After checking through through altcoins,
their ieos,
the immediate pump after ieo,
The stable price and volume for few weeks, months,
And the sudden crash in price,
I want to say that any research on altcoin whatsoever is pure waste of time & energy. it's only the coin devs/team and that can guarantee someone the exact time to invest & exit, it is better to invest and hodl altcoins on the short notice and take profits.
Yes, I agree with your views on short-term speculation over long-term investments in the crypto market. Please allow me to state my opinion on this view. We can see the alts listed on big exchanges, soaring prices and then falling miserably and even the Dev team is no longer growing, this happens often. such as Celer, BTT, OATH, ONE. The reason behind that is the fomo of the community. After that fomo wave cooled down, it was time for people to sell their coins to look for other coins and make a profit. Basically, we can see that most people don't invest in technology. they speculate and expect immediate profit, when the prey is empty, people will leave.