Analytical material for a better understanding of why it was decided to get involved in Venezuela:
In what today's Venezuela has a high resemblance to post-Soviet Russia of the 90s:- Deficiency of food and essentials, queues for simple everyday goods, Russia 90s:
Venezuela today:
- Mass riots and suppression of the opposition and opposition movements (in neither country the government decided not to surrender, for example, regular riots in Venezuela, and in Russia - for example, in 1993 with the shooting of the parliament)
- The socialist model of governing the country (in Venezuela - the socialists Hugo Chavez and Maduro, in Russia in the 90s was a great legacy of the deceased in the Bose of the Soviet Union)
- The general social depression, the fatigue of the population from the existing political system (unsettled for a long time and accumulating problems have the property to gradually occupy the entire consciousness of a person, when you have nothing to feed children, you have no other thoughts in your mind except "what will we eat today?")
- A brutal economic crisis (here inflation speaks for itself, although even in Russia 90's inflation was an order of magnitude lower than in Venezuela today)
- Hyperinflation (as a separate phenomenon, not just high inflation - but commensurate huge values, in both countries)
- Constant monetary reforms, the population does not trust the local currency (it was started by the monetary reform of 1991 in the then USSR, then - the money reforms of 1992-1993 and 1997 in Russia already, in Venezuela, as an example, you can take the monetary reform, as a result of which the old Bolivar (VEB) was replaced by a new denominated (VEF), but it did not work out)
- The black market of the currency (the difference between the official exchange rate of the dollar and the black market in Venezuela today can reach 12-15 times, but even in Venezuela, the official rate did not jump 223 times - as in Russia on July 1, 1992, when the dollar became an exchange rate, jumping from 56 cents to 125 rubles)
- The card system of distribution of food (in Venezuela they protest against its abolition (there instead of cards - selling goods on a fingerprint - the 21st century is the same in the yard), in Russia everything was simpler:
- Stopping the work of many economic entities (we still have privatization for a penny, Venezuela is just thinking about privatization, but there are already interruptions in the work of important production facilities - even the country's largest oil company does not cope with the crisis: Lack of sufficient funds for technical maintenance of ships, refineries and production operations, or for the timely payment of business partners do not allow the company to increase exports, and hence no money.)
- Mass emigration (according to unofficial Venezuelan data - up to 650,000 people per year (in one Colombia for half a year the number of Venezuelans doubled - by 300,000 people, here they have bypassed the Russia of the 90's with its maximum at the level of 110,000 people (in the iconic 1993 (after the State Emergency Committee and others) and 1999 (after the default of 1998), on the chart the red line is the total number of emigrants:
- Elimination of savings from the population (monetary reforms, including the denomination of the national currency, huge losses in all fraudulent structures (financial pyramids such as MMM, Khoper-Invest, RDS and others), burst banks - all these events in Russia in the 90s led to total leaching (denominated Bolivar, VEF, did not bring relief), adjusted for modern technologies (the issuance of the national crypto currency El Petro, buyers of which can be strictly residents of the country Ana for the national currency), which would still come up - we will only see
- The country on the verge of a change in the political and economic structure (the events in Russia in the 1990s led to the transition of our country from the socialist to the capitalist path of development, there is a great likelihood of a similar transformation of Venezuela in the coming years)
Apparently, Venezuela and Russia at the end of the last century have much more in common today than one could imagine. And all these similarities allow us to assume with a high degree of probability that further events will develop according to a similar scenario. Moreover, given the experience in solving problems after the oil crisis of the 1980s, modern technologies and foreign experience, Venezuela has every chance to accelerate its way to normalization of the situation, having passed it much faster than our country.