eleuthria,
I'm sticking with the theory that this is just an unusual run of bad luck, and will hopefully be balanced by a nice run of good luck at some point. But I'm wondering, if the bad luck continues, at what point do you look into the possibility that there is some kind of subtle issue with the servers? I wasn't paying very close attention, but I think I actually had one of the highest 24 hour payouts shortly after you upgraded/moved the uscentral server, which is what I've been connected to. So that is maybe a little evidence against a server issue. Still, the longer this run of bad luck continues, the more improbable it becomes, and at some point I think alternative explanations have to be explored.
I'm sticking with the theory that this is just an unusual run of bad luck, and will hopefully be balanced by a nice run of good luck at some point. But I'm wondering, if the bad luck continues, at what point do you look into the possibility that there is some kind of subtle issue with the servers? I wasn't paying very close attention, but I think I actually had one of the highest 24 hour payouts shortly after you upgraded/moved the uscentral server, which is what I've been connected to. So that is maybe a little evidence against a server issue. Still, the longer this run of bad luck continues, the more improbable it becomes, and at some point I think alternative explanations have to be explored.
The servers are running as usual. Its pushpool, bitcoind, and MySQL is sync'ing up without issue, I've had the most relaxing 2 weeks in a long time actually, other than our luck taking a dive which means all the conspiracy theorists come out of the woodwork to "question" things. Like I said in my last post, everybody "questions" the bad, and ignores the good. Anybody making the claim that our -14% this difficulty is unusual and not raising the same questions about DeepBit's positive 13.6% during this difficulty is a hypocrite. If you want to believe that pool speed will eliminate the chance of variance "that high", then it's more than twice as unlikely for DeepBit to be pushing that luck as it is for us.
For the third time, I did not bring it up due to the -14% luck this difficulty, in fact I weighted down the luck this difficulty because it isn't over. I brought it up due to the longer term always being negative. Given the high hash rate of the pool, having so much bad luck is unusual, and can be indicative of a problem. Do miners not have the right to keep a skeptical eye on those we entrust? What if we had another 2 months of negative luck, would it be ok to question then? It's not like I can go look through your code to make sure everything is on the up and up, so I can only look at these statistics.
Question: did you run pushpool without looking first, or did you simply trust it? Being skeptical is good business sense. A lot of people out there are more than willing to screw you over
