I think what you actually did was buy high and sell low, and more than once.
My last shit trade was to buy at $620, and sell at $535, and that was despite imploring a friend of mind, who with borrowed money invested £5000 on bitcoin at $640, to cut his losses at $620, $590, etc. I don't know what came across me to go against what I preached....ah yes I do, the same old impulsive rush of blood to the head that makes me a shit trader.
Not good. But better than holding 15 Bitcoin worth $350 a punt today, innit!?
The funny thing is, I made all the lionshare of my profits trading Bitcoin when I never had a clue even what a MACD was. Basically from late Nov, whilst also timing a couple of flash crashes brilliantly. But since then, we have had a brutal bear market, which necessarily entails liquidity leaving the market which necessarily entails fewer and fewer winners.
Bitcoin right about now is not be touched.
U honestly think that this sucker aint going right down into $200 range and possibly even below that?
We aint even seen any panic selling yet....just wait till that kicks in.
I have no idea where the selling ends. I do know that the newsflow and infrastructure etc throughout the year after gox has been overwhelmingly positive and it is difficult to relate the exchange price to progress in the bitcoin economy in general this year. A bear market after a 100x superbubble isn't a surprise. If we break below 266 I will be surprised and a bit disappointed.
My personal view is that the bear market is being exaggerated by some big players who want to get in as cheaply as possible. If that is the case then there is a limit to how low they will suppress the market if they hope to find new bitcoiners to buy the market back up next year without damaging future user adoption significantly. A crash into the low 2xx or 1xx would signal the end of bitcoin as a rising global internet payments currency and payment network. It requires a substantial market cap to make it worthwhile for companies like Dell, overstock, newegg, paypal from using it for customers. I believe silicon valley has become involved due to the global potential of bitcoin going forward. Why else would a 100 billion dollar company like dell implement a payment system that only between 300,000 and 2 million people use globally, especially one with associations to the dark web and cyber crime? The amount of money dell will gain through implementing bitcoin this year is beyond trivial.
I also don't believe that increased merchant adoption is driving the price declines. Miners may add a small amount of sell pressure but it is speculators who are exaggerating the moves. Panic selling? The overwhelming majority of people who were weak hands are out already. We are over 70% down from the ATH. Anyone left is a true believer.
The price could trickle lower, sure. But the market will turn, shorts will burn, trolls will evaporate and a wall of worry bull market will arise. The on ramps have been simpletonified for future users (circle) and bitcoin will be sold as a digital commodity to stock investors via the ETF. I cannot imagine wall street missing out on the immense bubble opportunities bitcoin represents going forward.
COI: purely my opinion!