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Topic: AMHash1: Cost-Effective Mining Contract - page 97. (Read 304259 times)

hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 01:21:47 PM
Well, if this is ends up so I guess it´s back to dividend 600 projections

and praying that BTC doesn´t tank in the next 72 hours.
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 01:08:24 PM
i think diff will rise about 8 percent on monday so dividends at 600 satoshi after diff change,so the market will regulate itself...whats about amhash4 ,any news?

Difficulty is a function of hashrate.

Check bitcoinwisdom.com

The estmate is just some lagging noise.

Hashrate now 301,312,785 GH/s


On 12/30 290,919,288 GH/s


Estimated Next Difficulty (+9.91%), I doubt it.


But then again this stuff we´re being fed could be more or less crap.

The hashrate number shown is calculated from last 500 blocks and I advise not to follow it at all because it's too noisy (represents gray line on the chart). However the estimate percentage is calculated from all mined blocks in current difficulty plus some prediction. As we are only 450 blocks to go the prediction is quite correct - the difficulty will be adjusted according to green line on the chart (last 2016 blocks) and as you can see that line is   quite above red difficulty line so we will be very close to +10%

We´ll have to see

sr. member
Activity: 291
Merit: 250
January 09, 2015, 01:01:04 PM
i think diff will rise about 8 percent on monday so dividends at 600 satoshi after diff change,so the market will regulate itself...whats about amhash4 ,any news?

Difficulty is a function of hashrate.

Check bitcoinwisdom.com

The estmate is just some lagging noise.

Hashrate now 301,312,785 GH/s


On 12/30 290,919,288 GH/s


Estimated Next Difficulty (+9.91%), I doubt it.


But then again this stuff we´re being fed could be more or less crap.

The hashrate number shown is calculated from last 500 blocks and I advise not to follow it at all because it's too noisy (represents gray line on the chart). However the estimate percentage is calculated from all mined blocks in current difficulty plus some prediction. As we are only 450 blocks to go the prediction is quite correct - the difficulty will be adjusted according to green line on the chart (last 2016 blocks) and as you can see that line is   quite above red difficulty line so we will be very close to +10%
edit: in 9 months chart posted below the 504 blocks noisy hashrate is represented by blue line, not gray as in 2 months chart.
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 12:21:43 PM
i think diff will rise about 8 percent on monday so dividends at 600 satoshi after diff change,so the market will regulate itself...whats about amhash4 ,any news?

Difficulty is a function of hashrate.

Check bitcoinwisdom.com

The estmate is just some lagging noise.

Hashrate now 301,312,785 GH/s


On 12/30 290,919,288 GH/s


Estimated Next Difficulty (+9.91%), I doubt it.


But then again this stuff we´re being fed could be more or less crap.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
January 09, 2015, 12:19:43 PM
i think diff will rise about 8 percent on monday so dividends at 600 satoshi after diff change,so the market will regulate itself...whats about amhash4 ,any news?
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 12:10:29 PM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.

I'd like to share your optimism but with 20% dividend drop coming in 72 hours this price will be unsustainable at these levels because it would mean almost 6 months roi
Yeah, sometimes is difficult to understand what causing price movements. Buying at that price is rather not wise.

Why do you figure it´s rather not wise ?
Diff raising, BTC price falling, new more efficient miners just behind a corner. ROI almost impossible when buying at that price. BID side of market depth is rather thin, if someone with ~1% of total shares decide to quit then price will dive sharp...

It looks like diff. will increase maybe 3-4% so I think it´s attractive at .00095.

If that diff. holds and if BTC can avoid tanking from this level that´ll be a yield of

.7%/day which is a little higher than when AmHash3 was being sold (during IPO).

I think that´s reasonable.
legendary
Activity: 1029
Merit: 1000
January 09, 2015, 11:57:30 AM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.

I'd like to share your optimism but with 20% dividend drop coming in 72 hours this price will be unsustainable at these levels because it would mean almost 6 months roi
Yeah, sometimes is difficult to understand what causing price movements. Buying at that price is rather not wise.

Why do you figure it´s rather not wise ?
Diff raising, BTC price falling, new more efficient miners just behind a corner. ROI almost impossible when buying at that price. BID side of market depth is rather thin, if someone with ~1% of total shares decide to quit then price will dive sharp...
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 10:48:52 AM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.

I'd like to share your optimism but with 20% dividend drop coming in 72 hours this price will be unsustainable at these levels because it would mean almost 6 months roi
Yeah, sometimes is difficult to understand what causing price movements. Buying at that price is rather not wise.

Why do you figure it´s rather not wise ?
legendary
Activity: 1029
Merit: 1000
January 09, 2015, 10:45:50 AM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.

I'd like to share your optimism but with 20% dividend drop coming in 72 hours this price will be unsustainable at these levels because it would mean almost 6 months roi
Yeah, sometimes is difficult to understand what causing price movements. Buying at that price is rather not wise.
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 10:24:41 AM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.

I'd like to share your optimism but with 20% dividend drop coming in 72 hours this price will be unsustainable at these levels because it would mean almost 6 months roi

You know skuser, some of these threads can be quite useful sometimes.

Most are totally useless of course but this one and a few others, I make sure

I read everything that has been posted since I was there last.

OK what does it mean for me? Should I stop posting? Smiley

No, I don´t see why you should stop posting. But maybe you should catch up on reading.
sr. member
Activity: 291
Merit: 250
January 09, 2015, 10:21:04 AM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.

I'd like to share your optimism but with 20% dividend drop coming in 72 hours this price will be unsustainable at these levels because it would mean almost 6 months roi

You know skuser, some of these threads can be quite useful sometimes.

Most are totally useless of course but this one and a few others, I make sure

I read everything that has been posted since I was there last.

OK what does it mean for me? Should I stop posting? Smiley
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 09:48:21 AM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.

I'd like to share your optimism but with 20% dividend drop coming in 72 hours this price will be unsustainable at these levels because it would mean almost 6 months roi

You know skuser, some of these threads can be quite useful sometimes.

Most are totally useless of course but this one and a few others, I make sure

I read everything that has been posted since I was there last.
sr. member
Activity: 291
Merit: 250
January 09, 2015, 09:39:52 AM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.

I'd like to share your optimism but with 20% dividend drop coming in 72 hours this price will be unsustainable at these levels because it would mean almost 6 months roi
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
January 09, 2015, 09:14:16 AM
For the Hashie customers: AMHash has implemented the withdrawal feature.

https://www.amhash.com/my/index.php?act=withdraw

"Note:Your withdraw will be completed in 48 hours. "
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
January 09, 2015, 08:41:00 AM
AMHASH shares are on the rise (0.00095). I think it will stabilize around .001 like I predicted earlier especially if btc price hits 300 which its on its way.
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 07:40:12 AM
Total hashrate has tanked down to 299,221,090 GH/s, was like 320

a few days ago. Since the rate was 290,919,288 at the last adjustment

on Dec. 30 I guess this means around 3% diff increase but not

Estimated Next Difficulty: 44,750,738,113 (+10.11%)

if these figures can be trusted, that is.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Told you: they throttle down at the second half of the period...

Bitcoinwisdom lets the estimate lag for some reason.

And like with the news most folks focus on the headline.

298,765,843 GH/s Now

290,919,288 GH/s 12/30

estimate +9.59% according to them.

Oh well, maybe it´ll jump by 20 PH/s suddenly, what do I know.
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
Havelock robbed me 170BTC
January 09, 2015, 07:25:19 AM
Total hashrate has tanked down to 299,221,090 GH/s, was like 320

a few days ago. Since the rate was 290,919,288 at the last adjustment

on Dec. 30 I guess this means around 3% diff increase but not

Estimated Next Difficulty: 44,750,738,113 (+10.11%)

if these figures can be trusted, that is.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Told you: they throttle down at the second half of the period...
legendary
Activity: 1057
Merit: 1009
January 09, 2015, 05:44:06 AM
Just logged in in amhash site, added again transfer to havelock of ghs and added the withdraw page...

Never used for the moment....

But they are upgrading the site to meet customers requests....

Good job.
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 04:12:50 AM
Well, if the diff. increase is going to be only 3% this would

mean a dividend of 670 or so if BTC manages to hold at this

level. Market sense: buy at up to .00095 hoping that BTC

doesn´t tank.

Edit: it dropped to 296,576,204 GH/s just now, if this keeps up

it´ll probably end up negative  Grin
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
January 09, 2015, 03:47:42 AM
Relax Puppet. If Havelock folds, which I don´t expect,

then the shares will be safe at AmHash. And if they go

belly up, heavens forbid, then the Chinese government

will bail us out for sure  Grin
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