Finally, a bit of math and some presumptions with questions. With the wild assumption that 10M tokens pre-sell (to make the math easier) and the answer to 8.1 is that the maximum ICO sale is 77M due to Founders Rewards, if the ICO almost sold out, getting to 70M (including presale) then 10K ETH would be raised in presale and approx 1.2M ETH raised in ICO with 120K ETH paid as reward to presale. That would make the average price per STE approx .013 ETH/STE (1.2M raised, 91M STE with Founders Reward). If that price held at the average then each month each STE would be worth 1.3ETH in free trades or at even $250/ETH (low) my math says that could mean 22 Billion in free trades a month. The low end of the 5% target is 500M/day which to me means if everyone maximized their benefit of free trades, the exchange would have to double its low target to make any profit. Since the 100x/mo figure will grow and shrink with market demand for STE I cannot see a world where a heavy trader doesn't buy enough tokens on the secondary market to eliminate most of his cost (and my my quick math, 5 trades a year would be a breakeven point for them).
So given all that, what is the projected profit on the target share of the market (5%) or are my numbers skewed? Again, I'd like to invest but it seems like liquidity might be an issue for a considerable time while growing market share.
I realy like your aproach. Not too many people calculate intrinsic value even on stock market nowdays...
Let me put it this way. All rules in this project was designed to keep balance between interests of all parts involved. Free trades is not exception. The idea behind it is simple. This is OUR project. Mine. Yours. All token-holders share it and own it. We build it for all token-holders and free trades has an equilibrium at the point where all token-holders trade volumes according their share in the STeX project.
Only in this case there would be no comission distribution, but community will get a superfast exchange with comission-free trades. And indirectly each token-holder will be profiting from this sutuation. Because money you did not spent is actualy your profit.
In reality there will be disproportion between shares and because of that some commissions will be collected and distributed anyway.
And free-trades rule can be tuned to stay in balance with trading volume and quantity of tokens.
Again. We do not expect 70% of tokens to be distributed. 50% is much more realistic.
You should recalculate each stage of ICO separately to get the idea if it is attactive for investment or not.
Early stages are definitely a good deal, the rest depens on your projection of market growth and STeX share of the market. Because 20% market share is also real in some cases, and that changes calculations dramatically.
Both free-trades and commission distribution are main features that will determine post-ICO token price.
We are so different from other exchanges that it is realy hard to predict market share. It can become huge.
We can check your math if your provide your vision of (1) STeX market share and (2) daily market volume.