So the real question is, does anyone think that the rigs will be within the +/-10% specs of the bet? 
It's pretty easy to overshoot the power usage by 10%...that bet allows them to ship best-in-class ASICs and still lose!
Topic: 253 BTC Bet that Butterfly Labs will Not Deliver an ASIC Prior to March 1st - page 2. (Read 9982 times)
January 17, 2013, 07:58:23 AM
It's pretty easy to overshoot the power usage by 10%...that bet allows them to ship best-in-class ASICs and still lose!
January 16, 2013, 08:11:31 PM
So the real question is, does anyone think that the rigs will be within the +/-10% specs of the bet?
Given the number of things to go wrong in their latest delivery post, the chance they make that date and are within +/-10% of the advertised value rather than +/-10% of an FPGA's performance is probably slim.
I'll probably be in the market for some gently used FPGAs in the window between UPS tracking numbers going out and people firing up their butterfly boxes. If the BFL chips do outperform the FPGAs by the margin advertised, in the worst case I'll have an impressive collection of paperweights featuring Blinkenlights.
January 16, 2013, 06:52:48 PM
So the real question is, does anyone think that the rigs will be within the +/-10% specs of the bet?
January 14, 2013, 10:46:07 PM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.
If there is dinner & dancing i will expect a delivery date out of u as well
...lol
January 14, 2013, 10:35:38 PM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.
January 14, 2013, 03:54:24 PM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.
Maybe we should all date you, if you last an entire week.
January 14, 2013, 10:00:06 AM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
so put your BTC where your mouth is if you are so confident in BFL/your employer's competence.
January 14, 2013, 03:50:38 AM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.
2014
2nd week of Febuary (in a leap year ) 2016
January 14, 2013, 03:27:09 AM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.
2014
January 14, 2013, 03:03:19 AM
Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.
Is it "honest abe"? Like the October 2012 shipping date?
January 13, 2013, 11:04:05 PM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??Just what all you trolls have been asking for: A solid date: 2nd week of February.
January 13, 2013, 04:53:41 PM
http://www.thebitcointrader.com/2013/01/253-btc-3577-usd-bet-that-butterfly.html
I wonder if this bettor has inside information. That's a lot of money to put on the line without some sort of information to back it up.
I wonder if this bettor has inside information. That's a lot of money to put on the line without some sort of information to back it up.
Considering that there are still 14561.94104029 BTC on source address, 250btc is a small number for this person.
Edit:
I thought maybe it could be a shared web wallet, mtgox type, but I would say no.
curiosity:https://blockchain.info/related_tags?active=1Fx3N5iFPDQxUKhhmDJqCMmi3U8Y7gSncx
That is the MPEx public inbound address. Any customer that ever withdraws anything from MPEx will likely have at least some coins that can be traced to that address (and in that sense it works as a mixer).
I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
Wanna bet?
Good one.
January 13, 2013, 02:31:05 PM
I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
Wanna bet?
January 13, 2013, 02:23:13 PM
Well its 275 to 256 now.
A new record?
A new record?
January 13, 2013, 01:45:07 PM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??
+1
January 13, 2013, 11:51:41 AM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??
They ship 2 days after a Cleveland franchise wins a championship.
January 13, 2013, 04:32:10 AM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??
January 13, 2013, 04:04:52 AM
But you have to admit that was a really good long con. Selling expensive FPGAs for a low price to create confidence, collect tons of pre-order money and then brake down when people loose confidence is a clever strategy. You catch the people pirate never catched - very clever!
January 13, 2013, 02:32:23 AM
Even now...
January 13, 2013, 02:04:40 AM
Whoever bet that is a fool.. I suspect it's Mircea Popescu... good luck winning your bet against when you lose, though. I'm sure he'll force close the bet and negate all bets after we ship so he doesn't lose the 250 BTC.
So whats your ship date again ??
i did not hear it the first time
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