The higher the money line the lower the chance of winning.
Think of it as a jackpot in the lottery. That's how I compare it.
Welcome to more headaches in analyzing sports.
But most of the times it will be fun especially if you pick the right bet. 
Topic: Are there any truly safe bets in sports betting? - page 14. (Read 1936 times)
Yes, you always consider that.
The higher the money line the lower the chance of winning.
Think of it as a jackpot in the lottery. That's how I compare it.
Welcome to more headaches in analyzing sports. But most of the times it will be fun especially if you pick the right bet.
The higher the money line the lower the chance of winning.
Think of it as a jackpot in the lottery. That's how I compare it.
Welcome to more headaches in analyzing sports.
But most of the times it will be fun especially if you pick the right bet. 
Safe bets are those where you are guaranteed to win. AFAIK these exist only in certain circumstances such as free introductory offers, where you can take up multiple free offers and bet both sides in a two-way contest.
If we are talking about increasing your chances of winning, this is all determined by you being able to predict more accurate odds than the bookmaker can, and for your calculation to more than offset the house edge.
As a simple example, if a bookmaker offers 5/1 on team A winning, then they are basing this on a calculation that the reality is 6/1, and then adding their own percentage gain so that they make profit. What you need to do is to find something like this where your calculation of team A winning is better than 5/1. Basically it's not enough to simply predict better than the bookmaker does, you have to predict sufficiently better than you also overcome their edge... a bit like overcoming the bid/ask spread in crypto trading.
If we are talking about increasing your chances of winning, this is all determined by you being able to predict more accurate odds than the bookmaker can, and for your calculation to more than offset the house edge.
As a simple example, if a bookmaker offers 5/1 on team A winning, then they are basing this on a calculation that the reality is 6/1, and then adding their own percentage gain so that they make profit. What you need to do is to find something like this where your calculation of team A winning is better than 5/1. Basically it's not enough to simply predict better than the bookmaker does, you have to predict sufficiently better than you also overcome their edge... a bit like overcoming the bid/ask spread in crypto trading.
That's some really low bets, your strategy is good, but the leverage your putting in is not quite enough. If you want some profit you should bet more, but there's no problem betting with that amount. If, what you're after is fun and enjoyment, but if you want to make some money, you need to raise to actually make profit. This is not financial advice, in the end it's your money.
I like to bet on live games, and usually I bet on small odds, and believe it or not at 1.05 odd, 2 : 0 for the home 30 minutes until the end and I lose the bet with 2:2 in the end! Isn't that funny? I usually win, but when you lose couple big bets on small odds you -ev. So your question:
They are not safe as they seem, but I am going for this strategy anyway! What I learned is that making single bets can be safer than making parlay with more picks with low odds, one of them will sell you for sure, more picks more risks! Single bets are safer in general, but I can't resist to make parlay bet here and there, trying to make higher odds and place some lower bets and to hope for the best!
Are these bets as safe as they seem? Would you go for this strategy or not? Why?
They are not safe as they seem, but I am going for this strategy anyway! What I learned is that making single bets can be safer than making parlay with more picks with low odds, one of them will sell you for sure, more picks more risks! Single bets are safer in general, but I can't resist to make parlay bet here and there, trying to make higher odds and place some lower bets and to hope for the best!
Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.
For me I mean this is my opinion of the said matter. Only good sports betting is the government sponsored sports betting. As long as the games are regulated and sponsored by the government then it is the real deal. Your bets should have a higher chance of being safe. Why do I think this way? Simple, government has been regulating lotteries and other legal gambling schemes for a long time. Private betting can also be safe, as long as it is already established and well known.
Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.
That's much safer place to bet but not guaranteed since there some situation that even a good team can lose a game.
By the way OP it's a gambling you need to understand that there are always risk to lose when you are betting and there are no 100% sure win when the game started just take it and bet for the team you think will win.
Looks like safe bets to me, assuming you aren't gambling with your funds or betting what you can't afford to lose.
It's important to keep improving & learning to bet on matches while betting with small amounts. This should allow you to learn and succeed without fear. If you become consistently profitable for abit long, you can start increasing your bets.
It's important to keep improving & learning to bet on matches while betting with small amounts. This should allow you to learn and succeed without fear. If you become consistently profitable for abit long, you can start increasing your bets.
There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams.
It's mean, we need to makes our position as safe as we can before take a place, sports also give some surprise in results, so don't just take a place because of name of the clubs, see what happens with Barcelona in the week 37 la liga last season, when they are lose 2-1 vs Osasuna. In paper Osasuna far behind Barcelona, but they can beat Barcelona in last minutes.
I've tried gambling making last minute bets. I've placed bets on exact score by the game end and bets on a winner. My tactics was - wait till there are 5 or less minutes in football match or period, place a quick bet with 1.01-1.10 odds. Such strategy lasted for 2-3 evenings and I've tried it for 15 times. I've managed to lose even placing a bet with 1.01 odds which I thought are extremely safe. I was getting very tired refreshing and scrolling my phone, searching for a game to place bet. Then you place a bet, wait, repeat, win few bucks in a day and lose because someone scored on 90+4 minute
Personally, there are no safe bets in sports.
Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports.
I think all of the gamblers know about this, no one any of kind of gambling/bet give a 100% safe, all based on prediction. May some of the sport betting needs analysis before taking a place, but this is still same as another betting, will be have a win & lose results. as you say: There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams.
It's mean, we need to makes our position as safe as we can before take a place, sports also give some surprise in results, so don't just take a place because of name of the clubs, see what happens with Barcelona in the week 37 la liga last season, when they are lose 2-1 vs Osasuna. In paper Osasuna far behind Barcelona, but they can beat Barcelona in last minutes.
Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.
well I totally agree with what you say but to be able to overcome the risks that can occur with athletes and the matches that are starting then maybe you can use other ways such as resetting the match schedule and I don't think it's possible to do the money that has been used by the regulator the course of the match. Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.
Yeah even in NBA sports clearly that there are games like being thrown and base on my observation during the first series of playoff lakers vs. trail blazers letting the trailblazers win in the first game. I was having questions to myself why it did happen when clearly that Lakers is a strong team and has advantage winning over it. The next round of playoffs still happen the same when they were being beaten by their first game with houston rockets and now came out to be winning in the playoff and waiting for the their next match between the winners of clippers vs. nuggets.
Unfortunately there are no 100% safe bets in sports. Only if the matches where fixed we could say this but than it's illegal and all the winnings would be void. The problem with sports is that every athele can have a bad day, we are all humans and make mistakes. There are games with a very high winning chance, for example if a top tier team plays a match against some regional teams. But in those kind of matches the odds are very poor. You might make only 0.1% return.
I remember that this is exactly what a tipping service which I was part for a month were doing.They always choose 3-4 events and their total odd was about 1.75-1.9 daily.Although that month I was part of them I won the other month I saw their history which was red.That means safe bets do not exist in sport betting.
but you arent included on those lost bets ? good for you if you arent , that means luck is still in your side . the reason why they choose low odds its because they can increase thier win chance, they need that as a tipping service because thats the only way that they prove that they are really working as when compare to when they choose higher odds . loosing is fine because it would also be impossible if they will only claim that they dont have a history of losses
I remember that this is exactly what a tipping service which I was part for a month were doing.They always choose 3-4 events and their total odd was about 1.75-1.9 daily.Although that month I was part of them I won the other month I saw their history which was red.That means safe bets do not exist in sport betting.
There are no safe bets, but there are less risky bets. Just like what you said low odds means more chance of winning
safe bet in gambling doesnt literally mean safe or no guaranteed loss but that only means that less risk or less chance of lossing .
low odds looks like its winnable but if you look around you , many gambler says that low odds are verry risky . i dont know why they say that but maybe because low odds are attracting you to bet more or giving you an illusion that you can earn easy money .
In general, there are really no safe bets in gambling including sports betting. If there is a possibility of losing, then that means it is not safe.
But we may refer to the different degrees of risk. And we may consider those bets with very low risk to be safe, but only as far as those risky ones are concerned. So it is a matter of comparison.
But safe as it is? No. You can actually make an experiment on this, consistently betting on teams with very low odds, which could be interpreted as sure wins. You will most likely end up with a negative net rather than a positive.
But we may refer to the different degrees of risk. And we may consider those bets with very low risk to be safe, but only as far as those risky ones are concerned. So it is a matter of comparison.
But safe as it is? No. You can actually make an experiment on this, consistently betting on teams with very low odds, which could be interpreted as sure wins. You will most likely end up with a negative net rather than a positive.
There are no safe bets, but there are less risky bets. Just like what you said low odds means more chance of winning
safe bet in gambling doesnt literally mean safe or no guaranteed loss but that only means that less risk or less chance of lossing .
low odds looks like its winnable but if you look around you , many gambler says that low odds are verry risky . i dont know why they say that but maybe because low odds are attracting you to bet more or giving you an illusion that you can earn easy money .
I guess @OP have much suggestion from other members. I only want to suggest using the money you can afford, no matter how much you want to place a bet, you need to think about how much the money you are ready to lose. But for me, there are no safe bets because every bet that you place on the gambling will have a risk that you should accept. And when you can't win from that bets, it is because you are not lucky.
But you can modify your strategy to have a high percentage in winning the gambling games, but you must remember that all of that will depend on the luck factor. So you won't feel regret if somehow you lose in any gambling games.
But you can modify your strategy to have a high percentage in winning the gambling games, but you must remember that all of that will depend on the luck factor. So you won't feel regret if somehow you lose in any gambling games.
There are no safe bets, but there are less risky bets. Just like what you said low odds means more chance of winning but that doesn't mean it is safe to bet on it. No matter what the percentage of winning of a team there is still a chance of losing don't expect to be safe in gambling. I lost a bet with a 95-5 percentage of winning so anything is possible in gambling.
The Brisbane Broncos Rugby League team have now lost ten fixtures in a row, so it's almost guaranteed betting against them will pay off, so it might be a small return, but it's almost a sure thing.
Although I am not into rugby betting, I cannot imagine how low the odds would be in this case if you prefer to just bet on win or lose. I bet it is not worth risking. Sometimes, a team with nothing to lose, with every game they play just a mere game, would surprisingly upset an opposing team which is much stronger.
If the odds would be ≤1.10, that wouldn't be worth betting at all. Better be risking and bet on handicap with higher odds than stay safe with very low odds but still not 100% sure of winning.
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