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Topic: Another MatTheCat Near Term Price Prediction. (Read 4621 times)

full member
Activity: 532
Merit: 100
PrimeDAO - An Adoption Engine for Open Finance
February 07, 2014, 08:37:52 AM
#76
Matthecat like to ass it up by always loosing money, checkout:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/ass-talk-453377
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
I think one of us is taking himself a bit seriously. I also think its not me.

You may say that but I am a late adopter and am rolling around a ball of capital in Bitcoin that is enough to live off for a year and I can't afford to have my mind polluted by utter bollocks. This is why I am on the defensive so much and perhaps this means that I may miss a trick or two, but on aggregate I make more money and more to the point in a clear bear market, I avoid losing money by generally being intolerant of people who disagree with me on what Bitcoin happens to be doing. Take you for example. Every single time we have had a little Bitcoin 'debate' events have proven you wrong. Every single time.

As I type this, Bitcoin has just dipped below $750 on Stamp, so that is yet another example of you being wrong. I am here because I have taken it upon myself to have a vested financial interest in Bitcoin. If I let the aimless and frankly clueless ramblings of posters such as you affect my Bitcoin decisions, I would be seriously underwater by now. I wouldn't even be in a position to be arguing with the likes of you on whether I should short or go long on Bitcoin at $820, because I would still be holding on in vain for Bitcoin to get back up to $1100 just in order to break even on coins that various other Bitcoin Nutters insisted that I should hold, and then implied I was an idiot for selling....and btw, I can't go short Bitcoin now cos my instincts told me that Bitfinex was not to be trusted so I shifted my funds off the exchange and then 3-4 days later the site gets hacked. So now I am just a bear waiting on a good time to become a long term bull and I think I may have to wait some time yet.

Can you see why I am perhaps a bit hyperphobic towards other peoples bullish in the face of common sense 'opinions'? If I had allowed them to affect me, then it would have generally meant that I lose money.

I hate losing money more than I like winning money.

Every time you say i have been proven wrong you miss the simple fact that the game isn't over.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I think one of us is taking himself a bit seriously. I also think its not me.

You may say that but I am a late adopter and am rolling around a ball of capital in Bitcoin that is enough to live off for a year and I can't afford to have my mind polluted by utter bollocks. This is why I am on the defensive so much and perhaps this means that I may miss a trick or two, but on aggregate I make more money and more to the point in a clear bear market, I avoid losing money by generally being intolerant of people who disagree with me on what Bitcoin happens to be doing. Take you for example. Every single time we have had a little Bitcoin 'debate' events have proven you wrong. Every single time.

As I type this, Bitcoin has just dipped below $750 on Stamp, so that is yet another example of you being wrong. I am here because I have taken it upon myself to have a vested financial interest in Bitcoin. If I let the aimless and frankly clueless ramblings of posters such as you affect my Bitcoin decisions, I would be seriously underwater by now. I wouldn't even be in a position to be arguing with the likes of you on whether I should short or go long on Bitcoin at $820, because I would still be holding on in vain for Bitcoin to get back up to $1100 just in order to break even on coins that various other Bitcoin Nutters insisted that I should hold, and then implied I was an idiot for selling....and btw, I can't go short Bitcoin now cos my instincts told me that Bitfinex was not to be trusted so I shifted my funds off the exchange and then 3-4 days later the site gets hacked. So now I am just a bear waiting on a good time to become a long term bull and I think I may have to wait some time yet.

Can you see why I am perhaps a bit hyperphobic towards other peoples bullish in the face of common sense 'opinions'? If I had allowed them to affect me, then it would have generally meant that I lose money.

I hate losing money more than I like winning money.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
0.1BTC says it never goes below $750 (bitstamp) all of february!  Smiley

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWguThH1ZCk

Man I am so sweating I might lose 0.1BTC... oh wait nobody took me up on it...  Roll Eyes

I don't care about winning your £50 that you thought would turn into £100 if you called it right. If you wanted to make that bet in real money, I would have met it and used an appropriate amount of Bitcoin to transact the amount of real money had I lost. But I was never going to lose, cos I was betting against you, and like most of the broken records on this forum, you are only ever right when the market is going up.


ITT



I think one of us is taking himself a bit seriously. I also think its not me.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
0.1BTC says it never goes below $750 (bitstamp) all of february!  Smiley

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWguThH1ZCk

Man I am so sweating I might lose 0.1BTC... oh wait nobody took me up on it...  Roll Eyes

I don't care about winning your £50 that you thought would turn into £100 if you called it right. If you wanted to make that bet in real money, I would have met it and used an appropriate amount of Bitcoin to transact the amount of real money had I lost. But I was never going to lose, cos I was betting against you, and like most of the broken records on this forum, you are only ever right when the market is going up.


is the bet still on? Grin
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
0.1BTC says it never goes below $750 (bitstamp) all of february!  Smiley

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWguThH1ZCk

Man I am so sweating I might lose 0.1BTC... oh wait nobody took me up on it...  Roll Eyes

I don't care about winning your £50 that you thought would turn into £100 if you called it right. If you wanted to make that bet in real money, I would have met it and used an appropriate amount of Bitcoin to transact the amount of real money had I lost. But I was never going to lose, cos I was betting against you, and like most of the broken records on this forum, you are only ever right when the market is going up.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
0.1BTC says it never goes below $750 (bitstamp) all of february!  Smiley

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWguThH1ZCk

Man I am so sweating I might lose 0.1BTC... oh wait nobody took me up on it...  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
yes, as I said, easy to shoot yourself if you are not paying attention to what you are doing. you probably had your stop loss rule disabled or set up incorrectly.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Bitstamp lacks a lot of trading options. But I am now looking at a trading bot for triggering Stop Loss orders etc. Also Bitfinex allows for shorting.


do it the normal way, qt bitcoin trader can do stop loss and even trigger trading on all four major exchanges. just don't shoot yourself in the face with the execution rules, start slow.

Having jacked in Bitfinex for good, I tried QT Bitcoin trader and watched with horror as a massive 500 BTC sell off run past my stop loss price, only for QT Bitcoin Trader to remain idle. If that was one of Bitcoins famous mega-crashes and I was relying on this program to save my bacon, I would have been screwed.

Not to be trusted.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
Bitstamp lacks a lot of trading options. But I am now looking at a trading bot for triggering Stop Loss orders etc. Also Bitfinex allows for shorting.


do it the normal way, qt bitcoin trader can do stop loss and even trigger trading on all four major exchanges. just don't shoot yourself in the face with the execution rules, start slow.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
I'm effectively leveraging 0.1BTC at x2 and my margin call is at $750

I am not falling into your game.

BTC is not money. GBP is money.

If you want a bet, we bet in GBP, and we use BTC as a means of transferring that relatively fixed and reliable unit of value.

w/e i'll be over here in this other thread. it looks infinitely more fun than this one. please do keep taking yourself so seriously. its hilarious.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1012
BTC is not money. GBP is money.

It's funny how you bitch and moan about "manipulator this and whale rats that", but when it comes down to it you actually trust the biggest, manipulating whale rats of them all: central bankers.
legendary
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1028
Duelbits.com
 Mat, you'll get yourself a cancer if you continue like this.

You're taking it too personally and to be honest I'm not sure you have idea what you are doing.

Stop fucking up with  BTC vs USD pair, you're going to affect your health. Go trade altcoins, there is 10 times more money to made over there.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
So your complaint is that you placed an order, which got filled.  You made an offer, and someone took it.  Kind of like your bet with sgbett.

I placed a stop order, behind a Liar Ask wall, which vanished as my stop loss order was called at the very top of the market. Bitstamp was already retreating fast, yet Bitfinex bid up, with the bulk of the trade neatly over lapping my margin call by just a few cents.

I can't prove it was foul play, but it certainly smelled like foul play and that will be the last time I use that exchange.

Why is it that I have the ability to place a stop loss on Bitstamp that guarantees that I lose no more than a few hundred dollars on a leveraged short sell, that almost never gets called, whereas on Bitfinex, I am required to risk losing at least one thousand to have the same chances of it not getting called?

The answer seems a simple one to me.

legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
Believe me when I tell you, that had I been able to place my stop-loss on Bitstamp, it would not have been triggered and I would have been onto a home run with a short sell at near peak of spike-up.

So your complaint is that you placed an order, which got filled.  You made an offer, and someone took it.  Kind of like your bet with sgbett.
full member
Activity: 197
Merit: 100
...until I realised that it was a skewed bet which sgbett knew of course to begin with)

Unless of course you actually read the post where I explained how you would be mug not to take this bet if you actually believed it was going below $750. You could sell your 0.1BTC right now, then as soon as it does dip below 750 you get your 0.1BTC back. You know how shorting works though right Wink

Your theoretical unfairness only applies if you think its going up astronomically. If you *do* think its going up Buy 0.1BTC now to hedge against that happening. (then you are only "paying out" what you bought the BTC for).

This is a golden opportunity to short! You get all of feb, there is no capital outlay, there is no chance of a margin call, and you can hedge (if you wish, either at todays price or set a limit order on bitstamp for $750 that way you'll be guaranteed $75 for your winnings if its fiat thats important to you). I'm starting to think trading is the wrong game for you if you can't see how all this works!

Of course if you *do* think its going up then sure, don't take the bet.

Just remember you are the one starting threads around here saying its going down. Telling everyone how much you are shorting etc. Here's your chance to take that trade virtually risk free.

I thought an actual side bet might lend a little credibility to your assertion. I don't trade as a rule, but I do gamble every now and again for fun. I think one of us has it the right way round Wink

This is one of the most interesting posts about trading I have read in a long time.  Thanks for the perspective.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas

Intersango

500 GBP

It is currently just 11GBP there so I win!

(the bet was that Bitcoin holds up above $750 for the rest of Feb, Bitstamp until I realised that it was a skewed bet which sgbett knew of course to begin with)



The offer on Intersango is 350 GBP, i.e. 575 USD
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I'm effectively leveraging 0.1BTC at x2 and my margin call is at $750

I am not falling into your game.

BTC is not money. GBP is money.

If you want a bet, we bet in GBP, and we use BTC as a means of transferring that relatively fixed and reliable unit of value.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
I thought an actual side bet might lend a little credibility to your assertion. I don't trade as a rule, but I do gamble every now and again for fun. I think one of us has it the right way round Wink

If we bet, then £50, converted into Bitcoin at 00:00 1st March 2014.

I am currently long Bitcoin and won't be short for quite some time since Bitfinex have removed my ability to place stops on an exchange I trust (Bitstamp), leaving me to trade solely on an exchange I don't trust (Bitfinex). These fuckers have robbed me for the last time after a short sell I made at practically the top of that spike got called after a big sell wall that my stop order was hiding behind, vanished.

I am as of yet undecided what Bitcoin is going to do around the next corner. But since long term indicators as per the 4 hour charts all suggest more downside, regardless of any short term uptime, I will take that bet right now if you wish. If I lose, I will definitely stump up, but I do work offshore and have no reliable timetable for when I will be around (and capable of BTC transaction) or not. I give you this warning in advance.

I think you are still stuck valuing BTC in fiat. I'm betting bitcoin because thats what I have, and I wish to speculate with it to gain more. You are asking me to take a bet where any strong move in my favour reduces my 'winnings' because I will get less than the 0.1BTC that I originally wagered.

*That* sounds like a shitty bet to me.

You are already long BTC so you already have 0.1BTC to spare I am sure. I am long BTC so I have 0.1BTC to spare.

The only significance of the $price, is that is what decides the outcome. If you choose to buy/sell the 0.1BTC at the exact moment the bet ends then yes it is worth whatever the prevailing rate is. However I am not planning on doing that. I am just interested in trying to double up on little bit of my stash.

So invent all the stories you want about me trying to scam you, I suppose I am just the same as everyone else that is out to get you at the moment. You should see a doc about that.

One last time I'll explain how you make it worth your while. If you are truly convinced it is going down, then sell 0.1BTC right now. Then when it goes below $750 and I send you 0.1BTC you are $81 up (stamp price 818 right now) and you have the same number of BTC as you did before. You just succesfully shorted BTC for $$$PROFIT.

I'm always banking on BTC rising, this bet is no exception. I'm simply "buying" BTC with BTC, because I don't have fiat on any exchange.

I'm effectively leveraging 0.1BTC at x2 and my margin call is at $750

hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Why not (what a novel idea!) trade on stamp directly?

Bitstamp lacks a lot of trading options. But I am now looking at a trading bot for triggering Stop Loss orders etc. Also Bitfinex allows for shorting.

https://www.bitfinex.com/pages/announcements
Quote
Lastly, and perhaps
most importantly, we have listened to your feedback and we agree that trying
to superimpose two order books with different pricing is confusing,
forcing traders to do a lot of extra math when all they really want to do is
trade. Going forward, we will no longer be showing “Bitstamp” orders on our
book, but rather regular “BFX” orders reflecting Bitstamp liquidity, but
priced and grouped in such a way that BFX commission rules can be applied
uniformly to all trades on the platform. This change has (or will have) a
number of positive side effects, including:
Allowing staff trading bots to erect liar Ask/Bid walls to facilitate with the farming of traders' stop loss orders

Fixed that for you.

Believe me when I tell you, that had I been able to place my stop-loss on Bitstamp, it would not have been triggered and I would have been onto a home run with a short sell at near peak of spike-up. But I was forced to go through Bitfinex where I was mugged, again. I take compensation from it being for the last fkn time from these snidey rats, or the snidey rats who shark about on their exchange.

Fuck Bitfinex.
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