Topic: 2024 and 2025 Are Crucial Years - page 2. (Read 318 times)

The situation is still difficult right now regardless of whether it's a crucial time or not I'm not going to care too much about some theories or whatever because all I need right now is encouragement so that I can be better than before.

The economy is getting worse and worse, price hikes are happening everywhere, the geopolitical issues that are still ongoing are also making the situation more complicated. But at the end of the day, the focus is on ourselves because regardless of whether the time is crucial or not, the situation is more complicated when we can't move at all.
So in this case it is important for us to always encourage ourselves to continue to survive in this difficult condition because with the current conditions we cannot rely on others to survive and be able to stand up to the increasingly chaotic economy.

Sounds like complete rubbish to me, you can't possibly track economic cycles over periods of 40-60 years when there have been so many ground breaking changes during that time period. Not only that, anything we might have assumed in the past could now be highly condensed - 40 years ago the internet was the domain of the very few, now it is almost ubiquitous in peoples lives - to the point where we couldn't even comprehend what a world would be like without instance communication in various forms to the other side of the world. You are also extrapolating far too much, you cannot say that a theory which covers 40 to 60 years, somehow becomes applicable to specifically the small window of years 2024 and 2025 (when the margin of error is 20 years) - it is a false interpretation.

every year is crucial or not crucial depending on where you stand and what importance have economical developments for you.
For a fisher in a village on the coast of Madagascar the development of the NY Stock Exchange is meaningless.
For a mid level manager in Blackrock its all or nothing.

And for our financial wizards here on bitcointalk.org its something they believe they can make an impression.
I always wonder what is it what drives the financial wizards on TikTok, most likely OPM; often unemployed and without the slightest idea of finance, let alone world or US- economy.

I'm not too familiar with the "K-Wave" theory since I'm not really into economics or tracking a country’s economy with all the factors involved. But this got me curious, so I might dig into it a bit. Who knows, it might just help me make smarter investment decisions.

If this plays out, then 2024 and 2025 could be prime years for investing. Why? Because when the economy's strong, people feel more confident about investing. And with that kind of optimism, Bitcoin could definitely benefit from the situation.

If we are to see this theory, we first have to see the crisis phase of it. So far we've only seen the slowdown and have only entered the first phase of the crisis not a full blown one (ie. collapse similar to 2008) in order to lead to the follow up recovery according to this model.

Regardless of that with the increasing global tensions and the shift of power from West to East, things are unlikely to "recover" anytime soon.

The Kondratieff Wave theory, or "K-Wave," says economies go through big cycles that last 40 to 60 years, with phases of growth, slowdown, crisis, and recovery. Based on this idea, 2024 and 2025 could be pivotal years where we start to turn things around—or even kick off a new phase of growth.

A Possible Turning Point
We’re coming out of a long period of economic struggles: rising prices, high debt, and slower global growth. According to K-Wave theory, downturns like these often lead to a reset. Many central banks are trying to fix things by adjusting interest rates and policies, so 2024 and 2025 could reveal if these efforts work and help the economy get back on track.

New Technologies Leading the Way
Each K-Wave cycle has been sparked by major new tech. The last big cycle was powered by the rise of the internet and digital tech. Now, we’re seeing AI, renewable energy, blockchain, and other tech booming. If these catch on widely, they could be the boost we need for a new growth phase, making 2024-2025 a time to watch for big moves in tech and investment.

Shifts in Politics and Global Policy
Big global changes often impact K-Wave cycles, too. Right now, governments are focused on issues like climate change, reshaping supply chains, and energy security. These shifts could lead to a big economic reset in the next few years, paving the way for growth.

So, according to K-Wave theory, 2024 and 2025 could be a make-or-break period—either we see more challenges or the start of something big.