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michellee

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Quote from: Ararbermas on October 17, 2022, 09:14:01 AM

Probably it will be the time for bitcoin to bulish again, wherein at least on the current all time high because obviously bitcoin really making correction below and after the good progress last quarter it didn't came back again. So i believe the cycle still the same and before this year end for sure bitcoin will glow again in the market and will skyrocketed like what always happen after the massive decline. This is all a temporary situation for bitcoin.

It could be but maybe bitcoin still needs more time to start bullish again. The price of bitcoin is still around $19k-$20k so maybe we have to be patient again because it is not easy to move the price to start rising again. Besides that, the current price is not a guarantee of the lowest bitcoin price because the current price may drop again to a lower price than now.

But in the end, the price of bitcoin will definitely increase and we may not realize it later and we only know that it turns out that the price of bitcoin is already at its highest price. But we still hope that in Q4, this bitcoin price can start to increase, even if a little. If the price of bitcoin can return to $25k-$30k, maybe that is a sign for bitcoin to experience another bullish phase.

Ararbermas

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Probably it will be the time for bitcoin to bulish again, wherein at least on the current all time high because obviously bitcoin really making correction below and after the good progress last quarter it didn't came back again. So i believe the cycle still the same and before this year end for sure bitcoin will glow again in the market and will skyrocketed like what always happen after the massive decline. This is all a temporary situation for bitcoin.

n0ne

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It’s spending season and based on previous years, 4th quarter seems not to be ok because of holidays.
I don’t want to expect that much for BTC as we are still on a bear market and the economy of big countries are still suffering from a lot of problem. BTC should stay though above $15k level so we can end this year at least on a better price. Anything can happen, let’s see if BTC can still pump this year.

Almost every year we used to experience good bounce in the market during the end months of the year. This time too the same is expected, but the reality can vary based on what we've achieved over the previous quarters of the year. Inflation serves to be a big problem around the world. Every government is taking measures to come out of inflation. The covid-19 slowed down the growth and followed is the war and other problems that kept the inflation growing. As stated something above $15k at the year end seems to be fair.

EdenHazard

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2018 is the closest case to the current narket situation.

It was the all time high year and we get crashed for 40% by the end of the year after a great show off . I expect in this q4 2022 a downtrend continue and the price get cut off by 30% this time to around $14k , that's my price target.

STT

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Price is squished flat, till it breaks that sequence of nullification BTC likely just does more of the same. We had an attempt to trade below support and also inversely attempts upwards, both resolved backwards to where they came from with no greater effect.

This is just daily bars since August, OBV indicator I think reflects that volume might make us bullish but thats a guess at possible divergence. I still think we can further attempt to break price downwards but that attempt will not especially succeed, mostly its just time to find resolution in price and ultimately we then can rise. It might just be BTC only rises when the wider market finds reasons accumulate, common currency losses value invariably a constant deterioration in the price denominator and assets did not hence nominal price does rise.

Solosanz

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I expect Bitcoin price would still stay around $19K-$21K since the economic recession and western economy are still not in good condition, so there's not many huge cash circulation on Bitcoin volume. I heard next year economy will be bad too, Bitcoin might slightly recovering on the next year. Many government also trying to make FUD regarding Bitcoin energy consumption too, so I don't expect Bitcoin price will pump at this and the next year.

arwin100

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Not expecting any huge movement because still the crisis still disturbing all economical or investment matters so maybe we cannot see any constant changes towards this year since for sure investors are not thinking about possible bull run to come. Maybe we will just remain playing at $20k price level or little more up on this figure since I don't see any exciting events that will happen in Q4 of the year.

TheGreatPython

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Quote from: hugeblack on October 05, 2022, 02:59:34 AM

An increase of 5% will not change the price much, then 22,000 is enough to end the year with an increase compared to the previous quarter.
Therefore, even the conclusion on a high does not mean a high rise because of all the variables that are happening in the world.
Returning to the 30K levels seems like a dream at the moment due to the huge resistance at the 25K levels.

I would assume that it's not going to be that simple, either it's going to stay where it is right now, somewhere near 19k to 20k levels, or it is going to go up very high, not like 60k or something, but more like 25k or a bit higher.

If the price ends the last quarter with over 25k, doesn't matter if it is 25.1k or 28k, if it is above that level, we are going to end up seeing something much better in the long run for sure. That will benefit us a lot, and it's going to end up with a good profit for the first quarter of next year, and it will be a good year for all of us. This is going to be a big year for us all, we just need to wait a bit longer for sure.

TravelMug

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Quote from: Lucius on October 06, 2022, 03:47:12 AM

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This will be enough to close in the green zone. Although in 3 months the price can collapse strongly and quickly recover, for example. Personally, I would be happy to buy bitcoin in the long term at 10-14k if the opportunity presents itself.

The old saying says "Be careful what you wish for, lest it come true", and the price of Bitcoin at such a low level would not only be a good opportunity for investment, but also a serious sign that most investors have started to lose confidence in Bitcoin. In a situation where the price would crash by as much as 50% compared to now, there are many more people who would panic sell, than those who would see it as an opportunity, and we see that with every serious price change.

Now the most we need is the stability that Bitcoin shows in relation to fiat currencies, and if it lasts long enough, maybe it will help to change the perception of the common man who still has a generally bad opinion about Bitcoin.

Or maybe we can look at how the relationship with the miners, as far as the hash rate goes or at least the profitability?

And in the last 7 days, as per cmc, we are somewhat in the positive side, but the last quarter is still that far so we will see if it will go down hard again or it will show some stability despite the current recession that the world is experiencing. And yes, hopefully the investors will flock again and not lose their confidence even if we are in the heart of the bearish cycle.

Lucius

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This will be enough to close in the green zone. Although in 3 months the price can collapse strongly and quickly recover, for example. Personally, I would be happy to buy bitcoin in the long term at 10-14k if the opportunity presents itself.

The old saying says "Be careful what you wish for, lest it come true", and the price of Bitcoin at such a low level would not only be a good opportunity for investment, but also a serious sign that most investors have started to lose confidence in Bitcoin. In a situation where the price would crash by as much as 50% compared to now, there are many more people who would panic sell, than those who would see it as an opportunity, and we see that with every serious price change.

Now the most we need is the stability that Bitcoin shows in relation to fiat currencies, and if it lasts long enough, maybe it will help to change the perception of the common man who still has a generally bad opinion about Bitcoin.

Yaunfitda

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Quote from: hugeblack on October 05, 2022, 02:59:34 AM

An increase of 5% will not change the price much, then 22,000 is enough to end the year with an increase compared to the previous quarter.
Therefore, even the conclusion on a high does not mean a high rise because of all the variables that are happening in the world.
Returning to the 30K levels seems like a dream at the moment due to the huge resistance at the 25K levels.

Yes, maybe $25k is enough for me at least at the end of the year. In the background as you have said there are a lot of factors affecting world economy and it will affect the market as well. So if the world continue to suffer, then the market will be down in the last 3 months with minor price increase to $25k. $30k levels? at least we should have some good news to bring back the life in the market at this price range but I'm not sure if we are going to see something that big that will push it to $30k.

virasog

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Quote from: crwth on October 04, 2022, 09:31:48 PM

I believe that what would happen with the price in the short term is it would still stay in the range of 13500 ~ 16000. A lot of people might be expecting that there would be a bull run since it's the holiday season, and a lot of people would have money. With the end of the year, it could still be in the 20k range or maybe lower.

It's not supposed to be a big deal to have consecutive quarters on the red since it happened with the green. It can occur in the red as well. It's optimistic to see it in the longer term, but it wouldn't be for a short time.

I don't expect a bull run in this year 2022. This is a bear market year so either the price will remain the same as they are now or we may see another drop to 14-15K as you have mentioned.
However, bitcoin will grow in the future and break its all time high in the coming years, so we need to be optimistic about bitcoin and there is no need to panic sell or get depressed seeing bitcoin dumping more in quarter 4 of this year.

lixer

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In some parts of 2022, we have seen some recoveries or greens but mostly we haven't broken 25k and above. I don't know if that is a sign that this whole year was a bear year. Also in some years the price can start positive but eventually it will go negative up until the last quarter so there's a possibility that it will happen again.

Mega pump for me is when the coins breaks their old ATH while 50 to 60k can only be said as a good recovery since btc already experience this level before. The price of 30k and 35k per btc is also not bad. At least some us can sell their btc to celebrate their holidays a little better while I don't expect the price to drop 17.6k anymore.

Nrcewker

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Bitcoins will follow it’s previous trends only.
As past 3Qs didn’t show any positive or green in price, so definitely the Q4 will be in red.
Yes Bitcoins might try to break the resistance and come above the struggling price segment, but that’s too hard and too early to predict.
All the Bitcoin holders, no need to panic, once Bitcoins catches it’s pace, it will definitely won’t stop. So don’t lose hope.

uneng

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Very nice and didatic statistics display. I think another red zone is probable for the Q4, what isn't too bad anyway, because it's preferable to have a red zone for each quadrimester of the year with a low negative fluctuation, than having a positive quadrimester on the middle, but followed by an insane loss of 40% in the last zone, like it happened in 2018. Let's hope bitcoin remains stable, so once this yearly cycle ends, the expectations of the market will be renewed. I believe for this year there isn't a major factor which could trigger btc to 30,000$-35,000$ price levels.

BobK71

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Quote from: Symmetrick on October 04, 2022, 05:06:13 PM

Although this does not mean that there will be a mega-pump at the end of the year, which will give us again prices of 50-60k for 1 bitcoin. But there are some chances to close the annual candle in the region of 30-35k. I also do not rule out such a scenario that before breaking above the downtrend, Bitcoin may once again test 17600 or go below this mark.

What are your expectations for the end of this year? In what price zone do you expect this year to close?

This kind of situation is not new in the market. A large dept has been seen before any bull run. When you can't find any positive sign about bitcoin you should just wait and hold as much as possible. Bitcoin bullish trends are not always understood. No one knows when it will be bullish and when it will be bearish. However, in this unpredictable situation, following DCA is considered as a good decision.
There has been no major bull run since the beginning of this year till today. Hopefully, the market is likely to be bullish towards the end of the year.

Lucius

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I understand the optimism of some who think that Q4 can't also be in the red, but I don't see why it wouldn't happen - after all, we are in a very specific period of high inflation in the midst of a bear market. What is positive is that, despite everything, the price (for now) has not tested any lower levels and that we see some very interesting headlines in various mainstream media where they start to wonder how Bitcoin manages to stay on the surface while everything else sinks into the red.

The longer we keep the current position, the better chances we have of not touching a new bottom, and this also means a better starting position for a new big bull run. Therefore, I expect the price to remain in the range of $18k to maybe a maximum of $25k, but with a very small probability that it will remain stable at the highest level.

NeuroticFish

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If the price stops in this range (30-35k), then this will reflect the optimistic mood of bitcoin investors. Huge resistances that were formed this year are concentrated in that zone, and this is a good psychological support for investor sentiment. This optimistic level of 30,000 has been around since last year. 25-30k by the end of the year is also very likely.

Opinions are now actively spreading regarding the fact that the Fed may curtail the rate hike program and this may favorably affect the crypto market.

All this is correct, but... with recession knocking at our door people may not be so much willing to invest in anything, including Bitcoin, no matter how appealing it may look.
And this can affect the price in a bad way even if the bear market ends.

DVlog

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Quote from: Symmetrick on October 04, 2022, 05:06:13 PM

Although this does not mean that there will be a mega-pump at the end of the year, which will give us again prices of 50-60k for 1 bitcoin, there are some chances to close the annual candle in the region of 30-35k. I also do not rule out such a scenario that before breaking above the downtrend, Bitcoin may once again test 17600 or go below this mark.

What are your expectations for the end of this year? In what price zone do you expect this year to close?

I also think BTC will retest below 17600 before pumping upward. If this really happens then it will be for a very short time and many will not be able to buy the dip. There is still negative sentiment going on.

If there are still people who are waiting for the last dip should already buy some because the market could show the opposite action too. Right now it's a cozy and uncertain situation going on in the crypto space because of the fed interest hike and Russia Ukraine war.

hugeblack

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An increase of 5% will not change the price much, then 22,000 is enough to end the year with an increase compared to the previous quarter.
Therefore, even the conclusion on a high does not mean a high rise because of all the variables that are happening in the world.
Returning to the 30K levels seems like a dream at the moment due to the huge resistance at the 25K levels.

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