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Sudden new largest bitcoin address as of 10/25 Speculation
So what happens if the Feds sell the Bitcoins to J.P. Morgan and they used them…
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n/a | Peter R | October 25, 2013, 06:38:27 PM |
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Is Satoshi Nakamoto inspired by John Galt? Bitcoin Discussion
Yeah, on the subway, in the Starbucks line, and around the water cooler, everyon…
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n/a | Peter R | October 25, 2013, 05:36:23 PM |
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[Brainstorm] Implications of Blacklisting DPR's Seized Bitcoins Bitcoin Discussion
the FBI won them fair and square.yeah, if by won you mean stolen and if by fair…
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n/a | Peter R | October 25, 2013, 05:17:00 PM |
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"Ill never use this in real life!" Trading Discussion
This is high-frequency trading (à la Goldman Sachs), and, yes it works. What en…
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n/a | Peter R | October 25, 2013, 05:02:15 PM |
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Milestones Speculation
This is also the decibel scale. Another way to think about justusranvier's list…
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n/a | Peter R | October 25, 2013, 04:02:44 PM |
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Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore Speculation
When the story broke, I thought bearish (locked-up coins hitting the market, peo…
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n/a | Peter R | October 25, 2013, 02:22:57 PM |
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Sudden new largest bitcoin address as of 10/25 Speculation
This is now the top story at forbes.com.It was also pointed out by Mike Caldwell…
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n/a | Peter R | October 25, 2013, 01:38:04 PM |
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Distribution of bitcoin wealth by owner Economics
Interesting deductions. I won't dispute, or confirm that (other than the Countes…
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n/a | Peter R | October 24, 2013, 06:23:58 PM |
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Is Satoshi Nakamoto inspired by John Galt? Bitcoin Discussion
Yeah, on the subway, in the Starbucks line, and around the water cooler, everyon…
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n/a | Peter R | October 24, 2013, 06:11:19 PM |
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Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore Speculation
An observation:Last March/April, during the media coverage, my friends and famil…
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n/a | Peter R | October 22, 2013, 10:57:58 PM |
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Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore Speculation
An observation:Last March/April, during the media coverage, my friends and famil…
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n/a | Peter R | October 22, 2013, 10:11:27 PM |
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Thoughts on Bitfinex statistics? Service Discussion
Thanks for answering my questions mccoyspace. Cheers!
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n/a | Peter R | October 22, 2013, 01:14:22 AM |
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Thoughts on Bitfinex statistics? Service Discussion
Hmm, I've only known about Bitfinex for 4 days now So you are saying that mos…
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n/a | Peter R | October 22, 2013, 01:00:46 AM |
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Thoughts on Bitfinex statistics? Service Discussion
But it makes no sense that if you ran bitfinex you down't go to the bank and bor…
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n/a | Peter R | October 22, 2013, 12:49:47 AM |
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Thoughts on Bitfinex statistics? Service Discussion
But it makes no sense that if you ran bitfinex you down't go to the bank and bor…
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n/a | Peter R | October 22, 2013, 12:47:55 AM |
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Thoughts on Bitfinex statistics? Service Discussion
But it makes no sense that if you ran bitfinex you down't go to the bank and bor…
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n/a | Peter R | October 22, 2013, 12:40:59 AM |
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Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore Speculation
Thursday is a magnet for crashes. weird. can you give me an example?Black Thursd…
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n/a | Peter R | October 21, 2013, 09:55:13 PM |
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Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore Speculation
Thursday is a magnet for crashes. weird. can you give me an example?Black Thursd…
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n/a | Peter R | October 21, 2013, 09:45:22 PM |
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Thoughts on Bitfinex statistics? Service Discussion
The interest rates seem too good to be true. Sort of off-topic, but does anyone…
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n/a | Peter R | October 21, 2013, 07:44:35 PM |
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Momentum Proof-of-Work Bitcoin Discussion
Very interesting Bytemaster. I look forward to taking a closer look at the nuts…
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n/a | Peter R | October 18, 2013, 01:54:30 PM |
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Dropbox REMOVED Votebox After Bitcoin Was Voted #1. Time To Switch? Off-topic
SpiderOak looks like it fixes two of my Dropbox annoyances (Dropbox had no optio…
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n/a | Peter R | October 12, 2013, 08:37:50 PM |
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thread where the top wallets are? Bitcoin Discussion
Pretty sure satoshi has teh biggest wallet with over 1m coinsAddress link? If po…
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n/a | Peter R | October 12, 2013, 12:32:47 AM |
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will the bitcoin reach $1000 one day...? Beginners & Help
You must understand how many people want to profit from price increase The beau…
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n/a | Peter R | October 10, 2013, 04:16:51 PM |
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Bitcoin price in the future Speculation
Maybe I'm the last one to realize this, but I just thought it was pretty interes…
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n/a | Peter R | October 09, 2013, 03:07:12 PM |
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140,000 votes on Dropbox website and counting! bitcoin adoption imminent? Bitcoin Discussion
There must be someone trying to fill the demand. Would be nice:1. Pay with Bit…
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n/a | Peter R | October 09, 2013, 02:47:43 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Thanks for the question RationalSpeculator. To calculate properly, we need an u…
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n/a | Peter R | September 29, 2013, 09:33:13 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
There's absolutely NOTHING that indicates he is cheating. The wild swings he is…
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n/a | Peter R | September 29, 2013, 08:38:56 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
How many repeat bets does it it take to push a gambler's +1 sigma line negative?…
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n/a | Peter R | September 29, 2013, 07:48:51 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
How many repeat bets does it it take to push a gambler's +1 sigma line negative?…
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n/a | Peter R | September 29, 2013, 07:29:35 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
How many repeat bets does it it take to push a gambler's +1 sigma line negative?…
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n/a | Peter R | September 29, 2013, 07:22:46 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins) |
n/a | Peter R | September 29, 2013, 06:25:58 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
I understand the max bet part, but what if a player bets 1BTC and wins (way belo…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 04:39:23 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
This is only for one bet though. I think you'll need to re-derive variance inclu…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 02:23:35 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Mean and Variance of a Gambler's Profits after a Sequence of Bets on Just-Dice.c…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 12:38:08 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Hi Doog. Sorry to keep beating this horse, but can you confirm whether this is…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 12:56:16 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Organofcoti, here is the chart that GOB posted:It blows my mind too for the reas…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 12:15:09 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Great charts, organofcorti! These kind of contributions really help the discuss…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 11:16:35 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Example 3: SUPER DUPER CRAZY NAKOWA^2 whale shows up and bets 20,580BTC at 98%,…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 01:22:10 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Ah man! Yeah, we never will come to consensus!I thought the method Gob just des…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 12:42:43 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
QuoteIf you pick 0.25% and I pick 1%, then I make (or lose) 4 times as much as y…
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n/a | Peter R | September 28, 2013, 12:22:57 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
I am still confused about the exact implementation of this "select your own max…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 11:57:35 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
I think by now it's clear that the discussion will not converge to a consensus. …
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 11:54:05 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
OK, so I'm announcing it. At midnight UTC Friday I'll change max profit to 0.5%…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 09:34:43 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
OK, so I'm announcing it. At midnight UTC Friday I'll change max profit to 0.5%…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 07:21:38 PM |
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Hi, guys, I (NAKOWA) was beaten. Lost 5k BTC in two days (Still UP). Gambling
Someone showed the probability was a little over 2%. That's 1 in 50. Improbable…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 05:21:10 PM |
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Hi, guys, I (NAKOWA) was beaten. Lost 5k BTC in two days (Still UP). Gambling
I think most investors and doog will absolutely not agree with you on this.I don…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 01:06:03 PM |
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Hi, guys, I (NAKOWA) was beaten. Lost 5k BTC in two days (Still UP). Gambling
Thus, I dare you to prove your strategy really works. If it really works you wil…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 12:36:25 PM |
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Hi, guys, I (NAKOWA) was beaten. Lost 5k BTC in two days (Still UP). Gambling
Nakowa, look at how good you were doing before they changed the rules on you:Per…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 08:51:37 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Okay so let's assume for a second that it is normal; in that case we're talking…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 04:15:20 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Can anyone help me justify why stdev would be the square root of entropy?I have…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 03:53:04 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Can anyone help me justify why stdev would be the square root of entropy?I have…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 01:37:50 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Your visualization shows him pretty much riding the 2 sigma line most of the way…
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n/a | Peter R | September 27, 2013, 12:03:55 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Changing the topic a bit, but check out this graph of Nakowa's winnings over tim…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 11:40:54 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Right, I remember reading that post. I'm okay with making that distinction, call…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 01:24:03 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
That's why the second part of Doog's plan is so key. Allowing you to leave a fra…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 12:31:09 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
A) you could have the site show: "Invested: 32,040.12312844 BTC (15,349.19494033…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 12:23:05 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Oda, I see you are getting tired with this too. I think I got it finally, bare w…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 11:41:50 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
I will keep supporting dooglus, and in fact I increased my investment x4 just af…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 11:39:37 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Those that want less volatility are better off investing less than reducing Kell…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 11:04:37 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
I think the biggest problem here is that the relationship between expected retur…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 10:37:21 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins) |
n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 10:12:21 AM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
So, what do you think about the idea that the "effective bankroll" is not what i…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 02:11:37 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Thinking more about the two "tuning parameters" GOB just described: deposit rese…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 01:45:55 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Thinking more about the two "tuning parameters" GOB just described: deposit rese…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 12:55:52 AM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
The best would be set max bet to a flat 2%. And you can invest 1/2 of what you…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 01:22:57 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
tl;dr forget buckets, and tiers. User-selectable risk is what Doog is implementi…
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n/a | Peter R | September 26, 2013, 01:14:06 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Thinking more about the two "tuning parameters" GOB just described: deposit rese…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 11:49:06 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
A better solution would be doing something like a tiered tax system. Higher tie…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 11:20:45 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
The best would be set max bet to a flat 2%. And you can invest 1/2 of what you…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 10:14:28 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
Hey VTC. I totally understand your point and I think the CP risk is an important…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 10:58:13 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
If any investors wanted a max bet .25% of their roll they could have divested 3/…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 06:27:14 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
If any investors wanted a max bet .25% of their roll they could have divested 3/…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 05:51:55 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
QuotePROBLEM 2: Are we 100% confident that 1% max bet does in fact optimize prof…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 04:54:45 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
The number of people disagreeing with Dooglus outnumbers those agreeing by 2:1.I…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 04:26:14 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
The number of people disagreeing with Dooglus outnumbers those agreeing by 2:1.I…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 04:18:14 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
The number of people disagreeing with Dooglus outnumbers those agreeing by 2:1.I…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 04:04:01 PM |
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[POLL] Just-Dice INVESTORS: Do you agree with lowering the max bet? Securities
PROBLEM 1: We have mis-treated our best customer by changing the max bet as he w…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 03:50:18 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
With lower max bet you're effectively having a higher house edge for larger wage…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 02:02:59 PM |
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Hi, guys, I (NAKOWA) was beaten. Today I lost 3k BTC. Gambling
You aren't beaten if you just stop now. Partly true. However, can't you see I pr…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 12:57:27 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
EDIT: in the last session his lowest bet is 3BTC... Sorry if I've used your quot…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 12:12:47 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
I've watched Nakowa gambling, and I'm obviously not 100% sure that he is not che…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 11:48:52 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Maybe this could help:[img]I'm taking math course right now but I don't feel con…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 06:26:39 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
3. Now, if all you do is calculate what he WOULD have won had the dice result be…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 04:58:44 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
3. Now, if all you do is calculate what he WOULD have won had the dice result be…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 04:40:09 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Just to get this straight, Peter you believe that Nakowa is leaving a trail to p…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 02:12:00 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
If the nakowa2.txt file and my crunching is correct, what is the probability of…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 02:06:14 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Hmm, going crazy here:In[1285]:= profits = Table[betAmount[[j]]* RotateRight[w…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 01:45:05 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
3. Now, if all you do is calculate what he WOULD have won had the dice result be…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 01:27:04 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
QuoteExcellent point. It would be interesting to see the distribution of bet ou…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 01:06:22 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
If you generate 40,000 fair dice rolls, and use this to drive Nakowa's bet seque…
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n/a | Peter R | September 25, 2013, 12:39:04 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins) |
n/a | Peter R | September 24, 2013, 11:45:51 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Graph showing total wagered as well. I hope I made a mistake or that the nakowa…
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n/a | Peter R | September 24, 2013, 11:04:02 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
imgThat doesn't make any sense, why would he wait 2 rolls for everything?It does…
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n/a | Peter R | September 24, 2013, 10:23:57 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
imgThat doesn't make any sense, why would he wait 2 rolls for everything?It does…
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n/a | Peter R | September 24, 2013, 10:15:18 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins) |
n/a | Peter R | September 24, 2013, 10:07:41 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Quotesorry but I dont understand how a gambler can have an advantage or turn the…
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n/a | Peter R | September 24, 2013, 02:29:54 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Here are the results of a simulation, running off the Nakowa = cake bet sizes an…
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n/a | Peter R | September 24, 2013, 01:05:36 AM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
I'm quite tempted to just give up on this whole thing. It looks like the site i…
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n/a | Peter R | September 23, 2013, 07:58:50 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
Some thoughts on the whale's win today (conclusion: he had a 67% chance of pulli…
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n/a | Peter R | September 23, 2013, 06:00:02 PM |
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Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game Service Announcements (Altcoins)
So, 67% of the time he wins 2500 btc. 33% of the time he loses 10,000 btc.Yes,…
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n/a | Peter R | September 23, 2013, 05:52:41 PM |
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