I don't really get the fuss on here in the past few days. "Value" is not related to total coin supply--it's related to features, applications, utility. For example, both Dogecoin and Litecoin have value because they can be used in the real world, though their respective monetary values are very different.
If the devs keep at it and roll out the various features they have in mind, DNET will be "valuable" in the long run. That is the bet we all made by getting in on this early. But the fact that the price has dropped lately says a lot more about the fickleness of cryptocurrency investors than it does about DNET's potential. Holy shit, it's been 2 weeks since the devs announced a new feature; clearly the coin is worthless!! Double holy shit, now the price dropped, we have to cut the supply!!! Well, no. We were willing to pay those prices because we wanted to accumulate units of 10K to operate MNs, and because we're betting that the devs will come through for us in the long run. Maybe they will and maybe they won't--that's the bet. OK, it's been a while since new features have been announced, and the market is getting bored. So what? None of that changes the long term potential of the coin, which is theoretically what we bought into in the first place. It's not a loss unless you sell, but why would you sell if you believe in what's going on here?
Cutting the supply is fine, but it's a bandaid solution and it says nothing about DNET's value--again, that will come from what you can actually do with DNET, which is a long way from being determined. Cutting the supply may serve early investors and temporarily address their allergy to short-term price drops, but it also royally fucks subsequent investors. If I come across DNET two months from now and see that a small group of people accumulated boatloads of DNET and then arbitrarily cut the supply by a factor of 5x because they didn't like that the price dropped, how am I going to feel? I'm going to feel annoyed, because I can never hope to get anywhere close to the bags they accumulated for themselves before changing the rules.
So yes. By all means change the supply if that's what people want, but let's not pretend it's about value. It's purely self serving (and, to be clear, this is coming from someone with a non-trivial bag of DNET). And, for the sake of those who might come along later, let's at least consider a calmer reduction trajectory....
Thank you. You really said many of the things I was thinking. I would like to add one or two more things to it, though.
First, cutting the supply now will leave fewer coins when we switch to PoS, and as I said before, for a PoS coin each coin can be looked at as an individual mining machine. For PoS fewer coins is the equivalent of a lower network hash rate, especially considering that a portion of those coins will be locked up in masternodes unable to contribute to the security of the blockchain side of the network. While lowering the number of coins being introduced daily now may have an effect on the day to day price per coin now, it will certainly lead to a less secure network in the future, which will not help the long term value of the coin. The "fix" that is proposed is only going to push the price drop that we are experiencing now into the future. Features and usability are the only way to maintain a stable price, this coin is not even 3 months old, and the market is still looking for a stable price point. When you arbitrarily cut coin production as a crutch to catch a falling price it will only be a temporary solution.
All of the coins being mined each day could be bought for 1.26 BTC at 500 satoshi, or 2.52 BTC at 1000 satoshi. There has been consistently more daily volume than that, meaning that a good portion of the buying and selling going on is being done by day traders, miners dumping are not the primary cause for the price drop, they are allowing those with a real interest in this coin and no way of mining themselves to get coins at a reasonable quantity and price. If you go to the DNET page on Bittrex and click the distribution button right above the chart you will see that the top 5 addresses on Bittrex hold over 3 million coins, and keeping an eye on them shows steady accumulation over time. There is only a bit more than 4 million for sale on Bittrex. Do you really think that those wallets won't pump the price when there is a bit of what may seem good news, namely supply reduction, and then dump those 3 million coins. When that happens you will really see the dramatic price drop you are trying to prevent with this ill conceived plan.
The other thing that really bothers me about the current reduction proposal is the split between miners and masternode owners. So that there is no confusion, I have somewhere around 100 masternodes, and would love to be getting paid half of the block rewards for maintaining them. On the other hand, I am also mining a large number of DNET, and that would totally stop given the reward structure as laid out in this proposal. There is no way I am going to continue to invest the time and money I am currently for 25 DNET per block, that would just be plain irresponsible of me, especially considering the fact that I believe that the long term prospects of DNET would be completely decimated by this proposal. I don't think you will find very many other miners who would continue to mine DNET either. The strength of our PoW network is spectacular, to disregard the importancy of that is a huge mistake.
Before I close with my final point I also just want to second everything EleanorZ said, reread his words once more and think about it.
Again, I will code the change, even if it is against my better judgement, if the proposal is approved according to the predetermined rules and numbers. For the sake of clarification, in order to be accepted into the budget the (number of yes votes)-(number of no votes) needs to be greater than 10% of the total of all masternodes at the time the budget is finalized. The budget is finalized 2 days before the superblock that would include budget payments, the superblock for this proposal is 129600. So, 129600-2880=126720, at the time I am writing this that leaves about 14444 blocks, or a bit more than 10 days. I understand that those voting in favor of this proposal would like to get it done as soon as possible, but that is the way it is, I will also be allowing at least 2 weeks from the time the new wallet is released before the change would kick in, we have already experienced issues with too short an upgrade window, and will not be repeating the same mistakes twice.
All of this is speculation at this point, I really hope that everyone reading this, who has a general interest in the long term viability of the DarkNet project, will think long and hard and see how shortsighted this change would be, it would only successfully serve the short term interests of a few large holders, not the long term health of the coin. Again, I stand to gain greatly from this proposal in the short term, but won't be cashing out even if it becomes reality, I predict that that will be a fatal mistake in the long term success of my investment of both time and money in DarkNet. Money is not why I am here, it is the potential to do something new and different that brought s3v3nh4cks and myself together in this venture.