Sorry, but that is bullshit.
If the ETF should get approval it's very likely that Bitcoin will shoot up and it's also likely that Alt's will lose first calculated in Bitcoin. It's unlikely that it will be much in Dollar.
Why it's bullshit if I said the same thing?
You didn't say the same thing but
"The price might easy be 0.00025 or 0.000025 btc."In which scenario would that be a possibility? Bitcoin x 100 and Factom would lose /100?
More important: Over Bitcoin there will come so much more money into the whole market that it would be nearly a safe bet that at least the value of quality projects like Factom will increase significantly just because of that. With other words: A Bitcoin-hype could lead to a short-term decrease in Factom but for mid-term it already would be a pro.
It's easier to buy factom when it start increasing instead of buying when it's falling.
I'm the holder but if btc start growing up, I will sell all of it immediately.
That is up to individual opinions and strategies.
Plus: There won't be a Bitcoin-hype without a crash at a certain point. And than a lot of money would go right into quality-alts and Factom is not only one of them but undervalued in comparison.
That's true, but the devs aren't intrested in advertising of project and it's why factom is undervalued. Sometimes I think that devs don't care about what will happen to factoids. They got money, got government projects, have a good job and they don't care about capitalisation.
They care about the use of Factom. The more it will be used the more Entry Credits will be bought. The more EC's are bought, the more Factoids are burned through conversion into EC's. The more Factoids are burned, the higher the price needs to be. Conclusion: As long as they care about the system and the business-side (those who will use it), they care about the price. Marketing for the Factoid-market would hurt their credibility since it would give the impression as if they would want to make money by selling Factoids.
B) If the ETHF should get approval Factom might lose in short-term but most likely not much in Dollar. Mid-Term it would be a safe bet that it would benefit a lot.
Many traiders will exit into btc and the price might go down in dollar.
For short-term it could be true. But if you look back into end of 2013. While Bitcoin was still on the rise, others also started to rise (litecoin for example) and started to explode once Bitcoin came down. Litecoin went up from $1 to over $30.
Conclusion: Factom is the better and safer bet, because it would benefit of both scenarios.
I sold my fct for 0.0036 btc. Then bought for 0.0032. There's 0.0025 btc per fct now. It doesn't seem like "safe bet".
I don't say "safe bet". Nothing is a safe bet. But in comparison to the uncertainty about the ETF and the scaling-problem and blocksize-war, nobody but ETF-Insiders can now what will happen next. And if the ETF should be approved and Bitcoin would hype, it's safe to say that the mempool will explode with the price. The next drama is a safe prediction.
In comparison with Bitcoin, and if we don't focus on short-term-reactions on the market but midterm and longterm, I consider Factom as a much safer and better Investment while Bitcoin feels more like playing roulette.