQ
July 01, 2011, 12:34:34 PM
#13
Why don't you have the most obvious one: lack of merchant support. If people can't use it to buy and sell stuff they care about from vendors they want to deal with then it's not going to get where it needs to go.

Hmm, not a lot of merchant support for gold, silver, or stock certificates...
That's right - no one runs around buying/selling stuff with those either today.
sr. member
Activity: 321
Merit: 250
Firstbits: 1gyzhw
July 01, 2011, 11:46:18 AM
#12
Someone with loads of coins continually cashes out and keeps the BTC worth pennies until long after everyone has lost interest in the project.
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1001
Let the chips fall where they may.
July 01, 2011, 10:41:47 AM
#11
None of the above.

Two of my expected bitcoin failure modes are listed, but not the one I think is most likely: we will learn how insecure the average computer really is. Until now, they was no direct way to steal money from somebody's equipment.

Aside: I have noticed that over the past few years, the big computer companies don't sell computers anymore: they sell "solutions". "Computer" has become synonymous with "machine running Ms Windows" with all of the extra hardware that implies.
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
July 01, 2011, 10:07:45 AM
#10
Why don't you have the most obvious one: lack of merchant support. If people can't use it to buy and sell stuff they care about from vendors they want to deal with then it's not going to get where it needs to go.

Hmm, not a lot of merchant support for gold, silver, or stock certificates...
hero member
Activity: 836
Merit: 1007
"How do you eat an elephant? One bit at a time..."
July 01, 2011, 08:59:11 AM
#9
Bitcoin could fail if governments stop interfering with mutually voluntary transactions:

http://economicsandliberty.wordpress.com/2011/06/22/bitcoin-a-new-commodity-created-to-serve-market-demand/

Not likely to happen though... Smiley
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