Please enlighten us
Keep an eye on https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
When difficulty rises in 2 days: lmk if you notice any price difference.
Topic: $100K Bitcoin Prediction Using Math. (Read 1526 times)
Keep an eye on https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
When difficulty rises in 2 days: lmk if you notice any price difference.
As far as I know, Bitcoin's price is being dictated by the demand and supply in the market. So if some are indicating that the hashrate is relevant to the increase (or decrease?) of Bitcoin's price or the price change is based on the hashrate, then the miners are the one who dictates the price? Bitcoin is decentralized and I am sticking to the concept of the law of demand and supply. Please enlighten us, is it hashrate that states the price change or the demand and supply is?
He is always saying price has to follow hashrate/difficulty. But that is completely wrong.
Hasrate follows price!!
If price goes down significantly over longer period of time, miners will shut down some of their mining hardware, therefore hashrate decreases and difficulty goes down.
If price later goes up again, miners will switch on these mining hardware again cause it's getting more profitable again, therefore hasrate increases and difficulty goes up. This is Bitcoin mining 101!
Hasrate follows price!!
If price goes down significantly over longer period of time, miners will shut down some of their mining hardware, therefore hashrate decreases and difficulty goes down.
If price later goes up again, miners will switch on these mining hardware again cause it's getting more profitable again, therefore hasrate increases and difficulty goes up. This is Bitcoin mining 101!
It's not completely wrong, but it is an extremely simplistic view of how connected the two are and the correlation runs further askew as you apply this to other cryptos. You only have to look at the first post $1000 Bitcoin ATH to see that hashrate continued its trajectory despite taking two years to retest the old ATH. Even Bitcoin's struggles past sub-500 prices didn't do much to deter this. I definitely feel that miners will continue to bear upward pressure on price and this will only get stronger as we progress towards 21 million coins but the bulk of miners still have sufficient profit margins to keep on hashing. In fact, even when block rewards diminish and fees become the majority of income, it only makes sense that price has to keep up with expenses.
Good point. Hashrate must follow the price.
Bitcoin launched at $0.
According to that logic, the difficulty would never increase, because for the difficulty to rise: Bitcoin would first have to be worth something!
I don't think it's black or white. The price is determined by both the production cost and speculation.
For the first year Bitcoin was mined strictly as an academic exercise and speculation.
It wasn't until May 22, 2010 that it actually became worth something when a $20 pair of pizzas was sold for 10,000 bitcoins.
That was when Bitcoin was really launched with a value of $0.002 per coin.
There's no denying that price and difficulty are now closely correlated. The question is which is the chicken and which is the egg.
Good video and nice prediction.
thank you.
Good video and nice prediction.
I've done also some of my predictioni compute by months and years and i have some good predictions that is near from the actual value but i much thinking for the overall yearly progress .Example of 100k usd i assume that it will be happen 3 3years from now.
I've done also some of my predictioni compute by months and years and i have some good predictions that is near from the actual value but i much thinking for the overall yearly progress .Example of 100k usd i assume that it will be happen 3 3years from now.
math do not lie ,and i think the price of bitcoin will be 100000$,it is a matter of time .
He is always saying price has to follow hashrate/difficulty...
Yes, in other words: miners decide the price.
Again this is wrong. Miners don't make the price!
I'd guess you're the noob who made this video right?!
Miners have no influence of what the price of Bitcoin will be, except dumping the coins to the market they hold.
It's not the miners who give Bitcoin it's value. They are just 1 part of several more with much more significance!
So are you saying that the effect of losing the miners to BitcoinCash will not have a significant price decrease? I believe it will because if let us say 30% in Bitcoin's hash power suddenly is gone, the difficulty will take some time to adjust and it will make the network slow and confirmations will take a lot longer.
Again this is wrong. Miners don't make the price!
I'd guess you're the noob who made this video right?!
Miners have no influence of what the price of Bitcoin will be, except dumping the coins to the market they hold.
It's not the miners who give Bitcoin it's value. They are just 1 part of several more with much more significance!
Miners decide the price meaning: they sell their coins at a price higher than it cost to mine them.
He is always saying price has to follow hashrate/difficulty...
Yes, in other words: miners decide the price.
Again this is wrong. Miners don't make the price!
I'd guess you're the noob who made this video right?!
Miners have no influence of what the price of Bitcoin will be, except dumping the coins to the market they hold.
It's not the miners who give Bitcoin it's value. They are just 1 part of several more with much more significance!
If some hash power transfers to BitcoinCash, will that make the price of Bitcoin decrease?
History says Bitcoin hashrate doesn't decrease and therefore price won't drop significantly
He is always saying price has to follow hashrate/difficulty. But that is completely wrong.
Hasrate follows price!!
If price goes down significantly over longer period of time, miners will shut down some of their mining hardware, therefore hashrate decreases and difficulty goes down.
If price later goes up again, miners will switch on these mining hardware again cause it's getting more profitable again, therefore hasrate increases and difficulty goes up. This is Bitcoin mining 101!
Hasrate follows price!!
If price goes down significantly over longer period of time, miners will shut down some of their mining hardware, therefore hashrate decreases and difficulty goes down.
If price later goes up again, miners will switch on these mining hardware again cause it's getting more profitable again, therefore hasrate increases and difficulty goes up. This is Bitcoin mining 101!
Then this is really good news for BitcoinCash miners and investors. It is now being pumped and might be over $500 per BCC this weekend.
If some hash power transfers to BitcoinCash, will that make the price of Bitcoin decrease? I believe it will take a longer time for the difficulty to adjust in BTC.
Very good explanation, you need a better video intro though 
Thank you 😊
Very good explanation, you need a better video intro though
Is it possible that the price can increase if difficulty increases and demand stays constant??
Yes.
As difficulty increases, miners mine less Bitcoin.
To make up for the decrease in Bitcoin income, miners sell their Bitcoin at a higher price.
So basically Peter from the vlog was saying listening to GOLDMAN SACHS holds no water because these guys apparently are bankers with a centralized mindset when bitcoin is the exact opposite.
Is it possible that the price can increase if difficulty increases and demand stays constant??
Next stop $24k
Is it possible that the price can increase if difficulty increases and demand stays constant??
Next stop $24k
when someone notices Bitcoin and tries to mine it, they will understand why the price is high and they will
Pay for it instead of mining.
Pay for it instead of mining.
i saw bitcoin and decided to mine it.
Bitcoin is like fire but a gigantic one which is impossible to put it out, and as the hash rate increases it will become unstoppable for eternity mate.
Bitcoin is the original decentralized digital currency, think of it like google, even if google goes down and no one ever use it anymore, we'll always
Use the term "google it" no matter what. when someone notices Bitcoin and tries to mine it, they will understand why the price is high and they will
Pay for it instead of mining. I'm doing the same though I only tried cloud mining and got disappointed and decided to buy small amounts every few
Weeks to accumulate. with the current state of banking system I see more reasons for people to use decentralized currencies and Bitcoin being on
Top, we will only see rise and rise of both price and difficulty.
Bitcoin is the original decentralized digital currency, think of it like google, even if google goes down and no one ever use it anymore, we'll always
Use the term "google it" no matter what. when someone notices Bitcoin and tries to mine it, they will understand why the price is high and they will
Pay for it instead of mining. I'm doing the same though I only tried cloud mining and got disappointed and decided to buy small amounts every few
Weeks to accumulate. with the current state of banking system I see more reasons for people to use decentralized currencies and Bitcoin being on
Top, we will only see rise and rise of both price and difficulty.
That's not even an argument. You could ask yourself if you think early miners mined for profit. Obviously there was no economic incentives involved until bitcoin had a price.
Anyways, no need to disprove anything, some guy already did it: http://divananalit.org/
Data is clearly showing the opposite of what you claim.
divananalit.org says Mining cost ... depends ... only on: ... difficulty.
... to show you a funny dependence: bitcoin price usually doesn't come lower than mining cost.
Mining cost depends on difficulty, price doesn't come lower than cost, therefore price doesn't come lower than difficulty.
blockchain.info zoom in on when difficulty first rose compared to when price first rose.
Difficulty 1 to 1.180 on 12/30/2009
Price 0 to $0.07 on 8/17/2010
Unless you're a bank; creating money out of thin air, work always comes before a price is assigned to said work.
That's why employers pay you after working 40 hours, unless you're Drake and get an advance, in which case you'd already proven that you're worth something.
https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=http%3A%2F%2Fdump.bitcheese.net%2Fimages%2Faxidido%2Fbitcoin-self-cost-logscale-edited.png&t=579&c=dHbFEFVa0F5G8Q
From https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=550349.40
Difficulty is clearly lagging price. You really only need logic to tell you that.
From https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=550349.40
Difficulty is clearly lagging price. You really only need logic to tell you that.
In the beginning of Bitcoin, did difficulty come first or did price? The answer is difficulty started going up before Bitcoin was even worth anything, therefore price follows difficulty.
That's not even an argument. You could ask yourself if you think early miners mined for profit. Obviously there was no economic incentives involved until bitcoin had a price.
Anyways, no need to disprove anything, some guy already did it: http://divananalit.org/
Data is clearly showing the opposite of what you claim.
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