what gain does another hard fork present and is the risk worth the reward?
More transaction capacity per block.
Hmmm.
Maybe we should wait for the recent
quadrupling of the blocksize before we start deciding that another doubling of the blocksize is going to be a risk worth taking.
Oh, and you forgot to mention that the fork is being run by a completely different group of programmers to those that developed the Bitcoin over the past 7-8 years?
The real question is not, if a hard fork is worth the reward, but rather, which
chain gets the desired BTC ticker symbol at the exchanges.
Your fear of hard forks is unsubstantiated in my opinion, because smaller coins like Monero hard fork all the time
and it works fine, if the majority of the hashrate supports the forked chain.
Yeah, but these are scheduled hard forks for technical upgrades. Segwit2x is an unneeded technical upgrade, the real motive is political.
There's no proven need to sack the present developers, this new team only wants control of the Bitcoin source code, and they're pretty desperate to make it happen. It's impossible to know their motive for taking control, but it's pretty clear (looking at the technical details) that upgrading the network is not the reason.
Note that Segwit2x's lead programmer, Jeff Garzik, has been part of (taking junior cheerleader duties) the first 3 failed attempts to capture the Bitcoin source code. And he's a big fan of interventionist, authoritarian government (check out his twitter feed history and speaking work). Not Bitcoin compatible, IMO.