Factoid price is one man or one team show. They constantly play pump and dump and will continue doing so until M2 and until the price breaks out up big time. There s no point in analysing fundamentals, they will never allow for the price to go down significantly and all they re trying to catch is this ping pong interval of about 15% price difference.
So stop trying to FUD and overthink this, this tactics is so predictable. 5 year old kid would figure it out. Take a look the situation now, within a next week, the price will go up to 440 again.
I'm not making predictions about where its going next week. 440 maybe, 320 maybe. no conviction here.
but I think you're not seeing straight. There is no particular conspiracy on Factom. Look at any major altcoin on Poloniex and look where it was trading at the highs last month, and where its trading now, and the vast majority is down by the same order of magnitude (or more !) than FCT. The vast majority of traders is long (by definition, somebody must hold those coins, and short interest is limited, and any short is sold to an extra long...) and the markdown in price is hurting, prompting traders for the exit, regardless of the (perceived) "cheapness" of this or that coin. I don't see many exceptions ETH, XRP, ETC, XMR, LSK, XEM, STEEM,...
Prices going down means destroyed margin, a lot of those coins were used as collateral for margin trades. As prices go lower, you have a wealth effect, and people cannot buy as much as before with the same collateral.... it always takes a lot to reverse this dynamic. Its a bear market in Altcoins, and in bear markets, even what is cheap, gets even cheaper. There would be no exception for FCT, if this bear market is to continue, and unless there is a big game changer (M2 is not a game changer), the pain trade is down in price. The only cure to a bear market is lower prices where assets are so dirt cheap, (new) people buy again.
In the current bearish environment, i think everyone should be prudent and not overleveraged/overinvested in anything, especially not an illiquid crypto-token.
I dont really agree on this, cause some coins are indeed undervalued and can get trackion any second, dont forget were not talking about bitcoin here Factom got a small market cap. And big investors joining might already make a huge diffrent.
We might see a retracement to 300k lvl but i doubt lower, but again that also depends on much diffrent things for example 1) what will bitcoin do 2) What will the usage do 3) Will M2 be launched 4) What will the economie do in general.
The usage have been in a nice grow but untill m2 is released i wonder what will happen to the Entry's will it increase will it decrease no one actually knows, but some people that are not small at all for example billionaire investor Tim Draper says this
“Governments also need better security from hackers, and the Blockchain avails them of better security than they currently have. I believe that the Factom team has the opportunity and the potential to build a company greater than Oracle and Palantir and IBM combined.”
means were not talking about 20 million anymore, but i hope they dont focus only on the goverments security and also focus on IoT etc.
Still no one can tell the future and we might see a bitcoin run first after elections and db failing or returning.