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Topic: 457 HOLY SHIT (Read 5596 times)

legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1115
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 17, 2014, 06:27:28 AM
#52
I don't think we're ever going to see $500 again. Or at least, not below it.

I think we need a silk road event to have us crash to just about $500, whales buy up all the cheap coins, leaving no coins on market, then its bubble time.

I thought the same, and that that event would be the Silkroad auction (well, just before knowing the results anyway).
But with that gone, I don't see any news of sorts approaching, specially now that we're kind of China-Ban-Immune...

The next silk road auction?

Unless something gets all the coins back into the hands of the few, we could easily have to wait until the next halving... :/

Unless the whales have already been accumulating, that is.

Next auction won't come until DPR's trial finishes, and that might take a while.
I think some other event such as a ETF opening will happen before that. And before the next halving.

There is always the possibility that they are able to confiscate another drug exchanges coins
The amount would probably be far less significant but if they catch a few who knows we may see another auction.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
July 17, 2014, 04:57:11 AM
#51
I don't think we're ever going to see $500 again. Or at least, not below it.

I think we need a silk road event to have us crash to just about $500, whales buy up all the cheap coins, leaving no coins on market, then its bubble time.

I thought the same, and that that event would be the Silkroad auction (well, just before knowing the results anyway).
But with that gone, I don't see any news of sorts approaching, specially now that we're kind of China-Ban-Immune...

The next silk road auction?

Unless something gets all the coins back into the hands of the few, we could easily have to wait until the next halving... :/

Unless the whales have already been accumulating, that is.

Next auction won't come until DPR's trial finishes, and that might take a while.
I think some other event such as a ETF opening will happen before that. And before the next halving.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
July 17, 2014, 02:52:07 AM
#50
I don't think we're ever going to see $500 again. Or at least, not below it.

I think we need a silk road event to have us crash to just about $500, whales buy up all the cheap coins, leaving no coins on market, then its bubble time.

I thought the same, and that that event would be the Silkroad auction (well, just before knowing the results anyway).
But with that gone, I don't see any news of sorts approaching, specially now that we're kind of China-Ban-Immune...
maybe because theres another 140k coins left for the fbi to auction - until that is over dont expect bitcoin to bubble - and if it does it will come down before the next auction.

If price will crash up or down, depends pretty much of the number of winners AND batch sizes. And batch sizes surely depend on price before the auction, they can't sell 10,000 BTC batches if the price is 10,000 USD.

So I'd say that the destination of the auctioned coins depends on the price.
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
July 17, 2014, 02:13:56 AM
#49
I don't think we're ever going to see $500 again. Or at least, not below it.

I think we need a silk road event to have us crash to just about $500, whales buy up all the cheap coins, leaving no coins on market, then its bubble time.

I thought the same, and that that event would be the Silkroad auction (well, just before knowing the results anyway).
But with that gone, I don't see any news of sorts approaching, specially now that we're kind of China-Ban-Immune...
maybe because theres another 140k coins left for the fbi to auction - until that is over dont expect bitcoin to bubble - and if it does it will come down before the next auction.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
July 17, 2014, 01:24:32 AM
#48
I don't think we're ever going to see $500 again. Or at least, not below it.

I think we need a silk road event to have us crash to just about $500, whales buy up all the cheap coins, leaving no coins on market, then its bubble time.

I thought the same, and that that event would be the Silkroad auction (well, just before knowing the results anyway).
But with that gone, I don't see any news of sorts approaching, specially now that we're kind of China-Ban-Immune...

The next silk road auction?

Unless something gets all the coins back into the hands of the few, we could easily have to wait until the next halving... :/

Unless the whales have already been accumulating, that is.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
July 16, 2014, 07:17:02 PM
#47
I don't think we're ever going to see $500 again. Or at least, not below it.

I think we need a silk road event to have us crash to just about $500, whales buy up all the cheap coins, leaving no coins on market, then its bubble time.

I thought the same, and that that event would be the Silkroad auction (well, just before knowing the results anyway).
But with that gone, I don't see any news of sorts approaching, specially now that we're kind of China-Ban-Immune...
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1001
This is the land of wolves now & you're not a wolf
July 16, 2014, 01:15:34 PM
#46
Dollar averaging solves 99% of your forecasting problems.  Smiley

True, so you basically should be incrementally buying now, if your dollar cost average is anywhere above where the price is at now...

It would be easier to stomach periodic buys right now if that were the case, but my dollar cost average is about $150 under the current price point.

That is a pretty good number that you are working with.   So if I were you, I would just continue to periodically add money to your BTC whenever you can...and then just hold onto the rest that you have.   Especially re-load if you spend your BTC.

Over the long term, the prices right now should be cheap, but we don't know what the future holds...
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
July 16, 2014, 11:55:33 AM
#45
Dollar averaging solves 99% of your forecasting problems.  Smiley

True, so you basically should be incrementally buying now, if your dollar cost average is anywhere above where the price is at now...

It would be easier to stomach periodic buys right now if that were the case, but my dollar cost average is about $150 under the current price point.
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1115
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 16, 2014, 01:20:42 AM
#44
That was the bottom looking back or was it 380
Either way right now that position is well into the green so it makes a good mark
Above the old High score but before the next rise although Bitcoin has been sideways for a while I think were in the long run to the next price rise 200 day trendlines etc.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
July 15, 2014, 11:12:24 PM
#43
I don't think we're ever going to see $500 again. Or at least, not below it.

I think we need a silk road event to have us crash to just about $500, whales buy up all the cheap coins, leaving no coins on market, then its bubble time.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
July 15, 2014, 10:33:29 PM
#42
600s and going up soon, but if this bomb will explode first it needs to crash to 300s maybe less and then rise from the ashes and reach 1000s

And with everyone wanting coin this cheap, we will never see it happen.

True. It's the terrible disadvantage to how the markets correcting themselves.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1001
This is the land of wolves now & you're not a wolf
July 15, 2014, 10:29:57 PM
#41
Dollar averaging solves 99% of your forecasting problems.  Smiley

True, so you basically should be incrementally buying now, if your dollar cost average is anywhere above where the price is at now...
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
July 15, 2014, 10:24:35 PM
#40
600s and going up soon, but if this bomb will explode first it needs to crash to 300s maybe less and then rise from the ashes and reach 1000s

And with everyone wanting coin this cheap, we will never see it happen.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
July 15, 2014, 10:13:11 PM
#39
This thread reminds me that we are now more in a flat trend than a down trend.

what if we drop back to $4xx in few weeks?

Not the end of the world.  I'm a buyer at $4xx.  Frankly, right now, I've got cash sitting on the sidelines.  Not selling, certainly, but not buying at $620, either.

To be fair, most of us are believers, so we are in at most any point.  I bought some just now at 618.  Every week USD into BTC...

It's a good strategy.  You're right.  I should probably look at it that way.  I'm probably being greedy...and I might well miss a run.  Might have to backtest some what ifs....
hero member
Activity: 810
Merit: 1000
July 15, 2014, 09:58:18 PM
#38
Dollar averaging solves 99% of your forecasting problems.  Smiley
member
Activity: 252
Merit: 10
July 15, 2014, 09:41:45 PM
#37
This thread reminds me that we are now more in a flat trend than a down trend.

what if we drop back to $4xx in few weeks?

Not the end of the world.  I'm a buyer at $4xx.  Frankly, right now, I've got cash sitting on the sidelines.  Not selling, certainly, but not buying at $620, either.

To be fair, most of us are believers, so we are in at most any point.  I bought some just now at 618.  Every week USD into BTC...
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
VocalPlatform.com
July 15, 2014, 09:29:27 PM
#36
600s and going up soon, but if this bomb will explode first it needs to crash to 300s maybe less and then rise from the ashes and reach 1000s
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
July 15, 2014, 07:18:09 PM
#35
This is the beginning of a trend reversal. It might not pull through this time but the bull pressure is building  Cool

the bulls have been gathering for a couple of weeks now, soon they'll all storm and trample those bears and make them hide in their caves and cry for a couple of months and then the whole process will repeat itself again.

 I disagree what bulls? No new money is coming in from anywhere.

You base that on what? Lack of announcement? Smiley

I am definitely a buyer anywhere in the $400s
I'm buyer anywhere below 600.

At 400's I'm in make everything to get money to buy bitcoins mode
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1001
This is the land of wolves now & you're not a wolf
July 15, 2014, 02:02:40 PM
#34
This is the beginning of a trend reversal. It might not pull through this time but the bull pressure is building  Cool

the bulls have been gathering for a couple of weeks now, soon they'll all storm and trample those bears and make them hide in their caves and cry for a couple of months and then the whole process will repeat itself again.

 I disagree what bulls? No new money is coming in from anywhere.

You base that on what? Lack of announcement? Smiley

I am definitely a buyer anywhere in the $400s
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
July 15, 2014, 09:40:41 AM
#33
This is the beginning of a trend reversal. It might not pull through this time but the bull pressure is building  Cool

the bulls have been gathering for a couple of weeks now, soon they'll all storm and trample those bears and make them hide in their caves and cry for a couple of months and then the whole process will repeat itself again.

 I disagree what bulls? No new money is coming in from anywhere.

You base that on what? Lack of announcement? Smiley
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