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Topic: Analysis - page 39. (Read 941579 times)

legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
March 26, 2018, 07:43:34 AM
The market found support lower than I expected, but the bullish scenario is not dead yet. This support will probably be tested tomorrow,
and a bullish scenario needs the test to be followed by strong buys for the next 5 days, reaching 10 k$, then correct and form a triangle.

My god you are completely delusional, did you sell your account? Old tzupy was sharper than that.  We've been in a bear market since months now, there wont be any bullish scenario before price is boring again and we go through a desperation period so market makers can accumulate and we get rid of all the guys who came here to get rich quick.

Right now price is bleeding slowly to keep people in the market until they get desperate and capitulate under 6K.

ML scenario of 3K seems the most appropriate to that effect.

It's possible we go towards 9200 or 10250 in the meantime but it'll just be an opportunity to short and break the 6K bottom with more ease.


No, I didn't sell my account, am just trying to keep an open mind.

The market was weak and didn't reach the 10 k$ I was hoping for (and more importantly, push the 6h, 12h and 24h MACD higher), and now the correction is worsening the indicators.
I compared the current movements (from 6th February) with those of September 15th - 25th 2017, and if the bullish scenario will still win, the market moves about 6x slower
and should start pumping strongly 5 - 6 days from now (but given the current weakness, the pump could fail). If this fails, then the bearish scenario becomes quite probable.
hero member
Activity: 900
Merit: 1014
advocate of a cryptographic attack on the globe
March 26, 2018, 07:32:03 AM
"I do not know what to write, the indicators are not very good. Wall Street on Friday fell heavily, but bitcoin while thoughtfully cuts sausage. In general, thoughtfully we trample on the spot with bad indicators and surroundings."
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
March 26, 2018, 07:02:02 AM
What about just consolidation before moving further up? That would be my guess
member
Activity: 278
Merit: 44
March 22, 2018, 04:05:10 AM

is masterluc no more active in this thread?

because last post is November 08, 2017, 11:26:14 PM here...
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.24260813

No I think not, I think I read that his account got hacked some time ago
legendary
Activity: 2955
Merit: 1049
March 22, 2018, 03:55:17 AM

is masterluc no more active in this thread?

because last post is November 08, 2017, 11:26:14 PM here...
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.24260813
member
Activity: 278
Merit: 44
March 22, 2018, 03:31:38 AM
New telegram channel from the master.

"We are still under the daily sma 200, and at the same time under the weekly sma 20. In previous bubbles for the medium-term it was very bad."

Read the post too this morning, seems we"re having a rough time staying breaking above 9000.
It would confirm the low volume bounce from this weekend
hero member
Activity: 900
Merit: 1014
advocate of a cryptographic attack on the globe
March 21, 2018, 06:12:50 PM
New telegram channel from the master.

"We are still under the daily sma 200, and at the same time under the weekly sma 20. In previous bubbles for the medium-term it was very bad."

Does the master has a telegram channel to post the updates? I have never heard of it. Would you please post the telegram channel link?

https://t.me/bitcoin_wanga
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1016
March 21, 2018, 06:11:42 PM
New telegram channel from the master.

"We are still under the daily sma 200, and at the same time under the weekly sma 20. In previous bubbles for the medium-term it was very bad."

Does the master has a telegram channel to post the updates? I have never heard of it. Would you please post the telegram channel link?
hero member
Activity: 900
Merit: 1014
advocate of a cryptographic attack on the globe
March 21, 2018, 05:19:52 PM
New telegram channel from the master.

"We are still under the daily sma 200, and at the same time under the weekly sma 20. In previous bubbles for the medium-term it was very bad."
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1483
March 21, 2018, 05:04:31 PM
The latest:

"For my medium-term optimism, it is necessary that the price immediately rises above the daily ma 200 and weekly ma 20."


Для мoeгo cpeднecpoчнoгo oптимизмa нeoбxoдимo чтoбы цeнa нeмeдлeннo вoзвыcилacь нaд днeвнoй мa 200 и нeдeльнoй мa 20.

If I'm correct:
daily SMA 200 about 9.25K --> can do
Weekly SMA 20 about almost 12K --> seems not possible

i guess it depends on what he means by "immediately." to rebound off his middle pitchfork line (and prevent a fall to $3000), we needed an immediate reaction, but does that mean bulls need to retake those levels in a single candle? i don't think so. anytime a move happens that fast, it's usually a fakeout anyway.

we've just tagged the daily 200MA. now we need to get above it. as for the weekly, we still have another 4 days before the bar closes.

sometimes i wish he were less cryptic. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
March 21, 2018, 04:24:02 PM
... the next 200 days are critical.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
March 21, 2018, 05:54:30 AM
^^ You have the perfect storm forming seems like.   I have a long term bullish trend closely aligned to the 200 Daily moving average and they are quite close to where the current price is.   So I would have to agree with our Russian friend for at least pointing at a place of high significance, if we both came to this conclusion independently then that increases my interest in what happens in this area.   I'm not sure yet on market strength exactly, I think credit did some damage and Im not sure how important that was vs the fees problem now resolved.
member
Activity: 278
Merit: 44
March 21, 2018, 05:50:18 AM
The latest:

"For my medium-term optimism, it is necessary that the price immediately rises above the daily ma 200 and weekly ma 20."


Для мoeгo cpeднecpoчнoгo oптимизмa нeoбxoдимo чтoбы цeнa нeмeдлeннo вoзвыcилacь нaд днeвнoй мa 200 и нeдeльнoй мa 20.

If I'm correct:
daily SMA 200 about 9.25K --> can do
Weekly SMA 20 about almost 12K --> seems not possible

daily EMA 200 about 9.1K --> can do
weekly EMA 20 about 9.8K --> well hm..
member
Activity: 278
Merit: 44
March 21, 2018, 05:39:01 AM
The market found support lower than I expected, but the bullish scenario is not dead yet. This support will probably be tested tomorrow,
and a bullish scenario needs the test to be followed by strong buys for the next 5 days, reaching 10 k$, then correct and form a triangle.

My god you are completely delusional, did you sell your account? Old tzupy was sharper than that.  We've been in a bear market since months now, there wont be any bullish scenario before price is boring again and we go through a desperation period so market makers can accumulate and we get rid of all the guys who came here to get rich quick.

Right now price is bleeding slowly to keep people in the market until they get desperate and capitulate under 6K.

ML scenario of 3K seems the most appropriate to that effect.

It's possible we go towards 9200 or 10250 in the meantime but it'll just be an opportunity to short and break the 6K bottom with more ease.



Almost every "trader" is babbling the same shit like you, so I assume you are wrong -> Too many bears -> bullish


Only when the last bear has capitulated....
Only when the last bull has capituladed...

Where are we now...
sr. member
Activity: 696
Merit: 439
March 20, 2018, 08:23:23 PM
The latest:

"For my medium-term optimism, it is necessary that the price immediately rises above the daily ma 200 and weekly ma 20."


Для мoeгo cpeднecpoчнoгo oптимизмa нeoбxoдимo чтoбы цeнa нeмeдлeннo вoзвыcилacь нaд днeвнoй мa 200 и нeдeльнoй мa 20.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1061
Smile
March 20, 2018, 03:41:41 PM

I agree. Things happen much slower now. We went on a bull run in slow motion and now we are correcting in slow motion. We could still be doing a correction that April '13 did in a matters of days - now its taking months.

Those of us that have been around a long time - I think most will agree the sentiment at the top of this bull run was more bullish than April
13 but less bullish than Nov. 13. I figure this correction will split the difference between the two.

i also have the feeling that the chart movements are slowing down so much, that it is hard to grasp it. funny though that there are people who think movements are speeding up.

Yeah sentiment seems accurate (very bullish), their is an adoption phase going on and old bitcoiners have been waiting and know this and are excited (true value of btc?)

Technical indicators point to HUGE! bear trap, $8000 USD has bounced around now for 8 weeks (great swings)

W pattern forming weekly chart??? bullish

MACD weekly pattern declining

fundamentals - media assisting and providing support on bitcoin use and of course attacks from banks and regulatory authorities ramping up

ah heck lets call it..

Its a trap





hero member
Activity: 509
Merit: 564
"In Us We Trust"
March 20, 2018, 10:16:31 AM
whats nice is that time will show who's right

in 1 week we'll literally be around 5k$

and this is isn't based on TA or some other dubious wave analysis, this is coming right from the temple of Apollo



The 'literally' in your sentence makes me believe you're wrong.

I would normally agree, but this person may actually be right this time. There's a lot of evidence to support 5k by next week, including the amount of price compression that has been going on over the last 5 trading periods. However, that same compression can also be fuel for the bulls to push price into 11k.

One thing is clear, we will know which side wins very soon. I think in about a week, maybe 2.
legendary
Activity: 974
Merit: 1000
March 20, 2018, 08:46:21 AM
whats nice is that time will show who's right

in 1 week we'll literally be around 5k$

and this is isn't based on TA or some other dubious wave analysis, this is coming right from the temple of Apollo



The 'literally' in your sentence makes me believe you're wrong.
jr. member
Activity: 49
Merit: 6
March 20, 2018, 06:37:54 AM
whats nice is that time will show who's right

in 1 week we'll literally be around 5k$

and this is isn't based on TA or some other dubious wave analysis, this is coming right from the temple of Apollo

legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 2106
March 20, 2018, 05:37:39 AM

I agree. Things happen much slower now. We went on a bull run in slow motion and now we are correcting in slow motion. We could still be doing a correction that April '13 did in a matters of days - now its taking months.

Those of us that have been around a long time - I think most will agree the sentiment at the top of this bull run was more bullish than April
13 but less bullish than Nov. 13. I figure this correction will split the difference between the two.

i also have the feeling that the chart movements are slowing down so much, that it is hard to grasp it. funny though that there are people who think movements are speeding up.
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