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Topic: 1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM - page 32. (Read 85797 times)

sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
July 27, 2012, 11:04:38 PM
#55

Isnt there some bitcoin forensic crack


he goes by the name of znort and he only comes out at night
legendary
Activity: 1870
Merit: 1023
July 27, 2012, 10:36:17 PM
#54
>> Would 80K BTC be sufficient to depress the price to 1.8 USD / BTC on July 17?

>>>No.  IIRC, at the time it would have taken around 200k BTCs to drop the price below $2.00.


Don't you mean drop the price by 1.8 USD? 

A very different thing than dropping the price to 1.8 USD =)



legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1000
July 27, 2012, 08:49:59 PM
#53
2: This address was first charged some time in late January 2012. BS&T was set up in early November 2011 afaik (check here: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitcoin-savings-and-trust-home-closed-50822). It is therefore in the correct time frame in order to belong to pirate's BS&T operation.

or to one of his clients
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
July 27, 2012, 06:28:41 PM
#52
I dont actually see, how this address is likely related to any of MtGox`s wallets.

1. MtGox has stated some week ago that they do not commit such blatant negligence to leave any large amount (like this) in one account only, but maintain many accounts in many offline places all around. They have not proven this statement though, afaik.
2. The fund size and time interval of existence seems believable as well as the rate of growth in order to be one of pirate's wallets.
3. On the 17th of July, a withdrawal of 70k BTC from this wallet coincides closely to pirate's claims on IRC to play the market (for the first time). 70k BTC were sold that day and again on the following days alternating with buy orders of similar size.
4. The website: www.1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM.com , though with its owner(s) still unknown does not make the impression to be linked to mtgox.
(5. Doesnt mtgox reject tainted coins? If that was true the amount of taint in the wallet dequalifies it to be linked to mtgox:
https://blockchain.info/taint/1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM ) <-- pls correct me here

  • 1: I once saw them pay me a 500 BTC withdrawal with a 400k wallet. Admittedly that was last year, but it happened. If they say they no longer do that, I believe them though.
  • 2: Shocked Huh? How so?
  • 3: As I already said, the withdrawal happened after the dump.
  • 4: The domain was registered 23 Jun 2012, anyone could have done that.

On a side note, if that address should belong to Pirate, I'm going to lose faith in Bitcoiners. But that makes no sense at all, it would serve no purpose. So if it's not Gox cold storage, then it's probably some investor who wants to be certain about getting his share of Bitcoins. Tongue

2: This address was first charged some time in late January 2012. BS&T was set up in early November 2011 afaik (check here: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitcoin-savings-and-trust-home-closed-50822). It is therefore in the correct time frame in order to belong to pirate's BS&T operation.

@ all: Isnt there some bitcoin forensic crack that could just run some analysis on this address? Like analysing where the bitcons come from or whether this appears more like an active operations account, that does pay out lenders too or is it simply a savings account? From the chain of addresses served before all the bitcoins finally land here, it seems to me that there must be some "address no. 0", that pays out all landers before the residual balance of operating profits is dumped onto this address. Or is it mere money laundering?
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
July 27, 2012, 05:42:43 PM
#51
(5. Doesnt mtgox reject tainted coins? If that was true the amount of taint in the wallet dequalifies it to be linked to mtgox:
https://blockchain.info/taint/1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM ) <-- pls correct me here

Wrong kind of taint.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
July 27, 2012, 04:32:09 PM
#50
I dont actually see, how this address is likely related to any of MtGox`s wallets.

1. MtGox has stated some week ago that they do not commit such blatant negligence to leave any large amount (like this) in one account only, but maintain many accounts in many offline places all around. They have not proven this statement though, afaik.
2. The fund size and time interval of existence seems believable as well as the rate of growth in order to be one of pirate's wallets.
3. On the 17th of July, a withdrawal of 70k BTC from this wallet coincides closely to pirate's claims on IRC to play the market (for the first time). 70k BTC were sold that day and again on the following days alternating with buy orders of similar size.
4. The website: www.1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM.com , though with its owner(s) still unknown does not make the impression to be linked to mtgox.
(5. Doesnt mtgox reject tainted coins? If that was true the amount of taint in the wallet dequalifies it to be linked to mtgox:
https://blockchain.info/taint/1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM ) <-- pls correct me here

  • 1: I once saw them pay me a 500 BTC withdrawal with a 400k wallet. Admittedly that was last year, but it happened. If they say they no longer do that, I believe them though.
  • 2: Shocked Huh? How so?
  • 3: As I already said, the withdrawal happened after the dump.
  • 4: The domain was registered 23 Jun 2012, anyone could have done that.

On a side note, if that address should belong to Pirate, I'm going to lose faith in Bitcoiners. But that makes no sense at all, it would serve no purpose. So if it's not Gox cold storage, then it's probably some investor who wants to be certain about getting his share of Bitcoins. Tongue
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
July 26, 2012, 12:07:18 PM
#49
I dont actually see, how this address is likely related to any of MtGox`s wallets.

1. MtGox has stated some week ago that they do not commit such blatant negligence to leave any large amount (like this) in one account only, but maintain many accounts in many offline places all around. They have not proven this statement though, afaik.
2. The fund size and time interval of existence seems believable as well as the rate of growth in order to be one of pirate's wallets.
3. On the 17th of July, a withdrawal of 70k BTC from this wallet coincides closely to pirate's claims on IRC to play the market (for the first time). 70k BTC were sold that day and again on the following days alternating with buy orders of similar size.
4. The website: www.1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM.com , though with its owner(s) still unknown does not make the impression to be linked to mtgox.
(5. Doesnt mtgox reject tainted coins? If that was true the amount of taint in the wallet dequalifies it to be linked to mtgox:
https://blockchain.info/taint/1DkyBEKt5S2GDtv7aQw6rQepAvnsRyHoYM ) <-- pls correct me here
full member
Activity: 176
Merit: 106
XMR = BTC in 2010. Rise chikun.
July 26, 2012, 11:11:25 AM
#48
Personally, I think the address could be the Mountain of Gox's (mostly) offline wallet.  Long-term BTC holders are probably either sending funds to Gox for cash-out time, or possibly funding their Gox accounts in an attempt to keep making those large ask walls to hold the price down for more accumulation or for some other reason perhaps...

If this is fact Mt. Gox's large offline wallet, and so many BTC holders are depositing Bitcoins into Mt. Gox, then we could see a big selloff soon if things turn south for whatever reason Sad
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
July 25, 2012, 02:59:07 PM
#47
This address just received 10k BTC (1 confirmation so far). Looks to me like it continues its normal growth.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.
July 24, 2012, 07:16:21 AM
#46
How do you plot just one act like this?
Click the little icon after the "final balance" on that account's page.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
July 23, 2012, 09:59:36 AM
#45
It seems blockchain.info is disagreeing with itself. On one page, it shows a final balance >400k, on the other it shows "final balance 0".

I'll stick to blockexplorer for now. I prefer to get no graphs to getting wrong graphs. (If the graph is not wrong, the info page from the same page is -- it's not reasonable either way.)
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
July 23, 2012, 09:03:41 AM
#44
? ? ? what u mean?
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1010
July 23, 2012, 09:02:28 AM
#43


Lol, how does THIS affect your trading strategy?
How do you plot just one act like this?
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 23, 2012, 06:52:21 AM
#42
So... is anyone else attempting to crack the private key?

Lol

HAHA, sure. Maybe if we pool together a million worth of new ASICS and spend the next thousand years on it, we may have a 1% chance at it. ;p  *not actual odds. There are people that know the math on it, and I am NOT one of them*

assuming such an "ASIC" costs $1 and does 1 GAddressCalcCompare/s:

2^256 / (1E6*1E9*60*60*24*365*1000) = 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000367%

better mine
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 23, 2012, 06:47:05 AM
#41
Don't worry, all of the balance graphs end at 0.

I checked one and it didn't. So maybe some of them do. It's a bug in the graph anyhow.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
July 23, 2012, 06:30:36 AM
#40
Don't worry, all of the balance graphs end at 0.

Ah crap, that made me think pirate withdrew all his 517k BTC and will maybe dump that to fulfill my conspiracy theory from above. Logically I removed my bid at 7.83 USD/BTC last night to place it at 1.23 USD/BTC in order to catch that megadump. Dammed, I could have cought that 10% dump instead!

Well, ok Im going back to square one, but DONT YOU DARE PULL OFF THAT CRAZY DUMP RIGHT NOW!!
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
July 23, 2012, 06:14:51 AM
#39
Could it be Gox cold storage?

Assuming I got all the times properly in UTC, Pirate first dump happened, and about half an hour later, chunks went out of that address. I also know some part of Gox storage had roughly that size at another time.

Proceedings would be: dump occurs, people who bought want to withdraw, hot wallet runs low, gets manually replenished. Japan is UTC+9, so it would be around noon -- credible that someone is there to balance out the wallets.

Just a theory. It could also explain why the funds were moved in irregular chunks. Anyway, I can't quite get the timings of some other theories to work out with the dump happening before the address activity.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.
July 23, 2012, 05:49:24 AM
#38
The conspiracy theories are really crappy today.

Silk road doesn't charge for mixing coins.
Silk road doesn't need to borrow a large amount of Bitcoins.
What happened to Ponzi, anyway?
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
July 23, 2012, 02:43:15 AM
#37
So... is anyone else attempting to crack the private key?

Lol

HAHA, sure. Maybe if we pool together a million worth of new ASICS and spend the next thousand years on it, we may have a 1% chance at it. ;p  *not actual odds. There are people that know the math on it, and I am NOT one of them*

But mayyyyybe the key is the 40th SHA256 of "I'm a pirate 200 years too late!"

Sad  "I'm a pirate 200 years too late!" = 1mB29Xk1p9EP81nmtHX5KnwYzviw3HTAL
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1016
Strength in numbers
July 23, 2012, 02:16:33 AM
#36
So... is anyone else attempting to crack the private key?

Lol

HAHA, sure. Maybe if we pool together a million worth of new ASICS and spend the next thousand years on it, we may have a 1% chance at it. ;p  *not actual odds. There are people that know the math on it, and I am NOT one of them*

But mayyyyybe the key is the 40th SHA256 of "I'm a pirate 200 years too late!"
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