It will take you ~18,263 days to solve a block with 32 GH/s, assuming difficulty is static. It can take you 8, 9, 10 times longer than that, or it can take you 1 second. On average, 18,263 days @ 32 GH/s. This is based on current network difficulty and assuming (wrongly) that it will not change at all during that time.
Plug your speed into any mining calculator (
https://www.alloscomp.com/bitcoin/calculator). Look at the per day earnings. Divide 25 by that number. That's approximately how many days it will take you to solve a block at the current network difficulty assuming it never changes.
You'd be better off selling slow hardware for scrap metal and buying scratch & win tickets than trying to solo mine.
your wrong quite frankly I don't understand why you say this. you work with btcguild you should be pushing for a secondary solo pool for your site.
your math is correct the odds are 610 to one for 1 month of mining at flat diff growth. 610 x 30 = 18300 days. that part is correct ,
but and here is the but..
If the gear is in your hands and it would pay the power it uses if you mine with your big pool. Then it is in your statistical advantage to mine it soloThis is a statement of fact not bullshit.
This is especially true of all small gear. so any usb stick that spends 2 watts per hash or less would be better off solo mining then running in a merged pool.
This would not be true of an old school asic miner .333gh stick but it is true of an icefury or nano fury stick,blue fury , bi fury, Ant u1 or u2
Frankly by not offering this option to us you are doing a disservice to us.
Take a set of 5 ant miner u-1s running at 10gh and 20 watts. look at this chart. those sticks will earn under 10 dollars at a merged pool and in oct no longer pay for power. but for the same time almost 5 months I could run them solo using your math of 18300 days and running them for 142 days my odds are 142/18300 or 128 to 1 chance of a block. hmmm 128 to one have the sticks in hand I would have had about 10 usd mining in your pool.
lets add the power 20 watts x 24 hours x 142 days = 68 kwatts 68 kwatts = about 10 bucks.. so 10 bucks + 10 bucks = 20 bucks lost solo mining if I don't hit a block.
So for 20 bucks I get a 128 to one shot at a block of btc 128 x 20 = 2560 should be my payout whats a block of btc last I looked it is over 15000 usd.
So I am 6x better off solo mining my 10gh in u-1's for the next 142 days then I am mining them in your pool. now my math is not fully fair just partially correct.
Does someone see my trick of math in my example. (hint I only used correct diff for 1/2 the example)
but the diff used on one side was 11.7 moving to 35.9 or about 3 to 1 change.. so my 6x better off is not true since I did not factor diff in on the solo mining side so let do that 6x / by 3x = 2
so you are 2x better off mining your u-1 sticks in a solo pool then in any major pool buying almost any gear for sale right now does not roi…… All roi depends btc price rise none of us control btc price so it is pretty much luck if you buy a 1th machine and it roi's.
I run a 1th dragon on your site it will fiat roi because I purchased it when coins were 400 now coins are 650 I will fiat profit with it. Even if your pool or Doc H's pool pays 23.5 coins and charge 1.5 coin fee it would still make sense to run some gear if it spends 2 watts or even 1.5 watts a ghash.
Own 5 antminer s-1's
4 merged 1 solo is better then 5 merged pool.
it shows up easier if you do bigger amounts 50 s-1's
40 merged 10 solo do the math .