I love the idea of P2Pool but with the difficulty increasing and me just having 1TH/s, I don't think it is very lucrative for me too keep mining on P2Pool.
At this point, P2Pool has basically become an altcoin with lower difficulty than Bitcoin that's immediately redeemable for BTC.
I know how you feel, I'm guessing your expected time to share is somewhere around 12 hours?
For me, if I was getting at least 1 share every 24 hours (and keeping ~3 in the active share chain) p2pool would still be worth it; the variance may be a bear and patience is very important, but I still believe p2pools payout will be higher over time then any other pool.
I don't see how the part in bold can be anything other than belief. How can p2pool payout more than Eligius? Unless you have your own node and get merged mine blocks, Eligius with 0 donation comes out ahead of p2pool with 0 donation.
And when you throw in variance for small miners, you are likely to lose, possibly bigtime, as difficulty continues to increase. Yes, it would even out in the end if difficulty remained the same, but it doesn't.
M
Well, it's a little more then belief, I have mined on every big pool that is publicly available, for me p2pool was the winner hands down.
Here seamaster is actually doing a side by side comparison with 6 ants on each p2pool, Eligius and BTCGuild (spoiler alert, p2pool is on top...):
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/benchmark-p2pool-vs-btcguild-vs-eligius-416933
So I get two antMiners 180Gh each and pointed one of them to BTCGuild and other to p2pool node. Initial results of mining (180Gh) for period:
from 1 January till 14 January 2014: p2pool - BTC0.952269785 VS btcguild (PPS) - BTC0.77025336
Now is running continuous benchmark 6 antminers total 1080Gh on each pool:
14-31 Jan 2014: p2pool - BTC2.99025045 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC5.0158
1-14 Feb 2014: p2pool - BTC3.2248 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC2.7164 VS Eligius BTC2.5137
15-28 Feb 2014: p2pool - BTC2.5711 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC2.4763 VS Eligius BTC2.0456
1-14 March 2014: p2pool - BTC1.1336 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC1.7816 VS Eligius BTC1.7655
15-31 March 2014: p2pool - BTC2.0796 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC1.7523 VS Eligius BTC1.7838
1-14 April 2014: p2pool - BTC1.0615 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC1.1026 VS Eligius BTC1.2293
15-30 April 2014: p2pool - BTC1.2836 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC1.2097 VS Eligius BTC1.2339
1-14 May 2014: p2pool - BTC0.7297 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC0.7750 VS Eligius BTC1.0017
15-31 May 2014: p2pool - BTC0.9148 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC0.7351 VS Eligius BTC0.7290
1-14 June 2014: p2pool - BTC0.4106 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC0.5750 VS Eligius BTC0.5481
15-30 June 2014: p2pool - BTC0.9081 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC0.6732 VS Eligius BTC0.5135
1-14 July 2014: p2pool - BTC0.6109 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC0.3858 VS Eligius BTC0.4402
Total from 1 Feb 2014: p2pool - BTC14.9283 VS btcguild (PPLNS) - BTC14.183 VS Eligius BTC13.8043
Benchmark is goin on:
1080GH = 6 x AntMiners pointed to p2pool node
1080GH = 6 x antMiners to Eligius.st
1080GH = 6 x antMiners to btcguild
While I cant verify his numbers, I see no reason to not take them at face value...