Your analysis is based on creation cost, but creation cost does not affect supply, so it can't affect the price.
The production of bitcoins is predetermined by the protocol. It is not affected by the cost of creation. Since the production is predetermined, then the total supply is predetermined. Therefore, it follows that the creation cost does not affect the price.
This is misinformation. New btc, Bch, eth, ltc, and dash are made each day. Your argument is false.
You are thinking the wrong way.
Odolvlobo is saying that a predetermined number of bitcoins is going to be produced everyday, not matter the cost. This is a fact, you cannot disagree with it , you can only fail to understand.
However, I partially disagree with him that it doesn't affect the supply. It does, because a lot of bitcoins are mined everyday and they go straight to Exchanges to cover miner's costs. It does affect supply, not entirely, but it does
However the price of any asset is not only determined by it costs or any rational argument you can think about. The price of every asset, like gold, stocks, bitcoins, bonds, etc are determined by the market's sentiment about its future.
Every price of every asset is speculative. This is why you can see sp500 drop 5% in a day for example (because the sentiment about us future changed, not because companies are 5% worse).
The same with Bitcoin, obviously. If energy and hardware costs were the biggest factor to consider when thinking about the price, bitcoin volatility would be minimum
Edit: let me illustrate. Let's suppose there is a huge rumor about a terrorist attack in a hydro dam in China. This would affect all energy cost in China, a big mining farm. However, the energy price is still the same now.
This would certainly affect Bitcoin price. Miners would antecipate themselves and charge more on each Bitcoin mined.
However, China government was fast enough to prevent the attack. Energy cost never changed. Bitcoin price got back to normal, but only after or spiked (due to bad sentiment about the future, which was not confirmed and it came back to normal later. Energy cost never changed, but price did)
