Finally someone in the media is paying attention to the investment potential of cryptocurrency:
"ATTENTION INVESTORS IN SEARCH OF HIGHER RETURNS: CONSIDER BITCOIN"With all the questions undermining stock and bond yields nowadays, it only makes sense for investors to take a serious look at bitcoin’s earnings potential. Look for the financial community to pay closer attention to bitcoin in the present investment environment.
Investors looking to diversify their portfolios should consider bitcoin and digital currency, according to this past weekend’s “Weekend Investor” report in The Wall Street Journal. The article, titled “In Search of Higher Returns” featured a shiny, logoed bitcoin rising as one hand gives a 100-dollar bill to another outstretched hand...
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/attention-investors-search-higher-returns-consider-bitcoin/The more people I started communicating with the more obvious it becomes that there is a huge knowledge deficit of Bitcoin and digital currency. Even among the people who. attempted to promote Bitcoin. have not been able to take it very far. So it does surprise me that the investment community is just beginning to take a closer look at it and most of those who are involved are extremely cautious.
Allocating $1 to be invested in digital currency for every $100 invested in a balanced portfolio come across with a big red sign that says, "Extreme Caution". To me that is another media bias for being way too conservative.
What if that $1 invested in digital currency is worth $3 at the end of 12 months, and the remaining $99 is worth $101 with a total worth of $103; how much it that going to help? The $1 invested in digital currency, assuming that it was DNotes, this case gained 200%, and the balance went up 2%. So you made $3 for every $100 invested. Big deal! This could be another problem dragging an already confused industry down. Personally I am comfortable in recommending a 10% allocation invested in high risk portfolio situations. However, it should be done with good due diligent.
Let us use a point of reference. Each DNotes today cost about 1 penny, or about 100 DNotes per $1. DNotes is substantially better established today than Bitcoin was on 22nd May 2010 when it cost 10,000 Bitcoin for two pizza. At today's price 10,000 Bitcoin is worth $2.25 million.
www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-pizza-day-celebrating-pizza-bought-10000-b.
We do not always learned from history. In my opinion. again, many will miss the boat. Read what you can but don't always believe in what you read.
I wasn't able to access the Wall Street Journal article, so I can't be sure what the intentions are. The standard advice right now is 5 - 10% of your total portfolio should be in higher risk investments in order to have the returns needed to fund retirement or other long term goals. That 5 - 10% should be diversified somewhat, so it is possible for a 1% recommendation for EACH high risk investment, but not for the overall high risk allocation (as the article seems to imply). Considering this is old school Wall Street advice, to many of the investors 1% of their portfolio may represent $20,000 and they can dip their toes in without worry.
You are right though on the opposite end of the investor scale, if all you have to invest is $100, and provided losing it isn't going to bring you to tears, I would chance a much higher % on something that has the possibility of a huge gain. That $100 invested in the traditional way is going to amount to almost nothing in the future anyway.
I am also very comfortable recommending 10% in higher risk investments and believe in time the tables will turn. Five years from now, DNotes will no longer be considered a high risk investment and it may be that people are wary of stocks and bonds being dumped because of the ageing baby boomers.
"I am also very comfortable recommending 10% in higher risk investments and believe in time the tables will turn. Five years from now,
DNotes will no longer be considered a high risk investment and it may be that people are wary of stocks and bonds being dumped because of the ageing baby boomers."
Chase, I think you have correctly foreseen what the US retirement funds will look like in only a matter of years. This is already being seen in Japan - I pay careful attention to world market news, but prefer to analyse market shifts personally, rather than listen to mainstream narrative. The behaviour of market players is the best way to truly see what is really going on - when the government pays pop stars and taxi companies to advertise bonds in cabs, it equates to news that should be paid attention to in my view. The following is my opinion based on said news:
The job as Finance Minister in Japan would be a stressful one (gone through 5 in 3 years), for years no bank has been prepared to loan Japan money, so Japan has relied on it's government run retirement schemes. The Japanese Government has used public savings from private citizens to purchase it's own debt, and cover the perpetual spending deficits. Now Japanese citizens are drawing more from their savings thanks to an aging population, than working Japense citizens are putting in. The Japanese Government has no new means of raising capital to cover it's spending shortfalls. Japanese banks and companies are already responding by purchasing offshore (US) assets to insulate themselves from unpredictable potential economic, bond, sharemarket and currency shifts that could result from a Japanese Government default for all assets held in Yen. It is a serious concern that nobody is talking about, I don't know what the markets will look like, but the effects will be felt worldwide. I think the US Government is also being irresponsible fiscally, but they are a bit further behind Japan on the time scale. The US though, currently has more people entering the country than exiting, which helps the situation a bit.
I think that Digital Currency will come to the foreground in light of bearish market news, and the financial struggles seen in Europe (particularly Greece). Digital Currencies will be looked upon as a potential panacea by more people world-wide, and I think it would be reasonable to presume that consumer participation will substantially increase as people look to protect their wealth, and move into using money of the future. The infrastructure DNotes will have will allow seamless and simple participation by anybody worldwide. I do wish though, that Governments worldwide find a solution to economic issues. I wish for mass consumer paritcipation, and realisation of the benefits that Digital Currency has to offer - I however, do not wish for it to come as a result of economic uncertainties and recessions that result in the financial pain of many individuals worldwide. I do hope I'm incorrect, but I do listen and agree with experts who are far more observant and smarter than myself. Digital Currency, and DNotes provide many answers to these EXACT financial problems, it makes everything so exciting. I think big players in Digital Currency can work with Governments, Banking Institutions and global citizens to alleviate the issues discussed. DNotes will be considered one of the safest investments in only a couple of years, especially if no action is taken by Governments world wide. DYNA has said on this forum (page 257, post 5131) that he wishes local business support to make Chicago the epicentre of Blockchain technology, a fantastic idea! Perhaps the group could investigate how Digital Currency can be of use to Governments world wide?
If anybody is interested in a more in-depth explanation, Kyle Bass who is the founder of Hayman Capital Management, who predicted and traded for millions in profit over the sub-prime mortgage crisis, gives an excellent presentation (1 hour long) of what he views as a looming struggle in Japan here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7kFcDKBpdIIKyle begins talking at 8 minutes.
What I'm actually building to is the importance of savings to keep economies in healthy condition. Take New Zealand for example (a country I know a fair bit about). We have a Government savings scheme where most people contribute 4% of their wages to a Government approved managed fund (I'm sure the US is similar). You can choose the level of 'risk' that you want, and most funds invest in various combinations of property, stocks / shares, futures and Government bonds. It shouldn't be surprising that with lots of additional savings going into local companies, the sharemarket has fared with a 50% point increase since the scheme began. I posit, that savings are not only important for economic growth, startups that create unemployment and other positive outcomes, but Governments are also using retirement schemes as a means of 'anti-deflation', to keep economies from recession. The Government of NZ's decision to investigate making our retirement savings scheme compulsory is a good indication of this, it would lead to hundreds of millions of additional investment yearly into local stocks. People spend more when they feel 'wealthy', this effect has been observed in crypto already with Bitcoin (the deflationary spiral theory needs revisiting), this will also mean that while people will be without 4% of their income, they will feel they need to put less away for retirement, and feel wealthier; people will not spend 4% less as a result of not seeing the retirement income in the hand, this figure will likely be smaller - and stock market pumping and economic 'growth' continues.
CRISP for Retirement is so much better, the unit's paid out is not dependent on 'stock market performance' - it is embedded in coding. I think people can trust this, everyday people just need to hear about it, and understand that Digital Currency is the future by simple communication of what it is, and how it applies to them.