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Topic: AMHash1: Cost-Effective Mining Contract - page 148. (Read 304327 times)

legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
November 21, 2014, 02:04:17 PM
New dividend payout is 0.00000784. Lower day by day. Any idea why?

Beside the exchange rate affecting the maintenance fee, that's how mining works. If you had 1 GH/s and the network hash rate was 100 Gh/s you would have 1% of the network hash rate. Around 3600 BTC are mined each day, so if you controlled 1% of the network you would receive 1% of that 3600 BTC. Now if the network increased to 200 GH/s you would only control 0.5% of the network hash rate and would receive 0.5% of the 3600 BTC.

So, if the network hash rate increases, your payout decreases.

Interestingly, it appears the hash rate is dropping.  Difficulty is at 40.3B and while there is still 12 days before the next revision, if it happened today it would drop to 37.1B.  Yesterday the estimate was 38B.  Not sure what is going on, and it can certainly change, but this is the first time I have seen such a drop.  Even in an estimate.

This spreadsheet shows the past difficulty changes.. The network has decreased a few times.

legendary
Activity: 1593
Merit: 1004
November 21, 2014, 01:17:44 PM
New dividend payout is 0.00000784. Lower day by day. Any idea why?

Beside the exchange rate affecting the maintenance fee, that's how mining works. If you had 1 GH/s and the network hash rate was 100 Gh/s you would have 1% of the network hash rate. Around 3600 BTC are mined each day, so if you controlled 1% of the network you would receive 1% of that 3600 BTC. Now if the network increased to 200 GH/s you would only control 0.5% of the network hash rate and would receive 0.5% of the 3600 BTC.

So, if the network hash rate increases, your payout decreases.

Interestingly, it appears the hash rate is dropping.  Difficulty is at 40.3B and while there is still 12 days before the next revision, if it happened today it would drop to 37.1B.  Yesterday the estimate was 38B.  Not sure what is going on, and it can certainly change, but this is the first time I have seen such a drop.  Even in an estimate.
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
November 21, 2014, 12:55:29 PM
New dividend payout is 0.00000784. Lower day by day. Any idea why?

Beside the exchange rate affecting the maintenance fee, that's how mining works. If you had 1 GH/s and the network hash rate was 100 Gh/s you would have 1% of the network hash rate. Around 3600 BTC are mined each day, so if you controlled 1% of the network you would receive 1% of that 3600 BTC. Now if the network increased to 200 GH/s you would only control 0.5% of the network hash rate and would receive 0.5% of the 3600 BTC.

So, if the network hash rate increases, your payout decreases.
fhh
legendary
Activity: 1206
Merit: 1000
November 21, 2014, 12:47:06 PM
yes

BTC/USD is getting down so the fee is getting higher in BTC
full member
Activity: 186
Merit: 106
November 21, 2014, 12:43:13 PM
New dividend payout is 0.00000784. Lower day by day. Any idea why?
member
Activity: 118
Merit: 10
November 21, 2014, 10:53:12 AM
4. Customers who find the wrong numbers between we supplied and your ordered on Hashie.co please report to us, if it's proved by our investigation, we will:
1) Reward 0.1BTC to customer who reported to us;
2) Stop cooperating with Hashie.co

So, you also don't trust Hashio.co  Grin Good job! ))
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
November 21, 2014, 10:36:13 AM
Yes I do Puppet and I wish you could see how your rudimentary implementation of miner costs into that chart is as well.  The chart is only of value to miners currently in service with respect to when to shut them down.  Nobody should buy a miner based on either chart.

What you fail to grasp is that whole point of my chart is trying to predict where difficulty is headed, given certain assumptions. Not to calculate when miners are no longer operationally profitable, you dont need a chart for  that (and certainly not one without BTC value on one of its axis). You just calculate the BTC denominated electricity cost of your miner, and voila.
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
November 21, 2014, 10:15:07 AM
Update

1. We try to promote AMHash on other platforms, we are taking care of platform safety, thanks for people's kindly remind.

Is that a joke? You've done absolutely nothing at all with regards to promoting AMHash. It's us AM shareholders that are promoting AMHash while you sit on your arse doing nothing and get paid for it out of what should be our dividends. Here's how incompetent you are. You keep going on about AM needing to sell hash power and yet you keep removing the AMHash shares from sale so that nobody can actually buy them and you refuse to do any promotion.

"Hey, let's post about this cloud mining service in the securities thread, because day-trading speculators will surely want to buy cloud mining which is basically guaranteed to fall in price as difficulty increases. Let's ignore the fact that everyone else running a cloud mining service is posting about it in the "Services" and "Service Announcements" sub-forums because that's the obvious and logical place to post such things."

Seriously, if there's no official post about AMHash in the "service" sub-forums I mentioned (where all the other cloud-mining services are) then I'll have to draw the conclusion that you are deliberately working against the interests of AM shareholders.

Also, in the initial post it links to AMHash1 as the place to buy AMHash shares. Yeah it is, but none of those shares belong the AMHash, they belong to customers who are selling them, therefore no profits for AMHash, but plenty for Havelock.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
November 21, 2014, 09:47:58 AM
Consider zero electricity cost. According to your chart, network would go to inifinty and an individual miner would be willing to pay any price for hardware. Dont you see thats nonsensical?

 Yes I do Puppet and I wish you could see how your rudimentary implementation of miner costs into that chart is as well.  The chart is only of value to miners currently in service with respect to when to shut them down.  Nobody should buy a miner based on either chart.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
November 21, 2014, 09:37:50 AM
Consider zero electricity cost. According to your chart, network would go to inifinty and an individual miner would be willing to pay any price for hardware. Dont you see thats nonsensical?
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
November 21, 2014, 09:34:07 AM
You agree the cost has to be included and thus you remove it in your chart?
One can argue over what a reasonable break even period is (i assumed 1 year which is probably too long), and how much the hardware really costs, but its not never and nothing
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
November 21, 2014, 09:30:19 AM
The hardware represents an investment. You have to write that off and you cant just ignore that. You cakculate it as if people would buy $10000 prismas today. If i already had a $100000 prisma i wouldnt unplug it as long as it earns more than it costs, but i wouldnt have bought one and no one is going to invest in hardware that cant break even.

 I have no disagreement with you on that point.  My argument with your original chart is with the implementation of BE for up-front miner cost.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
November 21, 2014, 09:26:25 AM
The hardware represents an investment. You have to write that off and you cant just ignore that. You cakculate it as if people would buy $10000 prismas  today. Or buy amhash at any price. If i already had a $100000 prisma i wouldnt unplug it as long as it earns more than it costs in electricity, but i wouldnt have bought one and no one is going to invest in hardware that cant break even on its investment even if its operationally profitable
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
November 21, 2014, 09:17:41 AM
If bitcoin stays at US$350, the AMHash mining contract will end when the Network hashing rate hits 750 Ph/s - it would be nice to have a crystal ball so we know when that will be.

I cant tell you when but I can guarantee you that we will hit well beyond those speeds:



Consider ~0.7J/GH is achievable now and 0.5-0.2J/GH just around the corner (0.1 next year if you believe Bitfury, KnC or spondoolies),
Also consider that $400/TH is available today, and Spondoolies are talking of <$100/GH next next year


 Well once again I have to disagree on the validity of your chart so this time I have utilized the portion of your calculation which I am agreeable to and removed what I believe to be the erroneous portion of your calculation.  Electricity is used perpetually to run the mining equipment; when electricity costs = value of bitcoins produced, you are no longer making money - I agree with you on that point.  However, the 365 BE you refer to is not accurately implemented in your charts as you have not factored in time and more importantly difficulty with respect to time.  You have already admitted as much in saying "I cant tell you when..."

 Here is your representation of network speed with respect to electricity cost only, utilizing a logarithmic x-axis.  Obviously this chart is only useful for indicating when it's time to turn off your already-purchased miners (unless you heat your dwelling with electricity).  In this model, Bitcoin value is set to US$400 and block reward is 25BTC and zero electricity cost is removed as the graph goes asymptotic:







 
sr. member
Activity: 240
Merit: 250
November 21, 2014, 09:05:19 AM
Do I need a gmail e-mail address to do Gauth ? Do you need offer Authy app for Iphone users ?

No other account is required. i.e. You don't need to "sign in" to Gauth.
member
Activity: 65
Merit: 10
November 21, 2014, 08:37:33 AM
Do I need a gmail e-mail address to do Gauth ? Do you need offer Authy app for Iphone users ?
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
November 21, 2014, 02:16:15 AM
If bitcoin stays at US$350, the AMHash mining contract will end when the Network hashing rate hits 750 Ph/s - it would be nice to have a crystal ball so we know when that will be.

I cant tell you when but I can guarantee you that we will hit well beyond those speeds:



Consider ~0.7J/GH is achievable now and 0.5-0.2J/GH just around the corner (0.1 next year if you believe Bitfury, KnC or spondoolies),
Also consider that $400/TH is available today, and Spondoolies are talking of <$100/GH next next year
full member
Activity: 129
Merit: 100
November 21, 2014, 01:07:51 AM
Update

1. We try to promote AMHash on other platforms, we are taking care of platform safety, thanks for people's kindly remind.

2. We need to test Hashie.co 's reputation , they are very cooperated and deposited BTC as guarantee, we'll  keep monitoring their daily dividends payment.

3. We set this web for people who ordered AMHash on Hashie.co, customers can search your email address registered on Hashie.co to check your ordering true or false:
http://www.amhash.com/hashie/index.php

P.S. Those account informations based from the list supplied by Hashie.co, customers can only find themselves' infos by email address searching.There is delay for searching foundation, our list update will be later than latest orders, that means, if you bought AMHash yesterday, you can search it until today.

4. Customers who find the wrong numbers between we supplied and your ordered on Hashie.co please report to us, if it's proved by our investigation, we will:

1) Reward 0.1BTC to customer who reported to us;
2) Stop cooperating with Hashie.co
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
ADAMANT — the most secure and anonymous messenger
November 20, 2014, 11:55:38 PM
i really dont know what the difficulty rise will be in the future. I really dont remember where i had seen it sometime earlier in the day. I seen a website that had prediction based off current data and showed next rise in 13 days to be at 4.7%. Once again i dont recall the site or even if they was legit or just spitting random numbers

 If bitcoin stays at US$350, the AMHash mining contract will end when the Network hashing rate hits 750 Ph/s - it would be nice to have a crystal ball so we know when that will be.

time to get the speed to go down lol, hope bitcoin goes back up after the holidays. I was happy when it was flirting with $400 price range. I think it needs to go up in price or difficulty will come to stand still maybe discouraging new people from Joining since wont be worth their time or money
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
November 20, 2014, 10:07:40 PM
i really dont know what the difficulty rise will be in the future. I really dont remember where i had seen it sometime earlier in the day. I seen a website that had prediction based off current data and showed next rise in 13 days to be at 4.7%. Once again i dont recall the site or even if they was legit or just spitting random numbers

 If bitcoin stays at US$350, the AMHash mining contract will end when the Network hashing rate hits 750 Ph/s - it would be nice to have a crystal ball so we know when that will be.
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