Do you mean there will be a bull run and a new ATH this year? If that's the case, then we're going to break the old history and create a new one, as the bull market takes place only a year after the halving. I also agree with what @Pierre 2 said, the bull market is when we will see new trends, and many shitcoin projects will x5, x10 in the market. But what is happening in the market is almost exclusively focused on bitcoin, altcoins are almost insignificant.
What I meant here about the bull market, is actually from the technical point of view side, The bulls are now in control of the market, that's the movement that will take us to a new ATH, So not necessarily that Bitcoin will be making a new ATH this year, though it still a possibility we can make new ATH, However, you may call this a bear market rally or recovery for a clearer picture of what I'm trying to say, As we haven't created a new Highs.
I think it's because this term of "bull market" remains very subjective, and purely based on time-frames. Based on Daily time-frames, the market is a bull market. Based on Weekly/Monthly time-frames, this is a bear market relief rally. Even in 2019 when price increased by 4.5x from $3.2K to $14K, to me this was still a bear market relief rally, as price made a lower high below $20K, and fell back to the lows. For sure the 4.5x increase was a bull trend in the short-term, but it ultimately wasn't a bull market that led to a new ATH. Instead it eventually led to a higher low around $4K that effectively ended that bear market and led to a new ATH.
Yeah, it's a subjective term, I do agree, it could be the 4 year cycle, or as what you have described, based on timeframes. For us though, the definition is that the price will go on a massive spike, a massive growth like in 2017 or in 2021. So for now, I wouldn't say that we are really in a bull run, this maybe is just a recovery from what, from lowest low of $15,500 to $31k, so that's what we have seen. And now there is some correction to $21k'ish. I guess the bulls is exhausted from the runs in the first 3 months that it can't no longer sustain the rally for now.
4 year cycle is what most people been keep on eyeing on, on which they are already that anticipating that it would be happening on year 2024 or 2025 Q1 which is something that most people been
waiting for but there are ones who do wait for 2026 on which they do believe that this would really be the start of bull run.Honestly, there's no way that we could be able to point out
on whats the exact dates or moment on when golden bull run would kick in.This is why its really that important that now that we are still in accumulation phase then it would
be better to bag as much as you could specially into those coins who does have the potential.
Correct. Even though bitcoin has passed the price of $ 30k, that doesn't mean we are in a bullrun phase. Especially after bitcoin had passed the price above $ 30k, it didn't last long and then dropped again to the $ 27k area. Therefore the bullrun phase has not occurred until now.
Actually it's not that it hasn't happened yet, but it's more like it's not really worth saying now, because after looking at the Bitcoin market conditions in the past two days, the situation is still not much different from before because the price of Bitcoin is still increasing and correcting in the area of $27K to $30K. Now Bitcoin looks to be starting to pick up again and I think it will also be back towards $30K again this month.
Its just an ordinary day kind of increase and people should really get used to it specially to those who are new still into this market.It cant really be still called as a bull run with having
that kind of increase. We are really that liking to see something which those huge and long green candles that we've seen into those previous bull run market cycle into those previous years.
Now, lets assume out that everything would be happening in next Bitcoin halving event whether before but mostly it would be after.