Spain vs Germany, last night's match should have belonged to Spain, I bet on Spain. quite an exciting match, considering that both squads are dominated by young players. unfortunately after Morata scored, Spain immediately relaxed their attack. seems like my assumption, Luis Enrique prefers to focus more on defense to maintain their advantage after Morata's goal.
and in the end, Germany was able to get up after Muller was pulled out and replaced by Niclas Fullkrug, Der Panzer was able to equalize for a 1-1 draw. next, Germany has one match remaining. The Panzer team only had one point, they had to win the fight by a landslide score. because Costa Rica also has the chance to qualify for the next round if it can hold Germany to a draw.
So, this remaining match will be very decisive.
my estimate.
Costa Rica vs Germany : 1-2
Japan vs Spain : 1-3
I do not believe that the games will be that close. I get that it was a shocker to have Spain beat 7-0, that was too many goals and people were a bit surprised about it, and I get that it's not going to be easy for Germany to lose again, which leaves an easier level that is realistic.
I think both teams will win with 3-0 or 4-0 difference, that would be more likely, I would literally wager on 3.5 or more difference, doesn't mean it will happen but that's gambling and I think there is a possibility and would do that for both teams as well. I do not see them winning just 2-1 or so, that's too little difference and will probably not happen at all.
Maybe, we don't know, because that game hasn't happened yet. however, there is nothing wrong if you predict it differently. even your predicted scenario, seems more likely, if we refer to the statistics on paper.
Spain and Germany are the favorite teams. however, football is not always based solely on statistics on paper.
in this group E phase, both Spain, Japan, Costa Rica and Germany, have the opportunity to qualify for the next round. even Costa Rica only needs to hold Germany to a draw, with a strategy pattern by playing defense. if the result is a draw, Costa Rica can only hope for Spain to beat Japan, or maybe vice versa.
and keep in mind, the fact that Germany was defeated by Japan 1-2.
personally, I hope Spain and Germany are able to show their best players, they have to score as many goals as possible in the last game of this group phase. however, in this world cup we have been surprised in several matches. it's not impossible if Japan and Costa Rica turn things around to win the match later, even though the probability is very slim. even so, during the 2x45 minute match runs, anything can happen.