Are there any truly safe bets in sports betting? - page 13.

dimonstration

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Quote from: john_nautica on September 16, 2020, 02:35:15 PM

I personally don’t think that there are any safe bets in sports betting. You may find a strategy that could keep you winning for a time but the odds doesn’t really guarantee winning. After all this is gambling and risk is a major companion in every move you take.

If you will able to bet in a sports you're familiar with, with players or teams you tend to follow and believes in their skills, actually it can be a safer bet. In these way you will not weigh too much your bet and will just seem to support the team. Like here in my country when it's league time and people mostly just bet in the team they wanted even they lose it still seems fine as they were really a supporters of those team.
Betting in sports is much safer than doing any bets in casino as we can track the record of the players and the team.

john_nautica

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I personally don’t think that there are any safe bets in sports betting. You may find a strategy that could keep you winning for a time but the odds doesn’t really guarantee winning. After all this is gambling and risk is a major companion in every move you take.

semobo

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Choosing the game with lower odds seems predictable but it is really not going to give decent profits but the profit of 10 wins can go by single lose with this strategy so net profit will be none at the end of the day.Go with slightly higher odds and predict based on your own analysis which could be the worthy sport betting.

panganib999

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There is relatively no safe bets in sports betting and any other kinds of bet game for there are really certain risks involve in any betting game you will play. Such strategies might work for a short term and must be dependent and expect that it would always work on the same manner. Odds on sport bets does not always guarantee that you will be able to win everytime because that's not how betting game always works. Maybe you are just lucky to win on observance that you are relying on witnessing and seeking for low odds bets but this would not always work for there are instances in gambling that we must expect the unexpected outcome for there is an open chances and probability that what we expect won't reflect the result or the outcome.

kryptqnick

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Thanks everyone! I understand that there are no completely safe bets, I meant relatively safe ones. I also agree that gambling always involves risks and thus betting on what one cannot afford to lose is unacceptable.

Quote from: tyKiwanuka on September 13, 2020, 05:24:42 AM

No, they are not safe

For beginners or not so advanced betting people, I would even recommend to not go with this strategy, since the bookmakers/markets tend to put more value into the higher odds, because a lot of people do actually play these small odds. So the less value they put there, the better for the bookmaker longterm. When a team like Liverpool, Kansas City, Barcelona lose, this is always payday for bookmakers. And these <1.20 bets lose more often than you would think Wink

But you can find value in all odds, can be 1.01 or 1000, it's just harder to spot the value in these low odds for beginners.

Yeah, I has concerns that it might be true with these seemingly safe bets. Thanks for the insight.

Quote from: freedomgo on September 13, 2020, 07:30:32 AM

Safe bets does not excess in sports betting, every bet you'll make regardless of the odds are always risky. Man, I'm done with that experiment and I tell you it does not work on my end, what strategy I'm using now which is I am comfortable is betting on odds 1.90 and above.

Maybe you're right, but I have to try for myself to see how it plays out for me. In the meantime, I'm taking part in the EPL prediction pool, so predicting the score of each match there is obviously not the low-risk bets I'm used to, and I can see and compare how it works for me.

Quote from: harizen on September 13, 2020, 07:59:14 PM

Quote from: kryptqnick on September 13, 2020, 05:13:22 AM

Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?

There's no way I will do that kind of betting. Not worth a reward.

Well, if it's 1.2, you make 5 bets and you're in 2x profit. I'm also considering multi-betting on such bets.

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Quote from: Darker45 on September 14, 2020, 10:45:02 PM

I've just taken a quick look at the Rugby NRL stats. And I would say ML betting in this particular match may be considered relatively safe if you are with the Eels. After all, the game is between the 4th rank vs. the 15th rank (2nd to the last). And the last time the 2 teams met, the game ended with Parramatta ahead by 28 points.

Which brings me to conclude that even betting with Asian Handicap odds with the maximum + for the Broncos might not bring you closer enough to getting a win. And so I placed a little bet for the Eels (-8.5) with 1.43 odds, still low but probably an easy and safe win for me, especially since ML betting on this one is definitely not worth it when it comes to money.

Let's hope you have a win. Personally, I think the BNE Broncos decided to throw the season because of their coach and the season long Covid Lockdown/Quarantine they have been in for many months now.

If they loose the rest of the season, then the "State of Origin" will be a white wash 2-1 or even 3-0 to NSW.

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Quote from: gabbie2010 on September 15, 2020, 03:42:09 AM

This type of betting is not profitable on a long term basis having a series of losing streaks will wipe out your funds, forget about the fact that small odds has the chances of winning a bet or safe bet, there is no any proven record to back up those claims except you are well versed in a particular sport.
A thorough Analysis of a particular Sport or League is the best bet of winning consistently eg using EPL as an example teams like Liverpool, Man City, Chelsea, Man utd and Arsenal are teams with a strong squad in EPL will definitely have lower odd however the chances of winning a bet on them is brighter than betting on unfamiliar teams with low odds.

Yes, it does not mean low odds always win in every bet. There are always surprises into this kind of event and that when high odds bet winning.

Always remeber that this is gambling mean that you bet in exchange for a desired result taking risky action as per google dictionary. Yet, there are really lucky gambler that are always win. But their wins does not consider as safety bets. They just being lucky enough.

gabbie2010

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This type of betting is not profitable on a long term basis having a series of losing streaks will wipe out your funds, forget about the fact that small odds has the chances of winning a bet or safe bet, there is no any proven record to back up those claims except you are well versed in a particular sport.
A thorough Analysis of a particular Sport or League is the best bet of winning consistently eg using EPL as an example teams like Liverpool, Man City, Chelsea, Man utd and Arsenal are teams with a strong squad in EPL will definitely have lower odd however the chances of winning a bet on them is brighter than betting on unfamiliar teams with low odds.

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Quote from: Timelord2067 on September 14, 2020, 07:56:19 PM

Quote from: Darker45 on September 13, 2020, 09:29:06 PM

Quote from: Timelord2067 on September 13, 2020, 06:53:55 PM

The Brisbane Broncos Rugby League team have now lost ten fixtures in a row, so it's almost guaranteed betting against them will pay off, so it might be a small return, but it's almost a sure thing.

Although I am not into rugby betting, I cannot imagine how low the odds would be in this case if you prefer to just bet on win or lose. I bet it is not worth risking. Sometimes, a team with nothing to lose, with every game they play just a mere game, would surprisingly upset an opposing team which is much stronger.

If the odds would be ≤1.10, that wouldn't be worth betting at all. Better be risking and bet on handicap with higher odds than stay safe with very low odds but still not 100% sure of winning.

I'll keep that in mind, there's only two or three more games in the regular season then the finals. (which they won't be a part of because of their poor performance.

The Parramatta Vs Brisbane match this week is paying $ 1.13 / $ 6.00 according to the TAB site: https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/Rugby%20League/competitions/NRL

I've just taken a quick look at the Rugby NRL stats. And I would say ML betting in this particular match may be considered relatively safe if you are with the Eels. After all, the game is between the 4th rank vs. the 15th rank (2nd to the last). And the last time the 2 teams met, the game ended with Parramatta ahead by 28 points.

Which brings me to conclude that even betting with Asian Handicap odds with the maximum + for the Broncos might not bring you closer enough to getting a win. And so I placed a little bet for the Eels (-8.5) with 1.43 odds, still low but probably an easy and safe win for me, especially since ML betting on this one is definitely not worth it when it comes to money.

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Quote from: TimeTeller on September 14, 2020, 07:09:19 PM

Quote from: RokokGudangGaram on September 14, 2020, 04:45:12 PM

If we are in the midst of gambling, there are no safe bets not unless the game has been tampered. The casinos are putting the best odds in order to get a diversion
to the bettors so there is no safe betting even if you are winning the past bets that you had but there is always a time that you can lost.

That's how game is, the ball is circle especially if we are talking about basketball. I am not a good bettor as I always lost also especially in basketball choices but
what I can say to you is that you should make sure that you will only bet the money that you can afford to loss as I fully believe that there is no safe bets in gambling.

Very true. I don't think there are safe bets in sportsbetting.
Even if you play safe when you bet on low odds, which usually means they have higher chance of winning.
Still you can't be 100% sure that you will win as you said, the ball is circle.
You can only be sure once the game is over.
But if you know very well the sports, in all angles possible, your chance of winning just got high.

When it comes to sports betting where analysis is really much needed and you do have the chances on winning at the end of the game.This is where we do see favorites and underdogs.
Safe word isnt really that much fit here on gambling but at least we can make our choices depending on the statistics of the team get involved..We can see both team
which is the favorite one and which do had least.Bookies do set out odds depending on which one will be placed on such position.If you dont have much knowledge on sportsbet
then you can choose up the favorite for having higher chance of winning but to ask.Are those odds really worth to risk on?

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Quote from: Darker45 on September 13, 2020, 09:29:06 PM

Quote from: Timelord2067 on September 13, 2020, 06:53:55 PM

The Brisbane Broncos Rugby League team have now lost ten fixtures in a row, so it's almost guaranteed betting against them will pay off, so it might be a small return, but it's almost a sure thing.

Although I am not into rugby betting, I cannot imagine how low the odds would be in this case if you prefer to just bet on win or lose. I bet it is not worth risking. Sometimes, a team with nothing to lose, with every game they play just a mere game, would surprisingly upset an opposing team which is much stronger.

If the odds would be ≤1.10, that wouldn't be worth betting at all. Better be risking and bet on handicap with higher odds than stay safe with very low odds but still not 100% sure of winning.

I'll keep that in mind, there's only two or three more games in the regular season then the finals. (which they won't be a part of because of their poor performance.

The Parramatta Vs Brisbane match this week is paying $ 1.13 / $ 6.00 according to the TAB site: https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/Rugby%20League/competitions/NRL

bobyhodob

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Quote from: ralle14 on September 14, 2020, 06:49:59 PM

I had a 2 leg multi few days ago(with one underdog and favorite) that lost and it gave me a lesson on why I shouldn't take or parlay favorites with very low odds.

When pre live odds are that low (1.2-1.3) it's better to skip or if you can't stop yourself from placing a bet then wait on their live odds to swing a bit more (they're not safe) but you'll usually get more value with that strategy.

when you are gambling like that then you should be able to pay attention to the odds that really determine your destiny in the gambling place, sometimes many people don't care about that they try to find ways of setting up suitable odds that can bring a lot of profit. unfortunately it requires a lot of money to try it.

TimeTeller

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Quote from: RokokGudangGaram on September 14, 2020, 04:45:12 PM

If we are in the midst of gambling, there are no safe bets not unless the game has been tampered. The casinos are putting the best odds in order to get a diversion
to the bettors so there is no safe betting even if you are winning the past bets that you had but there is always a time that you can lost.

That's how game is, the ball is circle especially if we are talking about basketball. I am not a good bettor as I always lost also especially in basketball choices but
what I can say to you is that you should make sure that you will only bet the money that you can afford to loss as I fully believe that there is no safe bets in gambling.

Very true. I don't think there are safe bets in sportsbetting.
Even if you play safe when you bet on low odds, which usually means they have higher chance of winning.
Still you can't be 100% sure that you will win as you said, the ball is circle.
You can only be sure once the game is over.
But if you know very well the sports, in all angles possible, your chance of winning just got high.

ralle14

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I had a 2 leg multi few days ago(with one underdog and favorite) that lost and it gave me a lesson on why I shouldn't take or parlay favorites with very low odds.

When pre live odds are that low (1.2-1.3) it's better to skip or if you can't stop yourself from placing a bet then wait on their live odds to swing a bit more (they're not safe) but you'll usually get more value with that strategy.

RokokGudangGaram

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If we are in the midst of gambling, there are no safe bets not unless the game has been tampered. The casinos are putting the best odds in order to get a diversion
to the bettors so there is no safe betting even if you are winning the past bets that you had but there is always a time that you can lost.

That's how game is, the ball is circle especially if we are talking about basketball. I am not a good bettor as I always lost also especially in basketball choices but
what I can say to you is that you should make sure that you will only bet the money that you can afford to loss as I fully believe that there is no safe bets in gambling.

Inkdatar

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Mostly of us experience of losing money in betting in a game. In my opinion, if there’s really safe betting many gambler win everytime. A safe bet at first but in the long run it may lose your money. Let's take it from the experts that there's no safe bets and still luck is important to win the game.

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There is nothing safe in any kind of betting and sports betting isn't exception, risks are always present. Unless you play on arranged and fixed matches and that is illegal. No play you choose can't guarantee the winning only.

Shasha80

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I don't believe there are safe bets in sports betting, even the outcome odds are 1.18, which has a big chance of winning.
It cannot be called safe, because in sports betting there are often surprises. Often happen strong teams lose against weak teams.
This means that in sports betting, luck still plays a very important role.

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No bet can be considered safe in the sports betting world. A 1.01 bet can also fail and I have seen it happen many times. Also, many people forget to factor in the juice when placing bets due to which they lose out on value bets quite often.

The only safe betting style possible is arbitrage betting, but it has its own downsides like bookmaker limitations, account closure etc.

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Quote from: Reid on September 14, 2020, 09:56:02 AM

Yes, you always consider that.
The higher the money line the lower the chance of winning.
Think of it as a jackpot in the lottery. That's how I compare it.

Welcome to more headaches in analyzing sports. Grin

But most of the times it will be fun especially if you pick the right bet.

and if you know the team or player that you are betting with.

There are some bettors here that i have read in whos successful in their sportsbetting activities because of familiarization in teams and players.

and also the opponent in which they can analyze what will be the scores or the winners.

Topic: Are there any truly safe bets in sports betting? - page 13. (Read 1936 times)