If anyone knows he nows. Regulation is the end of altcoins. And here is why.
http://youtu.be/vApr2pOBHbkAndreas Antonopolus educates the Canadian senate. October 8 2014
Its long but well worth the watch.
Let me start by saying I am a proponent of crypto currencies for the some of the reasons Antonopolus gives in his discussion. I think there is a need for a global digital currency and this need will increase over time as globilization occurs.
Having said that, Antonololus is either naive about banking regulations and why they exist or he is dishonest. There are two parts of any currency. First, there is the currency itself. How it is generated, how the supply is controlled, how its value is retained etc. Then there is the banking part of it. This includes deposits, withdrawals, exchanges, and other services established for holders or users of the currency.
The biggest problems with cryptocoins are with the banking side. Take Mt. Gox for example, and this applies to all exchanges. They hold these currencies on behalf of users, and they initiate the trades and exchanges. Today, these exchanges are only loosely regulated and the risk to the accounts held by the public is huge. How many people are complaining about Cryptsy and its responsiveness to issues that affect you deposits there? Cryptsy has no standards to operate by like a US bank holding dollar deposits does. Mt. Gox had no oversight and what happened to it would not have happened to a well regulated bank. Organizations like the SEC and FDIC would ensure a controlled winding down of a Mt. Gox and would ensure consumer deposits are protected. So the first point is, how does a Bitcoin or DMD holder know his coins are secured and protected? This is a huge issue.
On the currency side of things, there is the fundamental questions of value. If you hold physical US dollars you are secure that the value of the dollar will be somewhat stable. Yes, there is inflation and deflation, but these conditions are controlled by managing the currency centrally. You will not see the dollar drop 50% in value over a few months. If it did the economies of the world would collapse.
Finally, I would like to address Atonopolus's point about security and hacking attacks on Bitcoin. He mention the scarcity of attacks and the difficulty in breaking the crypto algorythms. First, Willie Sutton was once asked why he robs banks. His reply was "that's where the money is". Hackers attack credit cards constantly because it is a multi billion dollar operation. Bitcoins is small potatoes compared to credit card theft. If Bitcoins reaches a high enough level of value, it too will be hacked with regularity. And hackers will not try to break the encryption algorythms would would take an enormous amount of time. Instead they will attack wallets, exchanges and pools. And no one can argue that these type of attacks have not been successful. I have mined on pools that were shut down after hackers stole all of the miner's coins held by the pool. Needless to say the managers of the pool gave the miners a "sorry" but could not pay the miners the coins they were owed. If a traditional bank is robbed, you will get your money and the bank will suffer the losses. That's because banking regulations which include loss reserve provisions protect the consumer.
I won't get into the money laundering aspects of bitcoins. I think the argument there is obvious. But this is a very serious problem and banks spend billions of dollars to stop it.
So in summary, a currency without regulations from a central body that ensures consumers are protected will never be completely adopted by consumers. This means the future of these currencies is very suspect. There needs to be a meeting in the middle of traditional banking practices and crypto currencies. If people who support crypto stubbornly stick too this concepts of anonymity and decentralization, crypto currencies will fade away.