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Topic: 4000$ bitcoins in 4 months - page 4. (Read 4820 times)

hero member
Activity: 841
Merit: 1000
July 05, 2015, 04:03:45 PM
#12
I highly doubt that we are going to even come close to this. However, there is a slight possibility in case that something happens.
If Greece declares Bitcoin as its national currency then Bitcoin is going places. Although the odds aren't really in favor of this one.

It is impossible that a nation or government will declare bitcoin as its national currency, how they can control it? Only an anarchy can support bitcoin as currency not even a democracy.
Which is the strength of Bitcoin. Remember the power is with the people.

The separation between church and politics happened a while ago, it now is time for the separation between politics and money. 
legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1043
#Free market
July 05, 2015, 04:00:43 PM
#11
I highly doubt that we are going to even come close to this. However, there is a slight possibility in case that something happens.
If Greece declares Bitcoin as its national currency then Bitcoin is going places. Although the odds aren't really in favor of this one.

It is impossible that a nation or government will declare bitcoin as its national currency, how they can control it? Only an anarchy can support bitcoin as currency not even a democracy.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2965
Terminated.
July 05, 2015, 03:58:48 PM
#10
I highly doubt that we are going to even come close to this. However, there is a slight possibility in case that something happens.
If Greece declares Bitcoin as its national currency then Bitcoin is going places. Although the odds aren't really in favor of this one.

It is impossible that a nation or government will declare bitcoin as its national currency, how they can control it? Only an anarchy can support bitcoin as currency not even a democracy.
Everything is possible. I never said that they would do it, nor that they could control it.
legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1043
#Free market
July 05, 2015, 03:56:39 PM
#9

Are you serious? Or just another useless speculation of the price? Will you buy 1 btc for 4k dollars ? Oh sorry I forgot ... we are in the speculation forum section.

//sarcasm.

However, I will be happy if the price will raise to 500 dollars so I can dump al my coins XD (who wants 4k dollars per btc).

I think Bitcoin ("capital B") is overdue for being repriced to something like 35-100 Billion USD.

Working backwards to coin price implies around ~2500-7000 USD/BTC.

Have fun with your silly linear models. Wink

You said your opinion and I said my opinion, where is the problem Grin? I didn't criticize anyone ... I criticized what he said. However thanks again for your opinion and have a great day.


Have fun you too with your silly linear models .
sr. member
Activity: 242
Merit: 250
July 05, 2015, 03:52:14 PM
#8
I suppose you bought at least 250 Bitcoin then? Because 250 BTC * $4000 = $1,000,000.
legendary
Activity: 1458
Merit: 1006
July 05, 2015, 03:19:35 PM
#7

Are you serious? Or just another useless speculation of the price? Will you buy 1 btc for 4k dollars ? Oh sorry I forgot ... we are in the speculation forum section.

//sarcasm.

However, I will be happy if the price will raise to 500 dollars so I can dump al my coins XD (who wants 4k dollars per btc).

I think Bitcoin ("capital B") is overdue for being repriced to something like 35-100 Billion USD.

Working backwards to coin price implies around ~2500-7000 USD/BTC.

Have fun with your silly linear models. Wink
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
July 05, 2015, 03:17:35 PM
#6
logarithmic price charts lie to you about the real price action picture.

Does not matter in this context. We are in green for the 5th week in a row and bitcoin has seen 16x increase in value in the past. Extrapolate and you will get the same results as I did. Btw, non-logarithmic charts lie even more.

ok but you do realize we need more buying pressure to get to $4000 than we did to get to $1000.
we're talking multiple billions more in terms of the market cap which might mean tens of millions of dollars in trades.  It will happen,  but in four months??  don't know about that.
donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
July 05, 2015, 03:17:15 PM
#5
In the beginning of 2013 bitcoin traded at 15$ and went up to 250$ in the following 4 months. That's 16x rise! We are currently at 270$, 5 weeks green in a row, exactly as it was before the Cyprus crisis.

270*16 = 4320





I used similar logic to make an 'insane' projection in February '13 (EDIT: incidentally very close to the "we are here" hyena drew above):

Assuming that the two boom patterns should be similar (i.e. the whole thing be a fractal) - then the second is still very far from the top, it still might grow maybe 10 times.

Exactly. In my opinion the current situation is at most a "small bubble", meaning that there can be a correction, but it's unlikely to be a deep one. To experience a "massive bubble" we would need to see the all time high broken and then panic buys from there. That is the point when it's smart to become skeptical.

there have been 3 "steps" in the 2011 runup to the bubble (from base of about $1):

  • the jump to $2
  • the jump to $4
  • the jump to $9

So the top of the current bubble is either 450, 225 or 100 depending what "jump" the current one is similar to.

I don't believe in this fractal stuff applying to markets somehow, though.

I clearly remember being ridiculed for putting such insanely high numbers, but I can't find the posts. Maybe deleted in shame.

So I'm with you, hyena, and we'll laugh last Wink
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1015
July 05, 2015, 03:12:12 PM
#4
logarithmic price charts lie to you about the real price action picture.

Does not matter in this context. We are in green for the 5th week in a row and bitcoin has seen 16x increase in value in the past. Extrapolate and you will get the same results as I did. Btw, non-logarithmic charts lie even more.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
July 05, 2015, 03:08:32 PM
#3
logarithmic price charts lie to you about the real price action picture.
legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1043
#Free market
July 05, 2015, 03:07:04 PM
#2
In the beginning of 2013 bitcoin traded at 15$ and went up to 250$ in the following 4 months. That's 16x rise! We are currently at 270$, 5 weeks green in a row, exactly as it was before the Cyprus crisis.

270*16 = 4320






Are you serious? Or just another useless speculation of the price? Will you buy 1 btc for 4k dollars ? Oh sorry I forgot ... we are in the speculation forum section.

//sarcasm.

However, I will be happy if the price will raise to 500 dollars so I can dump al my coins XD (who wants 4k dollars per btc).
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1015
July 05, 2015, 02:59:54 PM
#1
In the beginning of 2013 bitcoin traded at 15$ and went up to 250$ in the following 4 months. That's 16x rise! We are currently at 270$, 5 weeks green in a row, exactly as it was before the Cyprus crisis.

270*16 = 4320



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